NYSE$AIZ

Assurant Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong double-digit earnings growth year-to-date, led by continued outperformance in Global Housing. The company increased its 2024 outlook to deliver low double-digit growth in Adjusted EBITDA with mid- to high-teens growth in Adjusted EPS, both Ex. Catastrophes.

Assurant reported a decrease in GAAP net income to $133.8 million, but an increase in Adjusted EBITDA, excluding reportable catastrophes, to $385.1 million. The company is increasing its 2024 outlook and expects Adjusted EBITDA to increase low double-digits and Adjusted earnings per share to increase mid- to high-teens, both excluding reportable catastrophes.

  • GAAP net income decreased 30 percent to $133.8 million, compared to the prior year period, while net income per diluted share decreased 28 percent to $2.55 versus the prior year period.
  • Adjusted EBITDA, excluding reportable catastrophes, increased 8 percent to $385.1 million, or 9 percent on a constant currency basis.
  • Adjusted earnings, excluding reportable catastrophes, per diluted share, increased 9 percent to $5.08.
  • Holding company liquidity was $636 million; returned $138 million to shareholders via share repurchases and common stock dividends.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.97B

Previous: $2.77B+7.0%
EPS (adj)

$3.00

Previous: $4.29-30.1%
Adjusted EBITDA

$247M

Previous: $331M-25.3%
Adjusted EBITDA, ex. catastrophes

$385M

Previous: $357M+7.8%
Adjusted earnings, ex. catastrophes, per diluted share

$5.08

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$47.1M

Previous: $50.4M-193.5%
Net Income

$134M

Previous: $190M-29.6%
Operating Income

$152M

Previous: $229M-33.8%
Gross Profit

$2.97B

Previous: $2.77B+7.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$23.7M

Previous: $23.9M-0.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Assurant · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.97B

Q3 2024+7%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Assurant · $2.26B total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • Global Lifestyle
    $1.77B
  • Global Housing
    $489M

Forward guidance

The company now expects Adjusted EBITDA, excluding reportable catastrophes, to increase by low double-digits, led by strong growth in Global Housing and modest growth in Global Lifestyle. Adjusted earnings, excluding reportable catastrophes, per diluted share growth rate to increase by mid- to high-teens.

Tailwinds

  • Global Housing Adjusted EBITDA, excluding reportable catastrophes, to deliver strong growth, mainly driven by top-line growth in Homeowners, favorable non-catastrophe loss experience, benefits from expense leverage and lower catastrophe reinsurance premiums.
  • Expect organic growth and improved profitability in Connected Living programs.
  • Effective tax rate of approximately 18 to 20 percent.
  • Depreciation expense of approximately $135 million.
  • Capital deployment priorities to focus on maintaining a strong financial position, supporting business growth by funding investments and M&A, and returning capital to shareholders through common stock dividends and share repurchases, subject to Board approval.

Headwinds

  • Hurricane Milton is expected to be a reportable catastrophe event with losses in the range of $75 to $110 million pre-tax in Q4 2024.
  • Global Automotive to be down due to continued loss pressure from inflation and elevated losses in select ancillary products.
  • Corporate and Other Adjusted EBITDA loss to now approximate $115 million.
  • Business segment dividends are now expected to be below two-thirds of segment Adjusted EBITDA, including reportable catastrophes.
  • Macroeconomic conditions, including inflation, foreign exchange and interest rate levels, have impacted and may continue to impact the pace and timing of growth.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

36 / 72 earnings

Positive

+14.0%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-13.1%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%+1.2%+8.5%
Q4 2025-8.6%-8.0%-7.6%
Q3 2025+1.7%+5.4%+3.9%
Q2 2025+11.3%+8.9%+11.8%
Q1 2025-0.4%+2.1%+2.9%
Q4 2024-2.6%-4.6%-0.8%
Q3 2024+7.9%+9.5%+17.9%
Q1 2024-2.2%-2.2%-4.4%
Q4 2023+4.1%+3.6%+6.2%
Q3 2023+13.7%+11.7%+14.7%
Q2 2023+6.1%+5.4%+3.6%
Q1 2023+7.3%+6.4%-1.7%
Q4 2022-1.3%+0.2%-10.0%
Q3 2022-3.6%-10.8%-5.8%
Q2 2022-11.7%-11.1%-8.4%
Q1 2022+3.3%+4.3%-0.5%
Q4 2021+9.0%+6.0%+10.9%
Q3 2021+2.5%+0.7%-5.3%
Q2 2021-1.0%+1.8%+8.5%
Q1 2021+1.0%+1.9%+2.8%
Q4 2020-5.2%+1.9%+8.6%
Q3 2020+1.6%+2.2%+5.8%
Q2 2020+14.0%+13.9%+13.7%
Q1 2020-2.1%-1.2%+10.4%
Q4 2019-0.3%+3.9%-29.5%
Q3 2019+0.7%+2.7%+3.0%
Q2 2019+9.0%+10.8%+14.5%
Q1 2019+1.7%+2.8%+10.0%
Q4 2018+0.4%+0.7%+0.7%
Q3 2018+5.6%+8.1%-4.9%
Q2 2018+1.6%+0.2%-2.5%
Q1 2018-1.9%-3.5%+4.9%
Q4 2017-0.5%-0.2%+2.6%
Q3 2017-1.0%-2.1%-1.4%
Q2 2017-1.4%-0.3%-10.1%
Q1 2017+7.5%+6.9%+3.0%
Q4 2016-7.1%-4.6%+2.6%
Q3 2016-1.2%-3.5%+4.0%
Q2 2016-4.4%-5.2%+0.0%
Q1 2016+8.0%
Q4 2015-13.1%
Q3 2015-0.8%
Q2 2015+2.0%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q4 2014-7.3%
Q3 2014+1.4%
Q2 2014+0.0%
Q1 2014+1.2%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013-3.6%
Q2 2013-0.8%
Q1 2013-1.4%
Q4 2012-0.5%
Q3 2012-1.6%
Q2 2012+5.2%
Q1 2012-0.4%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2011-1.8%
Q4 2010-2.9%
Q3 2010+1.9%
Q2 2010+1.2%
Q1 2009-0.9%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q4 2007-1.4%
Q4 2009-1.4%
Q3 2009+2.1%
Q3 2008+2.1%
Q2 2009+4.2%
Q2 2008+4.2%
Q4 2008+4.2%

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