NYSE$AEE

Ameren Corp · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ameren's first quarter earnings decreased compared to the same period last year, but the company affirmed its 2020 earnings guidance.

Ameren Corporation reported a decrease in net income attributable to common shareholders for the first quarter of 2020, with earnings per share also declining. The company's results were affected by lower weather-driven retail sales and the absence of energy efficiency performance incentives at Ameren Missouri, as well as lower allowed returns on equity at Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution and Ameren Transmission. Despite these challenges, Ameren reaffirmed its 2020 earnings guidance and long-term earnings growth guidance.

  • First quarter diluted earnings per share were $0.59 in 2020, compared to $0.78 in 2019.
  • Net income attributable to common shareholders was $146 million, down from $191 million in the first quarter of 2019.
  • The company reaffirmed its 2020 earnings guidance range of $3.40 to $3.60 per diluted share.
  • Ameren also affirmed its 2020 through 2024 compound annual diluted earnings per share growth expectations of 6% to 8%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1M

Previous: $1.56B-99.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.59

Previous: $0.78-24.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$636M

Previous: -$544M-16.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$488M

Previous: -$351M-39.0%
Net Income

$148M

Previous: $193M-23.3%
Operating Income

$241M

Previous: $288M-16.3%
Gross Profit

-$64M

Previous: $1.08B-105.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$42M

Previous: $8M+425.0%
Total Assets

$29.3B

Previous: $27.5B+6.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$6M

Previous: $6M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Ameren · Revenue · Quarterly

$1M

Q1 2020-99.9%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ameren · $1.42B total across 4 segments · Q1 2020

  • Ameren Missouri
    $631M
  • Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution
    $390M
  • Ameren Illinois Natural Gas
    $271M
  • Ameren Transmission
    $123M

Forward guidance

Ameren reaffirmed its 2020 earnings guidance range of $3.40 to $3.60 per diluted share and its 2020 through 2024 compound annual diluted earnings per share growth expectations of 6% to 8%.

Tailwinds

  • Remain on track to deliver within our 2020 earnings per share guidance range of $3.40 to $3.60
  • Affirmed 2020 earnings guidance range of $3.40 to $3.60 per diluted share.
  • Affirmed 2020 through 2024 compound annual diluted earnings per share growth expectations of 6% to 8%
  • Expected multi-year earnings growth is expected to be driven by strong projected rate base growth of approximately 9% compounded annually from 2019 through 2024.
  • Managing through an unprecedented time in our country’s and company’s history due to COVID-19.

Headwinds

  • The impacts of COVID-19
  • 30-year U.S. Treasury bond yields
  • Regulatory, judicial and legislative actions
  • Energy center and energy distribution operations
  • Severe storms

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

31 / 63 earnings

Positive

+5.4%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-5.2%

Q3 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%-3.4%-2.1%
Q4 2025+3.1%+4.3%+5.7%
Q3 2025+0.8%+3.9%-1.4%
Q1 2025+1.4%+1.5%-1.2%
Q4 2024-0.2%-0.4%+0.9%
Q3 2024-1.3%+5.3%+4.7%
Q2 2024+4.1%+1.6%+4.1%
Q1 2024-0.5%-0.2%-1.5%
Q4 2023+0.3%-0.1%+0.4%
Q3 2023-2.4%-4.1%+0.0%
Q2 2023-2.0%-4.1%-7.3%
Q1 2023+2.1%+0.2%-8.4%
Q4 2022+0.8%+2.4%-0.2%
Q3 2022-0.2%+1.4%+8.5%
Q2 2022-1.1%+1.3%+0.7%
Q1 2022-1.3%-1.0%-0.6%
Q4 2021+0.2%+0.5%+4.0%
Q3 2021+0.0%-1.6%+0.8%
Q2 2021+1.9%+2.9%+3.4%
Q1 2021-1.9%-1.5%+0.4%
Q4 2020-1.3%-2.0%+7.5%
Q3 2020-2.2%-1.5%-8.6%
Q2 2020+2.2%+0.9%-1.9%
Q1 2020-2.7%-3.0%+5.6%
Q4 2019-2.4%+1.0%-11.2%
Q3 2019-0.7%+1.3%+0.8%
Q2 2019-2.1%-1.9%+0.7%
Q1 2019+2.7%+3.5%+6.3%
Q4 2018-0.5%+0.0%+4.3%
Q3 2018-1.0%-0.5%+5.6%
Q2 2018+1.3%+1.3%+2.4%
Q1 2018-1.0%-0.6%-0.4%
Q4 2017-2.1%-3.3%-1.4%
Q3 2017-0.3%+0.5%+2.3%
Q2 2017+1.6%+1.9%+4.9%
Q1 2017+1.0%-0.1%+5.4%
Q4 2016+1.6%+2.6%+4.8%
Q3 2016+3.5%-0.0%+1.2%
Q2 2016-1.7%-1.6%-4.2%
Q1 2016-1.1%
Q4 2015-0.1%
Q3 2015-2.0%
Q2 2015+4.6%
Q1 2015+0.0%
Q4 2014-1.1%
Q3 2014+0.0%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013+5.4%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q2 2013+2.4%
Q1 2013+1.8%
Q4 2012-0.2%
Q3 2012-5.2%
Q2 2012+1.2%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q2 2011+1.8%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2010+1.4%
Q3 2010-1.0%
Q2 2010+1.5%
Q1 2010+4.3%

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