NYSE$AJG

Arthur J.Gallagher & Co · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Arthur J. Gallagher reported financial results for Q4 2020, showing increased net earnings and adjusted EPS.

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. reported strong Q4 2020 results, with an increase in net earnings and adjusted EPS. The company's performance was driven by growth in both its Brokerage and Risk Management segments, as well as effective cost control measures.

  • Total revenue was $1,663.6 million.
  • Net earnings were $153.1 million, or $0.72 per share.
  • Adjusted EPS was $0.88, a 49% increase compared to Q4 2019.
  • The company continues to execute on its long-term operating priorities, including organic growth, acquisitions, and productivity improvements.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.7B

Previous: $1.72B-1.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.88

Previous: $0.58+51.7%
Organic Revenue Growth

3.1%

Previous: 5.8%-46.6%
Net Income

$153M

Previous: $106M+45.0%
Operating Income

$134M

Previous: $84M+59.2%
Gross Profit

$577M

Previous: $532M+8.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$665M

Previous: $605M+9.9%
Total Assets

$22.3B

Previous: $19.6B+13.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.5M

Previous: $3.5M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Arthur J. Gallagher · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.7B

Q4 2020-1%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Arthur J. Gallagher · $1.45B total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Brokerage
    $1.24B+3.6%
  • Risk Management
    $216M+0.9%

Forward guidance

The company expects the favorable property casualty environment with rising rates and growing exposure units to continue in 2021, providing opportunities for growth.

Tailwinds

  • Property casualty rates are expected to continue rising.
  • Business activity is increasing.
  • The labor market is recovering.
  • New risk management claims are rebounding.
  • Customer retention remained at pre-pandemic levels.

Headwinds

  • Renewal exposure units declined.
  • New consulting and special project work decreased in employee benefits.
  • Covered lives on renewal business were similar to the third quarter of 2020, but not at pre-pandemic levels.
  • Consulting engagements and special project work improved slightly from fourth quarter levels, but are still below pre-pandemic levels.
  • Reduced U.S. electricity consumption could persist at least through the first half of 2021, and could even continue throughout all of 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

36 / 68 earnings

Positive

+8.2%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-4.6%

Q1 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%-4.6%-2.6%
Q4 2025-3.3%+1.5%-7.2%
Q3 2025-0.7%-6.7%-11.6%
Q2 2025+0.0%+2.0%+6.5%
Q1 2025+4.1%+6.9%+9.4%
Q3 2024-2.1%-1.3%+5.3%
Q2 2024+3.4%+3.9%+4.9%
Q1 2024-1.1%-0.9%+6.4%
Q4 2023-2.5%-3.6%+2.5%
Q3 2023-1.2%+1.9%+9.4%
Q2 2023-1.6%-0.2%+3.6%
Q1 2023+1.3%+2.3%-0.8%
Q4 2022-1.7%-0.7%-6.3%
Q3 2022+7.2%+6.5%+13.3%
Q2 2022+3.3%-0.6%+8.3%
Q1 2022-3.9%-5.6%-5.6%
Q4 2021+0.9%+2.4%+4.0%
Q3 2021+3.4%+0.5%+0.6%
Q2 2021+1.3%+0.8%+4.5%
Q1 2021+3.5%+3.9%+4.7%
Q4 2020+2.0%+4.0%+5.9%
Q3 2020-0.6%+3.5%+11.1%
Q2 2020+2.6%+0.6%+0.2%
Q1 2020-2.7%+4.3%+18.3%
Q4 2019+3.8%+6.0%-1.3%
Q3 2019-0.8%-0.2%+1.8%
Q2 2019-0.0%-0.6%-4.7%
Q1 2019+1.3%+1.9%+2.7%
Q4 2018+5.5%+7.6%+10.2%
Q3 2018+3.8%+4.1%+7.5%
Q2 2018-0.4%+0.3%+1.4%
Q1 2018-1.9%-1.5%-5.3%
Q4 2017+8.2%+6.5%+5.9%
Q3 2017+0.0%+1.3%+4.6%
Q2 2017+1.3%+0.9%-0.5%
Q1 2017-1.0%-2.3%+1.4%
Q4 2016+1.5%+0.1%+5.7%
Q3 2016-0.4%-1.8%+6.9%
Q2 2016-0.6%-1.1%-1.0%
Q1 2016+2.0%
Q4 2015+1.9%
Q3 2015+0.8%
Q2 2015+1.2%
Q1 2015+1.6%
Q4 2014+2.6%
Q3 2014+3.1%
Q2 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014-4.6%
Q4 2013+1.2%
Q3 2013+0.2%
Q2 2013+1.7%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2011-0.3%
Q1 2010-0.3%
Q4 2012+1.8%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012-0.2%
Q1 2012-0.6%
Q4 2010-1.6%
Q3 2011-3.2%
Q2 2011-3.0%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2008+0.6%
Q3 2010-0.5%
Q3 2009-0.5%
Q4 2009+1.2%
Q2 2009+1.2%
Q2 2010+1.2%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro