NYSE$AEE

Ameren Corp · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ameren's Q4 2020 earnings increased due to infrastructure investments and new electric service rates, offset by increased interest expense and lower return on equity.

Ameren Corporation reported net income attributable to common shareholders of $115 million, or 46 cents per diluted share, for the three months ended December 31, 2020, compared to $94 million, or 38 cents per diluted share, for the same period in 2019. The increase was driven by infrastructure investments, new electric service rates, and lower operations and maintenance expenses.

  • Q4 2020 earnings increased due to increased infrastructure investments across all business segments.
  • New Ameren Missouri electric service rates effective April 1, 2020, positively impacted earnings.
  • Lower operations and maintenance expenses, primarily at Ameren Missouri, contributed to the earnings increase.
  • Increased interest expense and a lower allowed return on equity at Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution partially offset the favorable factors.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.33B

Previous: $1.32B+0.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.46

Previous: $0.38+21.1%
Capital Expenditures

$785M

Previous: $650M+20.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$387M

Previous: -$148M-161.5%
Net Income

$116M

Previous: $95M+22.1%
Operating Income

$211M

Previous: $179M+17.9%
Gross Profit

$598M

Previous: $535M+11.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$139M

Previous: $16M+768.8%
Total Assets

$32B

Previous: $28.9B+10.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$5M

Previous: $5M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Ameren · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.33B

Q4 2020+0.9%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ameren · $1.31B total across 4 segments · Q4 2020

  • Ameren Missouri
    $598M+1.0%
  • Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution
    $365M-0.8%
  • Ameren Illinois Natural Gas
    $227M-0.9%
  • Ameren Transmission
    $123M+8.8%

Forward guidance

Ameren expects 2021 diluted earnings per share to be in a range of $3.65 to $3.85 and diluted earnings per share to grow at a 6% to 8% compound annual rate from 2021 through 2025.

Tailwinds

  • Strong projected rate base growth of approximately 8% compounded annually from 2020 through 2025.
  • Increase to our quarterly dividend, which marked the eighth consecutive year of growth.
  • Future dividend growth to be in line with its long-term earnings-per-share growth expectations and within a payout ratio of 55% to 70%.
  • Robust pipeline of critical infrastructure investments to modernize the energy grid
  • Transition to a cleaner energy portfolio in a responsible fashion.

Headwinds

  • Impacts of COVID-19
  • 30-year U.S. Treasury bond yields
  • Regulatory, judicial and legislative actions
  • Energy center and energy distribution operations
  • Energy, economic, capital and credit market conditions

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

31 / 63 earnings

Positive

+5.4%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-5.2%

Q3 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%-3.4%-2.1%
Q4 2025+3.1%+4.3%+5.7%
Q3 2025+0.8%+3.9%-1.4%
Q1 2025+1.4%+1.5%-1.2%
Q4 2024-0.2%-0.4%+0.9%
Q3 2024-1.3%+5.3%+4.7%
Q2 2024+4.1%+1.6%+4.1%
Q1 2024-0.5%-0.2%-1.5%
Q4 2023+0.3%-0.1%+0.4%
Q3 2023-2.4%-4.1%+0.0%
Q2 2023-2.0%-4.1%-7.3%
Q1 2023+2.1%+0.2%-8.4%
Q4 2022+0.8%+2.4%-0.2%
Q3 2022-0.2%+1.4%+8.5%
Q2 2022-1.1%+1.3%+0.7%
Q1 2022-1.3%-1.0%-0.6%
Q4 2021+0.2%+0.5%+4.0%
Q3 2021+0.0%-1.6%+0.8%
Q2 2021+1.9%+2.9%+3.4%
Q1 2021-1.9%-1.5%+0.4%
Q4 2020-1.3%-2.0%+7.5%
Q3 2020-2.2%-1.5%-8.6%
Q2 2020+2.2%+0.9%-1.9%
Q1 2020-2.7%-3.0%+5.6%
Q4 2019-2.4%+1.0%-11.2%
Q3 2019-0.7%+1.3%+0.8%
Q2 2019-2.1%-1.9%+0.7%
Q1 2019+2.7%+3.5%+6.3%
Q4 2018-0.5%+0.0%+4.3%
Q3 2018-1.0%-0.5%+5.6%
Q2 2018+1.3%+1.3%+2.4%
Q1 2018-1.0%-0.6%-0.4%
Q4 2017-2.1%-3.3%-1.4%
Q3 2017-0.3%+0.5%+2.3%
Q2 2017+1.6%+1.9%+4.9%
Q1 2017+1.0%-0.1%+5.4%
Q4 2016+1.6%+2.6%+4.8%
Q3 2016+3.5%-0.0%+1.2%
Q2 2016-1.7%-1.6%-4.2%
Q1 2016-1.1%
Q4 2015-0.1%
Q3 2015-2.0%
Q2 2015+4.6%
Q1 2015+0.0%
Q4 2014-1.1%
Q3 2014+0.0%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013+5.4%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q2 2013+2.4%
Q1 2013+1.8%
Q4 2012-0.2%
Q3 2012-5.2%
Q2 2012+1.2%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q2 2011+1.8%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2010+1.4%
Q3 2010-1.0%
Q2 2010+1.5%
Q1 2010+4.3%

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