NYSE$AJG

Arthur J.Gallagher & Co · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. reported strong Q4 2019 results, driven by organic growth and strategic acquisitions.

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. announced outstanding fourth-quarter results, with a 17% increase in total revenue growth and 5.8% organic revenue growth, driven by the combined brokerage and risk management segments. Net earnings also grew by 31%, and the company completed 11 acquisitions with estimated annualized revenues of $117 million.

  • Total revenue growth of 17% driven by brokerage and risk management segments.
  • Organic revenue growth of 5.8%.
  • Net earnings growth of 31%.
  • Completed 11 acquisitions with estimated annualized revenues of $117 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.72B

Previous: $1.66B+3.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.58

Previous: $0.53+9.4%
Organic Revenue Growth

5.8%

Previous: 6.1%-4.9%
Net Income

$106M

Previous: $117M-10.0%
Operating Income

$84M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$532M

Previous: $429M+24.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$605M

Previous: $607M-0.4%
Total Assets

$19.6B

Previous: $16.3B+20.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.5M

Previous: $3.6M-2.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Arthur J. Gallagher · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.72B

Q4 2019+3.9%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Arthur J. Gallagher · $1.41B total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Brokerage
    $1.19B+19.0%
  • Risk Management
    $215M+6.1%

Forward guidance

The company's 2019 momentum is expected to continue in 2020, with firm and trending higher property & casualty rates, growing client businesses, and historically low unemployment levels.

Tailwinds

  • Property & casualty rates around the world are firm.
  • Property & casualty rates continue to trend higher in most lines and geographies.
  • Clients’ businesses are growing.
  • Unemployment is at historically low levels nearly everywhere.
  • Unique culture encourages colleagues worldwide to seek excellence.

Headwinds

  • Changes in worldwide and national economic conditions, including as a result of pandemics, Brexit, trade wars or tariffs.
  • Changes in premium rates and in insurance markets generally.
  • Changes in the insurance brokerage industry’s competitive landscape.
  • Settling certain patent infringement litigation
  • Defending a new patent matter

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

36 / 68 earnings

Positive

+8.2%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-4.6%

Q1 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%-4.6%-2.6%
Q4 2025-3.3%+1.5%-7.2%
Q3 2025-0.7%-6.7%-11.6%
Q2 2025+0.0%+2.0%+6.5%
Q1 2025+4.1%+6.9%+9.4%
Q3 2024-2.1%-1.3%+5.3%
Q2 2024+3.4%+3.9%+4.9%
Q1 2024-1.1%-0.9%+6.4%
Q4 2023-2.5%-3.6%+2.5%
Q3 2023-1.2%+1.9%+9.4%
Q2 2023-1.6%-0.2%+3.6%
Q1 2023+1.3%+2.3%-0.8%
Q4 2022-1.7%-0.7%-6.3%
Q3 2022+7.2%+6.5%+13.3%
Q2 2022+3.3%-0.6%+8.3%
Q1 2022-3.9%-5.6%-5.6%
Q4 2021+0.9%+2.4%+4.0%
Q3 2021+3.4%+0.5%+0.6%
Q2 2021+1.3%+0.8%+4.5%
Q1 2021+3.5%+3.9%+4.7%
Q4 2020+2.0%+4.0%+5.9%
Q3 2020-0.6%+3.5%+11.1%
Q2 2020+2.6%+0.6%+0.2%
Q1 2020-2.7%+4.3%+18.3%
Q4 2019+3.8%+6.0%-1.3%
Q3 2019-0.8%-0.2%+1.8%
Q2 2019-0.0%-0.6%-4.7%
Q1 2019+1.3%+1.9%+2.7%
Q4 2018+5.5%+7.6%+10.2%
Q3 2018+3.8%+4.1%+7.5%
Q2 2018-0.4%+0.3%+1.4%
Q1 2018-1.9%-1.5%-5.3%
Q4 2017+8.2%+6.5%+5.9%
Q3 2017+0.0%+1.3%+4.6%
Q2 2017+1.3%+0.9%-0.5%
Q1 2017-1.0%-2.3%+1.4%
Q4 2016+1.5%+0.1%+5.7%
Q3 2016-0.4%-1.8%+6.9%
Q2 2016-0.6%-1.1%-1.0%
Q1 2016+2.0%
Q4 2015+1.9%
Q3 2015+0.8%
Q2 2015+1.2%
Q1 2015+1.6%
Q4 2014+2.6%
Q3 2014+3.1%
Q2 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014-4.6%
Q4 2013+1.2%
Q3 2013+0.2%
Q2 2013+1.7%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2011-0.3%
Q1 2010-0.3%
Q4 2012+1.8%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012-0.2%
Q1 2012-0.6%
Q4 2010-1.6%
Q3 2011-3.2%
Q2 2011-3.0%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2008+0.6%
Q3 2010-0.5%
Q3 2009-0.5%
Q4 2009+1.2%
Q2 2009+1.2%
Q2 2010+1.2%

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