NYSE$AEE

Ameren Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ameren's Q4 2022 earnings increased compared to the same period in 2021, driven by increased infrastructure investments across all business segments and higher weather-driven electric retail sales at Ameren Missouri.

Ameren Corporation reported net income attributable to common shareholders of $163 million, or 63 cents per diluted share, for the three months ended December 31, 2022, compared to $125 million, or 48 cents per diluted share, for the same period in 2021. The increase was primarily due to increased infrastructure investments and higher weather-driven electric retail sales.

  • 2022 Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS) were $4.14, Compared to $3.84 in 2021.
  • 2023 Diluted EPS Guidance Range Established at $4.25 to $4.45.
  • 2023 through 2027 Diluted EPS Compound Annual Growth Rate Guidance of 6% to 8% using 2023 Guidance Midpoint as a Base.
  • The year-over-year increase in fourth quarter 2022 earnings was due to increased infrastructure investments across all of our business segments.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.05B

Previous: $1.55B+32.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.63

Previous: $0.48+31.3%
Capital Expenditures

$914M

Previous: $856M+6.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$250M

Previous: -$387M+35.4%
Net Income

$164M

Previous: $126M+30.2%
Operating Income

$276M

Previous: $197M+40.1%
Gross Profit

$724M

Previous: $607M+19.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$10M

Previous: $8M+25.0%
Total Assets

$37.9B

Previous: $35.7B+6.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$6M

Previous: $5M+20.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Ameren · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.05B

Q4 2022+32.4%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ameren · $2.02B total across 4 segments · Q4 2022

  • Ameren Missouri
    $883M+32.0%
  • Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution
    $615M+49.3%
  • Ameren Illinois Natural Gas
    $369M+17.1%
  • Ameren Transmission
    $150M+10.3%

Forward guidance

Ameren expects 2023 diluted earnings per share to be in a range of $4.25 to $4.45. Ameren expects diluted earnings per share to grow at a 6% to 8% compound annual rate from 2023 through 2027, using the 2023 guidance range midpoint of $4.35 per share as the base. Ameren's multi-year earnings growth is expected to be driven by strong projected rate base growth of approximately 8% compounded annually from 2022 through 2027.

Tailwinds

  • Investments to modernize the energy grid
  • Transition to a cleaner energy portfolio in a responsible fashion.
  • Relentless focus on disciplined cost management
  • Deliver superior and consistent value to our customers
  • Deliver value to the communities we serve, our shareholders and the environment

Headwinds

  • 30-year U.S. Treasury bond yields in 2023
  • regulatory, judicial and legislative actions
  • energy center and energy distribution operations
  • energy, economic, capital and credit market conditions
  • severe storms

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

31 / 63 earnings

Positive

+5.4%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-5.2%

Q3 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%-3.4%-2.1%
Q4 2025+3.1%+4.3%+5.7%
Q3 2025+0.8%+3.9%-1.4%
Q1 2025+1.4%+1.5%-1.2%
Q4 2024-0.2%-0.4%+0.9%
Q3 2024-1.3%+5.3%+4.7%
Q2 2024+4.1%+1.6%+4.1%
Q1 2024-0.5%-0.2%-1.5%
Q4 2023+0.3%-0.1%+0.4%
Q3 2023-2.4%-4.1%+0.0%
Q2 2023-2.0%-4.1%-7.3%
Q1 2023+2.1%+0.2%-8.4%
Q4 2022+0.8%+2.4%-0.2%
Q3 2022-0.2%+1.4%+8.5%
Q2 2022-1.1%+1.3%+0.7%
Q1 2022-1.3%-1.0%-0.6%
Q4 2021+0.2%+0.5%+4.0%
Q3 2021+0.0%-1.6%+0.8%
Q2 2021+1.9%+2.9%+3.4%
Q1 2021-1.9%-1.5%+0.4%
Q4 2020-1.3%-2.0%+7.5%
Q3 2020-2.2%-1.5%-8.6%
Q2 2020+2.2%+0.9%-1.9%
Q1 2020-2.7%-3.0%+5.6%
Q4 2019-2.4%+1.0%-11.2%
Q3 2019-0.7%+1.3%+0.8%
Q2 2019-2.1%-1.9%+0.7%
Q1 2019+2.7%+3.5%+6.3%
Q4 2018-0.5%+0.0%+4.3%
Q3 2018-1.0%-0.5%+5.6%
Q2 2018+1.3%+1.3%+2.4%
Q1 2018-1.0%-0.6%-0.4%
Q4 2017-2.1%-3.3%-1.4%
Q3 2017-0.3%+0.5%+2.3%
Q2 2017+1.6%+1.9%+4.9%
Q1 2017+1.0%-0.1%+5.4%
Q4 2016+1.6%+2.6%+4.8%
Q3 2016+3.5%-0.0%+1.2%
Q2 2016-1.7%-1.6%-4.2%
Q1 2016-1.1%
Q4 2015-0.1%
Q3 2015-2.0%
Q2 2015+4.6%
Q1 2015+0.0%
Q4 2014-1.1%
Q3 2014+0.0%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013+5.4%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q2 2013+2.4%
Q1 2013+1.8%
Q4 2012-0.2%
Q3 2012-5.2%
Q2 2012+1.2%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q2 2011+1.8%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2010+1.4%
Q3 2010-1.0%
Q2 2010+1.5%
Q1 2010+4.3%

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