NYSE$AEE

Ameren Corp · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ameren's Q4 2023 earnings decreased slightly compared to the same period in 2022, primarily due to milder winter temperatures and increased interest expenses, despite increased infrastructure investments and new electric service rates in Missouri.

Ameren Corporation reported net income attributable to common shareholders of $158 million, or $0.60 per diluted share, for the three months ended December 31, 2023. This compares to a net income of $163 million, or $0.63 per diluted share, for the same period in 2022. The decrease was primarily due to lower Ameren Missouri electric retail sales driven by milder-than-normal winter temperatures and higher interest expense at Ameren Parent, offset by increased infrastructure investments and new electric service rates.

  • Q4 2023 net income attributable to common shareholders was $158 million, or $0.60 per diluted share, compared to $163 million, or $0.63 per diluted share, in Q4 2022.
  • Earnings were impacted by increased infrastructure investments across all business segments.
  • Ameren Missouri earnings benefited from new electric service rates effective July 9, 2023.
  • Milder-than-normal winter temperatures compared to the previous year led to lower Ameren Missouri electric retail sales.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.62B

Previous: $2.05B-20.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.60

Previous: $0.63-4.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.14B

Previous: $914M-224.4%
Net Income

$159M

Previous: $164M-3.0%
Operating Income

$264M

Previous: $276M-4.3%
Gross Profit

$388M

Previous: $724M-46.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$5M

Previous: $6M-16.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Ameren · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.62B

Q4 2023-20.9%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ameren · $2.09B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Ameren Missouri
    $1.22B-8.9%
  • Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution
    $558M-17.0%
  • Ameren Transmission
    $188M+11.2%
  • Ameren Illinois Natural Gas
    $122M-16.4%

Forward guidance

Ameren expects 2024 diluted earnings per share to be in a range of $4.52 to $4.72. Ameren expects diluted earnings per share to grow at a 6% to 8% compound annual rate from 2024 through 2028, using the 2024 guidance range midpoint of $4.62 per share as the base.

Tailwinds

  • Investments to modernize the energy grid.
  • Transition to a cleaner energy portfolio.
  • Disciplined cost management.
  • Reliability improvements.
  • Projected rate base growth of approximately 8.2% compounded annually from 2023 through 2028.

Headwinds

  • Regulatory, judicial and legislative actions.
  • Energy center and energy distribution operations.
  • Energy, economic, capital and credit market conditions.
  • Customer usage.
  • Severe storms.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.9%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

31 / 63 earnings

Positive

+5.4%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-5.2%

Q3 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%-3.4%-2.1%
Q4 2025+3.1%+4.3%+5.7%
Q3 2025+0.8%+3.9%-1.4%
Q1 2025+1.4%+1.5%-1.2%
Q4 2024-0.2%-0.4%+0.9%
Q3 2024-1.3%+5.3%+4.7%
Q2 2024+4.1%+1.6%+4.1%
Q1 2024-0.5%-0.2%-1.5%
Q4 2023+0.3%-0.1%+0.4%
Q3 2023-2.4%-4.1%+0.0%
Q2 2023-2.0%-4.1%-7.3%
Q1 2023+2.1%+0.2%-8.4%
Q4 2022+0.8%+2.4%-0.2%
Q3 2022-0.2%+1.4%+8.5%
Q2 2022-1.1%+1.3%+0.7%
Q1 2022-1.3%-1.0%-0.6%
Q4 2021+0.2%+0.5%+4.0%
Q3 2021+0.0%-1.6%+0.8%
Q2 2021+1.9%+2.9%+3.4%
Q1 2021-1.9%-1.5%+0.4%
Q4 2020-1.3%-2.0%+7.5%
Q3 2020-2.2%-1.5%-8.6%
Q2 2020+2.2%+0.9%-1.9%
Q1 2020-2.7%-3.0%+5.6%
Q4 2019-2.4%+1.0%-11.2%
Q3 2019-0.7%+1.3%+0.8%
Q2 2019-2.1%-1.9%+0.7%
Q1 2019+2.7%+3.5%+6.3%
Q4 2018-0.5%+0.0%+4.3%
Q3 2018-1.0%-0.5%+5.6%
Q2 2018+1.3%+1.3%+2.4%
Q1 2018-1.0%-0.6%-0.4%
Q4 2017-2.1%-3.3%-1.4%
Q3 2017-0.3%+0.5%+2.3%
Q2 2017+1.6%+1.9%+4.9%
Q1 2017+1.0%-0.1%+5.4%
Q4 2016+1.6%+2.6%+4.8%
Q3 2016+3.5%-0.0%+1.2%
Q2 2016-1.7%-1.6%-4.2%
Q1 2016-1.1%
Q4 2015-0.1%
Q3 2015-2.0%
Q2 2015+4.6%
Q1 2015+0.0%
Q4 2014-1.1%
Q3 2014+0.0%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013+5.4%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q2 2013+2.4%
Q1 2013+1.8%
Q4 2012-0.2%
Q3 2012-5.2%
Q2 2012+1.2%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q2 2011+1.8%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2010+1.4%
Q3 2010-1.0%
Q2 2010+1.5%
Q1 2010+4.3%

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