NYSE$ALL

Allstate Corp · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Allstate's financial performance for Q1 2023 was marked by revenue growth offset by underwriting losses, driven by increased catastrophe losses and rising auto loss costs.

Allstate reported a net loss of $346 million for Q1 2023, compared to a net income of $634 million in the prior year quarter. Total revenues increased by 11.8% to $13.8 billion, driven by higher property-liability earned premiums and net gains on investments. The underwriting loss of $1.0 billion was primarily due to higher catastrophe losses and increased auto loss costs.

  • Total revenues increased by 11.8% to $13.8 billion, driven by a 10.8% increase in Property-Liability earned premium and net gains on investments and derivatives.
  • Net loss applicable to common shareholders was $346 million, compared to income of $634 million in the prior year quarter, driven by an underwriting loss primarily due to higher catastrophe losses.
  • Property-Liability earned premium increased by 10.8%, driven primarily by higher average premiums.
  • Protection Services revenues increased by 7.0% to $671 million, primarily due to Allstate Protection Plans and Allstate Dealer Services.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$13.8B

Previous: $12.3B+11.7%
EPS (adj)

-$1.30

Previous: $2.58-150.4%
P&C Combined Ratio

108.6%

Previous: 97.3%+11.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$79M

Previous: -$130M+39.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$399M

Previous: $526M-175.9%
Net Income

-$320M

Previous: $656M-148.8%
Operating Income

$10.2B

Previous: $8.72B+17.1%
Gross Profit

$12B

Previous: $10.7B+12.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$662M

Previous: $1.13B-41.4%
Total Assets

$99.6B

Previous: $97.2B+2.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Allstate · Revenue · Quarterly

$13.8B

Q1 2023+11.7%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Allstate · $607M total across 4 segments · Q1 2023

  • Protection Plans
    $385M
  • Dealer Services
    $148M
  • Arity
    $37M
  • Identity Protection
    $37M

Forward guidance

Allstate is focused on transformative growth, including a new auto insurance product, expense reductions, distribution transformation, and expansion of Protection Plans and Health and Benefits.

Tailwinds

  • New auto insurance product designed to be affordable, simple, and connected, available to about one-third of the U.S. market in 2023.
  • Expense reductions partially offsetting current increases in claims severity.
  • Higher Allstate exclusive agent productivity.
  • Expanded product offerings through independent agents.
  • Enhanced direct capabilities.

Headwinds

  • Auto loss costs continue to increase rapidly.
  • High first quarter catastrophe losses.
  • Profitability actions negatively impacted Allstate brand new issued applications and retention.
  • Reductions in insurance client advertising.
  • Higher appliance and furniture claim severity and a larger proportion of lower margin business.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

39 / 73 earnings

Positive

+5.7%

Q2 2025

Best reaction

-9.9%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%+2.9%-2.8%
Q4 2025+3.9%-2.9%+2.5%
Q3 2025+1.5%+6.5%+3.9%
Q2 2025+5.7%+6.9%+5.8%
Q1 2025-0.6%+1.8%+5.8%
Q4 2024-0.6%-1.9%+4.0%
Q3 2024-0.0%-2.3%+11.2%
Q2 2024+2.2%-2.6%+8.8%
Q1 2024-0.5%+0.0%-1.5%
Q4 2023+2.8%+1.3%-0.3%
Q3 2023+2.5%+1.9%+7.5%
Q2 2023-5.5%-2.5%-4.3%
Q1 2023+1.5%+3.3%-2.1%
Q4 2022+2.7%-7.6%-0.3%
Q3 2022-1.4%+2.4%+4.1%
Q2 2022-1.5%+2.2%+5.0%
Q1 2022+1.4%-0.6%+1.7%
Q4 2021+2.5%+5.1%+7.4%
Q3 2021-6.5%-6.5%-13.5%
Q2 2021-2.1%+1.5%+2.5%
Q1 2021+3.7%+5.2%+6.6%
Q4 2020-3.3%-3.1%+0.7%
Q3 2020-2.7%+1.0%+12.3%
Q2 2020-1.5%+0.7%-3.0%
Q1 2020+1.1%+0.4%+1.5%
Q4 2019+4.7%+4.5%-8.9%
Q3 2019-1.5%-0.7%+5.1%
Q2 2019+5.5%+2.7%+0.4%
Q1 2019-0.8%-1.4%-3.6%
Q4 2018+4.2%+4.1%+5.0%
Q3 2018-5.8%-5.3%-6.6%
Q2 2018+2.5%+3.4%+5.7%
Q1 2018-3.8%-3.4%-4.4%
Q4 2017-6.8%-6.1%-0.6%
Q3 2017+4.3%+5.6%+9.8%
Q2 2017+3.5%+3.5%-0.5%
Q1 2017+0.6%-0.9%+2.0%
Q4 2016+2.9%+3.8%+8.8%
Q3 2016+1.3%-0.5%+5.1%
Q2 2016+0.7%+1.6%+1.2%
Q1 2016+3.8%
Q4 2015+3.5%
Q3 2015+2.1%
Q2 2015-9.9%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+2.5%
Q1 2014+1.2%
Q4 2013+4.9%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q2 2013+2.6%
Q1 2013-2.1%
Q4 2012+1.7%
Q3 2012-2.7%
Q4 2011+4.7%
Q2 2012+4.7%
Q1 2012+2.5%
Q3 2011-3.9%
Q2 2011-0.3%
Q1 2011-1.3%
Q4 2010-0.1%
Q3 2010-6.9%
Q2 2010-0.4%
Q1 2009+0.0%
Q1 2010+1.3%
Q4 2009-0.1%
Q4 2007-0.1%
Q3 2009-2.3%
Q3 2008-2.3%
Q2 2009+0.5%
Q2 2008+0.5%
Q4 2008+0.5%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro