NYSE$ADC

Agree Realty Corp · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Agree Realty reported third quarter results, increased acquisition guidance, and fortified the balance sheet.

Agree Realty Corporation reported an increase in net income and Core FFO for the third quarter of 2022, driven by strategic capital markets transactions and a strong portfolio. The company increased the lower end of its 2022 acquisition guidance to $1.6 billion and fortified its balance sheet with over $800 million of capital raised.

  • Net income for the three months ended September 30, 2022 increased 3.3% to $37.6 million, compared to $36.4 million for the comparable period in 2021.
  • Core FFO for the three months ended September 30, 2022 increased 22.2% to $78.2 million, compared to Core FFO of $64.0 million for the comparable period in 2021.
  • Acquisition volume for the third quarter totaled $360.2 million and included 98 properties net leased to leading retailers.
  • The Company is increasing the lower end of its outlook for acquisition volume for the full-year 2022 to $1.6 billion and is maintaining the upper end of the range at $1.7 billion of high-quality retail net lease properties.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$110M

Previous: $87.5M+25.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.96

Previous: $0.89+7.9%
Gross Leasable Area

35.8M

Previous: 27.7M+29.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$362M

Previous: -$341M-6.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$322M

Previous: -$304M-6.0%
Net Income

$39.4M

Previous: $36.7M+7.5%
Operating Income

$57.3M

Previous: $50.3M+14.0%
Gross Profit

$110M

Previous: $87.5M+25.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$6.07M

Previous: $91.9M-93.4%
Total Assets

$4.03B

Previous: $5B-19.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.51M

Previous: $507K+198.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Agree Realty · Revenue · Quarterly

$110M

Q3 2022+25.7%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Agree Realty Corporation is increasing the lower end of its outlook for acquisition volume for the full-year 2022 to $1.6 billion and is maintaining the upper end of the range at $1.7 billion of high-quality retail net lease properties. For the full-year 2022, the Company anticipates commencing between $85 million and $125 million of development and PCS projects.

Tailwinds

  • Increasing the lower end of its outlook for acquisition volume for the full-year 2022 to $1.6 billion
  • Maintaining the upper end of the range at $1.7 billion of high-quality retail net lease properties.
  • Anticipates commencing between $85 million and $125 million of development and PCS projects for the full-year 2022
  • Industry-leading portfolio
  • Fortress balance sheet

Headwinds

  • Potential adverse effect of ongoing worldwide economic uncertainties
  • Current pandemic of the novel coronavirus, or COVID-19
  • Increased inflation and interest rates on the financial condition
  • Weakening of real estate markets
  • Decreases in the availability of credit

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.0%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+6.3%

Q1 2010

Best reaction

-6.7%

Q2 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.8%-3.7%-4.3%
Q4 2025+0.3%+2.1%+3.5%
Q3 2025+0.2%-0.1%-0.6%
Q1 2025-2.4%-3.4%-5.2%
Q4 2024-1.7%-2.2%+5.9%
Q3 2024+2.3%+0.1%+2.9%
Q2 2024+2.3%+3.6%+9.2%
Q1 2024+2.6%+1.5%+3.7%
Q4 2023-3.4%-1.9%-5.0%
Q3 2023+0.3%+0.6%+6.4%
Q2 2023-2.7%-0.3%-4.6%
Q1 2023+2.5%+0.8%-2.3%
Q4 2022+1.3%+2.6%-6.4%
Q3 2022-3.2%-0.6%+2.2%
Q2 2022-3.0%-2.2%-4.3%
Q1 2022+4.3%+2.1%+6.5%
Q4 2021-1.6%+2.1%+1.6%
Q3 2021+0.6%-0.2%-6.5%
Q2 2021+0.6%+0.2%-1.8%
Q1 2021+0.9%+0.0%+2.8%
Q4 2020-1.8%+0.2%+3.4%
Q3 2020-0.5%+0.1%-1.5%
Q2 2020-2.8%-5.2%+0.6%
Q1 2020+0.7%-2.4%-1.8%
Q4 2019+3.8%-0.1%-31.3%
Q3 2019+1.7%+2.2%-0.9%
Q2 2019+5.3%+6.4%+14.0%
Q1 2019+0.3%+3.4%+3.1%
Q4 2018+1.8%+1.4%+5.3%
Q3 2018+0.1%+5.4%+8.2%
Q2 2018-1.5%-2.4%+5.1%
Q1 2018-0.4%+2.9%+7.3%
Q4 2017+5.9%+4.6%+3.2%
Q3 2017-0.7%-4.7%+0.7%
Q2 2017+1.1%+4.1%+5.0%
Q1 2017-1.4%-5.1%-10.3%
Q4 2016+3.7%+1.5%-1.6%
Q3 2016+1.2%-1.7%-7.9%
Q2 2016-1.2%+1.6%-4.2%
Q1 2016+3.1%
Q4 2015-3.6%
Q3 2015+2.2%
Q2 2015-0.1%
Q1 2015+0.7%
Q4 2014+0.1%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2014-1.3%
Q1 2014+0.2%
Q4 2013+0.1%
Q3 2013-0.8%
Q2 2013-0.8%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012-0.7%
Q2 2012+0.3%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q3 2011-0.2%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q4 2010-6.7%
Q2 2010-6.7%
Q1 2010+6.3%

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