NYSE$AIZ

Assurant Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Assurant's Q3 2022 financial results were reported, revealing a challenging macroeconomic environment impacted earnings.

Assurant's Q3 2022 results showed a decline in GAAP net income and adjusted EBITDA compared to the prior year, but revenue increased slightly. The company is implementing actions to simplify its business and improve expense efficiency.

  • GAAP net income decreased 95 percent versus prior year period.
  • Adjusted EBITDA, excluding reportable catastrophes, decreased 11 percent to $239.6 million.
  • Adjusted earnings, excluding reportable catastrophes, per diluted share, decreased 8 percent to $2.81.
  • Holding company liquidity was $529 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.55B

Previous: $2.64B-3.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.01

Previous: $1.41-28.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$116M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA, ex. catastrophes

$240M

Previous: $262M-8.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$134M

Previous: -$131M-2.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$127M

Previous: $751M-116.9%
Net Income

$7.3M

Previous: $882M-99.2%
Operating Income

$108M

Previous: $1.2B-91.1%
Gross Profit

$926M

Previous: $2.02B-54.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.43B

Previous: $11.2B-87.3%
Total Assets

$33.2B

Previous: $33.6B-1.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$17.9M

Previous: $18.2M-1.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Assurant · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.55B

Q3 2022-3.4%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Assurant · $2.26B total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • Global Lifestyle
    $1.77B
  • Global Housing
    $489M

Forward guidance

The company expects adjusted EBITDA, excluding reportable catastrophes, to be modestly down to flat, as profitable growth in Global Lifestyle is offset by a decline in Global Housing. High single-digit growth in Adjusted earnings, excluding reportable catastrophes, per diluted share, driven by share repurchases.

Tailwinds

  • Global Lifestyle Adjusted EBITDA is expected to increase high single-digits, driven mainly by mobile in Connected Living from expansion across device protection and trade-in and upgrade programs.
  • Global Automotive is also expected to increase, driven by higher investment income and more favorable loss experience in select ancillary products.
  • Adjusted earnings, excluding reportable catastrophes, per diluted share to increase by high single-digits, driven by share repurchases, including the return of net proceeds from the sale of Global Preneed.
  • Assurant’s consolidated effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 18 to 20 percent, which reflects the impact of the first quarter tax benefit and mix of international business.
  • Capital to be deployed to support business growth by funding investments and M&A, and to return capital to shareholders in the form of share repurchases and dividends, subject to Board approval and market conditions.

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA, excluding reportable catastrophes, to be modestly down to flat compared to 2021 results, as growth in Global Lifestyle is offset by a decline in Global Housing.
  • Global Lifestyle Adjusted EBITDA will be partially offset by pressure in Asia Pacific and Europe from unfavorable foreign exchange and lower program volumes.
  • Global Housing Adjusted EBITDA, excluding reportable catastrophes, is expected to decrease by low- to mid-teens, primarily due to higher non-catastrophe loss experience related to elevated inflationary trends, mainly in lender-placed, as well as increased catastrophe reinsurance costs.
  • The decline will be partially offset by higher average insured values and premium rates in lender-placed, along with ongoing expense initiatives.
  • Corporate and Other Adjusted EBITDA loss is expected to be approximately $105.0 million, reflecting higher employee-related and technology expenses compared to the prior year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

36 / 72 earnings

Positive

+14.0%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-13.1%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%+1.2%+8.5%
Q4 2025-8.6%-8.0%-7.6%
Q3 2025+1.7%+5.4%+3.9%
Q2 2025+11.3%+8.9%+11.8%
Q1 2025-0.4%+2.1%+2.9%
Q4 2024-2.6%-4.6%-0.8%
Q3 2024+7.9%+9.5%+17.9%
Q1 2024-2.2%-2.2%-4.4%
Q4 2023+4.1%+3.6%+6.2%
Q3 2023+13.7%+11.7%+14.7%
Q2 2023+6.1%+5.4%+3.6%
Q1 2023+7.3%+6.4%-1.7%
Q4 2022-1.3%+0.2%-10.0%
Q3 2022-3.6%-10.8%-5.8%
Q2 2022-11.7%-11.1%-8.4%
Q1 2022+3.3%+4.3%-0.5%
Q4 2021+9.0%+6.0%+10.9%
Q3 2021+2.5%+0.7%-5.3%
Q2 2021-1.0%+1.8%+8.5%
Q1 2021+1.0%+1.9%+2.8%
Q4 2020-5.2%+1.9%+8.6%
Q3 2020+1.6%+2.2%+5.8%
Q2 2020+14.0%+13.9%+13.7%
Q1 2020-2.1%-1.2%+10.4%
Q4 2019-0.3%+3.9%-29.5%
Q3 2019+0.7%+2.7%+3.0%
Q2 2019+9.0%+10.8%+14.5%
Q1 2019+1.7%+2.8%+10.0%
Q4 2018+0.4%+0.7%+0.7%
Q3 2018+5.6%+8.1%-4.9%
Q2 2018+1.6%+0.2%-2.5%
Q1 2018-1.9%-3.5%+4.9%
Q4 2017-0.5%-0.2%+2.6%
Q3 2017-1.0%-2.1%-1.4%
Q2 2017-1.4%-0.3%-10.1%
Q1 2017+7.5%+6.9%+3.0%
Q4 2016-7.1%-4.6%+2.6%
Q3 2016-1.2%-3.5%+4.0%
Q2 2016-4.4%-5.2%+0.0%
Q1 2016+8.0%
Q4 2015-13.1%
Q3 2015-0.8%
Q2 2015+2.0%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q4 2014-7.3%
Q3 2014+1.4%
Q2 2014+0.0%
Q1 2014+1.2%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013-3.6%
Q2 2013-0.8%
Q1 2013-1.4%
Q4 2012-0.5%
Q3 2012-1.6%
Q2 2012+5.2%
Q1 2012-0.4%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2011-1.8%
Q4 2010-2.9%
Q3 2010+1.9%
Q2 2010+1.2%
Q1 2009-0.9%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q4 2007-1.4%
Q4 2009-1.4%
Q3 2009+2.1%
Q3 2008+2.1%
Q2 2009+4.2%
Q2 2008+4.2%
Q4 2008+4.2%

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