NYSE$AIZ

Assurant Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Assurant's Q3 2020 financial performance was marked by resilience and strength in its lifestyle and housing businesses, with strategic moves to deepen focus on connected mobile devices, cars, and homes.

Assurant reported a net loss of $34.9 million, or $0.58 per share, compared to a net loss of $59.5 million, or $0.96 per share, in the prior year period. Net operating income was $84.8 million, or $171.8 million excluding reportable catastrophes. The company is raising its 2020 outlook to 17 to 21 percent growth in net operating income per share, excluding catastrophe losses.

  • Net loss of $34.9 million, or $0.58 per share, compared to the prior year period net loss of $59.5 million or $0.96 per share
  • Net operating income of $84.8 million, or $171.8 million excluding reportable catastrophes, down 19 percent and up 22 percent, respectively
  • Net operating income per diluted share of $1.41, or $2.85 excluding reportable catastrophes, down 17 percent and up 25 percent, respectively
  • $460 million of holding company liquidity available at quarter end

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.5B

Previous: $2.5B+0.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.41

Previous: $1.69-16.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$172M

Previous: $141M+21.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$81.1M

Previous: -$70.5M-15.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$111M

Previous: -$125M+11.2%
Net Income

-$30.2M

Previous: -$54.8M+44.9%
Operating Income

$967M

Previous: $1.02B-5.4%
Gross Profit

$1.79B

Previous: $1.79B-0.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$17.4B

Previous: $1.75B+895.2%
Total Assets

$43.6B

Previous: $43.8B-0.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$15.5M

Previous: $15M+3.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Assurant · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.5B

Q3 2020+0.1%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Assurant · $2.26B total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • Global Lifestyle
    $1.77B
  • Global Housing
    $489M

Forward guidance

The company’s outlook for 2020 is based on its current assumptions regarding market and business conditions, including the impacts of COVID-19, and does not reflect Assurant’s pending acquisition of HYLA Mobile and related financing, nor the company’s ongoing evaluation of strategic alternatives for Global Preneed.

Tailwinds

  • Assurant net operating income per diluted share, excluding reportable catastrophes, to increase 17 percent to 21 percent from $9.21 in 2019
  • This will be driven by profitable growth and ongoing expense management across all business segments.
  • Double-digit growth in net operating income, excluding reportable catastrophes, mainly driven by Global Lifestyle and Global Housing.
  • Earnings growth to be driven by Connected Living as well as Global Automotive, partially offset by continued declines in legacy Global Financial Services and investments to support growth.
  • Global Housing earnings, excluding catastrophe losses, to expand, mainly from lower non-catastrophe losses, improved results in specialty and other, and growth in multifamily housing.

Headwinds

  • Mandatory convertible shares are expected to be dilutive for the year versus anti-dilutive in 2019.
  • Global Housing growth to be partially offset by the previously disclosed loss of loans from a financially insolvent client and lower real estate owned volumes in lender-placed insurance.
  • Continued pressure from lower investment income and foreign exchange volatility are also expected to impact results.
  • Corporate and Other full-year net operating loss to approximate $90 million, reflecting reduced investment income primarily from lower yields partially offset by lower general expenses.
  • Interest expense and preferred dividends are expected to be approximately $81 million and $19 million, respectively.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

36 / 72 earnings

Positive

+14.0%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-13.1%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%+1.2%+8.5%
Q4 2025-8.6%-8.0%-7.6%
Q3 2025+1.7%+5.4%+3.9%
Q2 2025+11.3%+8.9%+11.8%
Q1 2025-0.4%+2.1%+2.9%
Q4 2024-2.6%-4.6%-0.8%
Q3 2024+7.9%+9.5%+17.9%
Q1 2024-2.2%-2.2%-4.4%
Q4 2023+4.1%+3.6%+6.2%
Q3 2023+13.7%+11.7%+14.7%
Q2 2023+6.1%+5.4%+3.6%
Q1 2023+7.3%+6.4%-1.7%
Q4 2022-1.3%+0.2%-10.0%
Q3 2022-3.6%-10.8%-5.8%
Q2 2022-11.7%-11.1%-8.4%
Q1 2022+3.3%+4.3%-0.5%
Q4 2021+9.0%+6.0%+10.9%
Q3 2021+2.5%+0.7%-5.3%
Q2 2021-1.0%+1.8%+8.5%
Q1 2021+1.0%+1.9%+2.8%
Q4 2020-5.2%+1.9%+8.6%
Q3 2020+1.6%+2.2%+5.8%
Q2 2020+14.0%+13.9%+13.7%
Q1 2020-2.1%-1.2%+10.4%
Q4 2019-0.3%+3.9%-29.5%
Q3 2019+0.7%+2.7%+3.0%
Q2 2019+9.0%+10.8%+14.5%
Q1 2019+1.7%+2.8%+10.0%
Q4 2018+0.4%+0.7%+0.7%
Q3 2018+5.6%+8.1%-4.9%
Q2 2018+1.6%+0.2%-2.5%
Q1 2018-1.9%-3.5%+4.9%
Q4 2017-0.5%-0.2%+2.6%
Q3 2017-1.0%-2.1%-1.4%
Q2 2017-1.4%-0.3%-10.1%
Q1 2017+7.5%+6.9%+3.0%
Q4 2016-7.1%-4.6%+2.6%
Q3 2016-1.2%-3.5%+4.0%
Q2 2016-4.4%-5.2%+0.0%
Q1 2016+8.0%
Q4 2015-13.1%
Q3 2015-0.8%
Q2 2015+2.0%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q4 2014-7.3%
Q3 2014+1.4%
Q2 2014+0.0%
Q1 2014+1.2%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013-3.6%
Q2 2013-0.8%
Q1 2013-1.4%
Q4 2012-0.5%
Q3 2012-1.6%
Q2 2012+5.2%
Q1 2012-0.4%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2011-1.8%
Q4 2010-2.9%
Q3 2010+1.9%
Q2 2010+1.2%
Q1 2009-0.9%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q4 2007-1.4%
Q4 2009-1.4%
Q3 2009+2.1%
Q3 2008+2.1%
Q2 2009+4.2%
Q2 2008+4.2%
Q4 2008+4.2%

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