NYSE$ALL

Allstate Corp · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Allstate's financial performance was impacted by severe weather events and underwriting losses, but the auto insurance profit improvement plan is being implemented successfully.

Allstate reported a net loss of $1.4 billion for Q2 2023, driven by significant catastrophe losses and underwriting losses, which offset higher investment income and profits from Protection Services and Health and Benefits. The company is implementing cost reduction and distribution programs to improve productivity and expand reach. Rate increases are being pursued in auto and homeowners insurance to improve profitability.

  • Total revenues increased by 14.4% to $14.0 billion due to higher Property-Liability earned premium and net gains on equity valuations.
  • Net loss applicable to common shareholders was $1.4 billion, compared to a $1.0 billion loss in the prior year quarter.
  • Property-Liability earned premium increased by 9.6% to $11.9 billion, driven by higher average premiums.
  • The Property-Liability combined ratio was 117.6, reflecting higher catastrophe losses.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$14B

Previous: $12.2B+14.4%
EPS (adj)

-$4.42

Previous: -$0.76-481.6%
P&C Combined Ratio

117.6%

Previous: 107.9%+9.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$141M

Previous: -$228M+38.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.49B

Previous: -$1.24B-20.1%
Net Income

-$1.35B

Previous: -$1.02B-33.2%
Operating Income

$10.3B

Previous: $8.66B+18.8%
Gross Profit

$12.2B

Previous: $10.6B+15.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$699M

Previous: $766M-8.7%
Total Assets

$101B

Previous: $96.4B+4.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Allstate · Revenue · Quarterly

$14B

Q2 2023+14.4%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Allstate · $607M total across 4 segments · Q1 2023

  • Protection Plans
    $385M
  • Dealer Services
    $148M
  • Arity
    $37M
  • Identity Protection
    $37M

Forward guidance

Allstate is focused on improving near-term profit while building a foundation for growth through cost reductions, distribution program improvements, and the introduction of new technology platforms and products.

Tailwinds

  • Sustainable cost reductions are being implemented, lowering current and future costs.
  • Distribution programs have improved productivity, expanded reach and lowered costs.
  • Affordable, simple and connected property-liability products with sophisticated telematics pricing are being introduced through a new technology platform.
  • Protection Plans is expanding with new products and retail relationships and in international markets.
  • Allstate will improve results while building an enhanced business model to better serve customers, generate attractive returns for shareholders and create opportunity for the Allstate team

Headwinds

  • Severe weather resulted in 42 catastrophe events, causing net catastrophe losses of $2.7 billion in the quarter.
  • Price increases and operating efficiency gains were largely offset by increased claim frequency and severity in the quarter.
  • Underwriting losses increased primarily due to higher catastrophe losses.
  • Auto insurance results reflect the impact of inflation in loss costs.
  • Homeowners insurance underwriting income was negatively impacted by elevated catastrophe losses.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

39 / 73 earnings

Positive

+5.7%

Q2 2025

Best reaction

-9.9%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%+2.9%-2.8%
Q4 2025+3.9%-2.9%+2.5%
Q3 2025+1.5%+6.5%+3.9%
Q2 2025+5.7%+6.9%+5.8%
Q1 2025-0.6%+1.8%+5.8%
Q4 2024-0.6%-1.9%+4.0%
Q3 2024-0.0%-2.3%+11.2%
Q2 2024+2.2%-2.6%+8.8%
Q1 2024-0.5%+0.0%-1.5%
Q4 2023+2.8%+1.3%-0.3%
Q3 2023+2.5%+1.9%+7.5%
Q2 2023-5.5%-2.5%-4.3%
Q1 2023+1.5%+3.3%-2.1%
Q4 2022+2.7%-7.6%-0.3%
Q3 2022-1.4%+2.4%+4.1%
Q2 2022-1.5%+2.2%+5.0%
Q1 2022+1.4%-0.6%+1.7%
Q4 2021+2.5%+5.1%+7.4%
Q3 2021-6.5%-6.5%-13.5%
Q2 2021-2.1%+1.5%+2.5%
Q1 2021+3.7%+5.2%+6.6%
Q4 2020-3.3%-3.1%+0.7%
Q3 2020-2.7%+1.0%+12.3%
Q2 2020-1.5%+0.7%-3.0%
Q1 2020+1.1%+0.4%+1.5%
Q4 2019+4.7%+4.5%-8.9%
Q3 2019-1.5%-0.7%+5.1%
Q2 2019+5.5%+2.7%+0.4%
Q1 2019-0.8%-1.4%-3.6%
Q4 2018+4.2%+4.1%+5.0%
Q3 2018-5.8%-5.3%-6.6%
Q2 2018+2.5%+3.4%+5.7%
Q1 2018-3.8%-3.4%-4.4%
Q4 2017-6.8%-6.1%-0.6%
Q3 2017+4.3%+5.6%+9.8%
Q2 2017+3.5%+3.5%-0.5%
Q1 2017+0.6%-0.9%+2.0%
Q4 2016+2.9%+3.8%+8.8%
Q3 2016+1.3%-0.5%+5.1%
Q2 2016+0.7%+1.6%+1.2%
Q1 2016+3.8%
Q4 2015+3.5%
Q3 2015+2.1%
Q2 2015-9.9%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+2.5%
Q1 2014+1.2%
Q4 2013+4.9%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q2 2013+2.6%
Q1 2013-2.1%
Q4 2012+1.7%
Q3 2012-2.7%
Q4 2011+4.7%
Q2 2012+4.7%
Q1 2012+2.5%
Q3 2011-3.9%
Q2 2011-0.3%
Q1 2011-1.3%
Q4 2010-0.1%
Q3 2010-6.9%
Q2 2010-0.4%
Q1 2009+0.0%
Q1 2010+1.3%
Q4 2009-0.1%
Q4 2007-0.1%
Q3 2009-2.3%
Q3 2008-2.3%
Q2 2009+0.5%
Q2 2008+0.5%
Q4 2008+0.5%

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