NYSE$AJG

Arthur J.Gallagher & Co · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. reported strong revenue growth, excellent organic revenue growth, and continued growth from their tuck-in M&A strategy, delivering fantastic growth in net earnings and EBITDAC.

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. reported a strong start to 2021 with strong total revenue growth, excellent organic revenue growth, and continued growth from their tuck-in M&A strategy. The company delivered fantastic growth in net earnings and EBITDAC, operating in a firm property casualty environment with increasing rates and exposure units.

  • Strong total revenue growth driven by organic growth and tuck-in M&A strategy.
  • Net earnings and EBITDAC showed fantastic growth.
  • Operating in a firm property casualty environment with rising rates across most lines and geographies.
  • Customer retention and new business generation remained similar to pre-pandemic levels.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.17B

Previous: $1.87B+16.0%
EPS (adj)

$2.02

Previous: $1.83+10.4%
Organic Revenue Growth

6.0%

Previous: 3.1%+93.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$27.2M

Previous: -$29.5M+7.8%
Free Cash Flow

$355M

Previous: $317M+12.0%
Net Income

$382M

Previous: $346M+10.3%
Operating Income

-$542M

Previous: -$443M-22.4%
Gross Profit

$1.86B

Previous: $1.68B+10.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$526M

Previous: $353M+49.2%
Total Assets

$24.4B

Previous: $20.8B+17.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.7M

Previous: $3.3M+12.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Arthur J. Gallagher · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.17B

Q1 2021+16%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Arthur J. Gallagher · $2.45B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Brokerage
    $2.12B+22.2%
  • Risk Management
    $331M+20.1%

Forward guidance

Company believes favorable trends should continue for the remainder of 2021; however, if the economic recovery slows or reverses course, benefits revenue could soften from current levels. Lower overall demand for energy caused by the pandemic and more supply from renewables may cause lower production by the plants within our portfolio for the remainder of 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Property/casualty new business, retentions and mid-term policy modifications are trending similar to first quarter 2021 and much improved compared to lows seen in April and May 2020, as our customers’ businesses continue to recover and economic activity increases.
  • Overall property/casualty premium rates move higher and exposure units also trended higher than first quarter 2021.
  • Modest increase in covered lives, consulting engagements and special project work compared to first quarter 2021.
  • New claims arising similar to first quarter 2021, which is a substantial increase compared to lows seen in April and May 2020.
  • Clean energy investments saw higher electricity production in first quarter 2021 compared to first quarter 2020 due to colder temperatures, rising natural gas prices and more plants within our portfolio being operational during the period.

Headwinds

  • Renewal exposure units were lower than pre-pandemic first quarter 2020
  • Covered lives on renewal business still lower than pre-pandemic levels.
  • New consulting and special project work was also lower than pre-pandemic levels.
  • New claims arising were consistent with fourth quarter 2020, but still below pre-pandemic first quarter 2020 levels.
  • Lower overall demand for energy caused by the pandemic and more supply from renewables may cause lower production by the plants within our portfolio for the remainder of 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

36 / 68 earnings

Positive

+8.2%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-4.6%

Q1 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%-4.6%-2.6%
Q4 2025-3.3%+1.5%-7.2%
Q3 2025-0.7%-6.7%-11.6%
Q2 2025+0.0%+2.0%+6.5%
Q1 2025+4.1%+6.9%+9.4%
Q3 2024-2.1%-1.3%+5.3%
Q2 2024+3.4%+3.9%+4.9%
Q1 2024-1.1%-0.9%+6.4%
Q4 2023-2.5%-3.6%+2.5%
Q3 2023-1.2%+1.9%+9.4%
Q2 2023-1.6%-0.2%+3.6%
Q1 2023+1.3%+2.3%-0.8%
Q4 2022-1.7%-0.7%-6.3%
Q3 2022+7.2%+6.5%+13.3%
Q2 2022+3.3%-0.6%+8.3%
Q1 2022-3.9%-5.6%-5.6%
Q4 2021+0.9%+2.4%+4.0%
Q3 2021+3.4%+0.5%+0.6%
Q2 2021+1.3%+0.8%+4.5%
Q1 2021+3.5%+3.9%+4.7%
Q4 2020+2.0%+4.0%+5.9%
Q3 2020-0.6%+3.5%+11.1%
Q2 2020+2.6%+0.6%+0.2%
Q1 2020-2.7%+4.3%+18.3%
Q4 2019+3.8%+6.0%-1.3%
Q3 2019-0.8%-0.2%+1.8%
Q2 2019-0.0%-0.6%-4.7%
Q1 2019+1.3%+1.9%+2.7%
Q4 2018+5.5%+7.6%+10.2%
Q3 2018+3.8%+4.1%+7.5%
Q2 2018-0.4%+0.3%+1.4%
Q1 2018-1.9%-1.5%-5.3%
Q4 2017+8.2%+6.5%+5.9%
Q3 2017+0.0%+1.3%+4.6%
Q2 2017+1.3%+0.9%-0.5%
Q1 2017-1.0%-2.3%+1.4%
Q4 2016+1.5%+0.1%+5.7%
Q3 2016-0.4%-1.8%+6.9%
Q2 2016-0.6%-1.1%-1.0%
Q1 2016+2.0%
Q4 2015+1.9%
Q3 2015+0.8%
Q2 2015+1.2%
Q1 2015+1.6%
Q4 2014+2.6%
Q3 2014+3.1%
Q2 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014-4.6%
Q4 2013+1.2%
Q3 2013+0.2%
Q2 2013+1.7%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2011-0.3%
Q1 2010-0.3%
Q4 2012+1.8%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012-0.2%
Q1 2012-0.6%
Q4 2010-1.6%
Q3 2011-3.2%
Q2 2011-3.0%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2008+0.6%
Q3 2010-0.5%
Q3 2009-0.5%
Q4 2009+1.2%
Q2 2009+1.2%
Q2 2010+1.2%

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