NYSE$ADC

Agree Realty Corp · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Agree Realty reported record results and increased acquisition guidance.

Agree Realty Corporation announced record second quarter 2020 results, with net income increasing by 36.1% and core FFO rising by 32.0%. The company also increased its 2020 acquisition guidance to $900 million to $1.1 billion.

  • Net income attributable to the Company increased 36.1% to $25.3 million.
  • Core FFO increased 32.0% to $40.9 million.
  • Total acquisition volume for the second quarter of 2020 was approximately $271.8 million.
  • The Company increased its full-year acquisition guidance to a range of $900 million to $1.1 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$57.5M

Previous: $44.9M+28.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.76

Previous: $0.74+2.7%
Gross Leasable Area

18.4M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$273M

Previous: -$331M+17.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$247M

Previous: -$313M+20.9%
Net Income

$25.3M

Previous: $18.6M+36.1%
Operating Income

$29.2M

Previous: $23.4M+24.6%
Gross Profit

$57.5M

Previous: $44.9M+28.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$29.3M

Previous: $5.52M+431.5%
Total Assets

$3.11B

Previous: $2.3B+35.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.22M

Previous: $1.03M+19.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Agree Realty · Revenue · Quarterly

$57.5M

Q2 2020+28.1%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company’s outlook for total acquisition volume in 2020, which includes several significant assumptions, is being increased to a range of $900 million to $1.1 billion from a previous range of $700 million to $800 million. The Company is increasing the lower end of its total disposition guidance range for 2020 from $35 million to $50 million and is maintaining the upper end of the range at $75 million.

Tailwinds

  • Increased acquisition guidance to a range of $900 million to $1.1 billion.
  • Company received July rent payments from 94% of its portfolio and entered into deferral agreements with tenants representing 3% of July rents.
  • Portfolio was approximately 99.8% leased.
  • Weighted-average remaining lease term of approximately 9.7 years.
  • Properties were acquired at a weighted-average capitalization rate of 6.5%.

Headwinds

  • Potential adverse effect of the current pandemic of the novel coronavirus, or COVID-19, on the financial condition
  • Weakening of real estate markets
  • Decreases in the availability of credit
  • Increases in interest rates
  • Adverse changes in the retail industry

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.0%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+6.3%

Q1 2010

Best reaction

-6.7%

Q2 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.8%-3.7%-4.3%
Q4 2025+0.3%+2.1%+3.5%
Q3 2025+0.2%-0.1%-0.6%
Q1 2025-2.4%-3.4%-5.2%
Q4 2024-1.7%-2.2%+5.9%
Q3 2024+2.3%+0.1%+2.9%
Q2 2024+2.3%+3.6%+9.2%
Q1 2024+2.6%+1.5%+3.7%
Q4 2023-3.4%-1.9%-5.0%
Q3 2023+0.3%+0.6%+6.4%
Q2 2023-2.7%-0.3%-4.6%
Q1 2023+2.5%+0.8%-2.3%
Q4 2022+1.3%+2.6%-6.4%
Q3 2022-3.2%-0.6%+2.2%
Q2 2022-3.0%-2.2%-4.3%
Q1 2022+4.3%+2.1%+6.5%
Q4 2021-1.6%+2.1%+1.6%
Q3 2021+0.6%-0.2%-6.5%
Q2 2021+0.6%+0.2%-1.8%
Q1 2021+0.9%+0.0%+2.8%
Q4 2020-1.8%+0.2%+3.4%
Q3 2020-0.5%+0.1%-1.5%
Q2 2020-2.8%-5.2%+0.6%
Q1 2020+0.7%-2.4%-1.8%
Q4 2019+3.8%-0.1%-31.3%
Q3 2019+1.7%+2.2%-0.9%
Q2 2019+5.3%+6.4%+14.0%
Q1 2019+0.3%+3.4%+3.1%
Q4 2018+1.8%+1.4%+5.3%
Q3 2018+0.1%+5.4%+8.2%
Q2 2018-1.5%-2.4%+5.1%
Q1 2018-0.4%+2.9%+7.3%
Q4 2017+5.9%+4.6%+3.2%
Q3 2017-0.7%-4.7%+0.7%
Q2 2017+1.1%+4.1%+5.0%
Q1 2017-1.4%-5.1%-10.3%
Q4 2016+3.7%+1.5%-1.6%
Q3 2016+1.2%-1.7%-7.9%
Q2 2016-1.2%+1.6%-4.2%
Q1 2016+3.1%
Q4 2015-3.6%
Q3 2015+2.2%
Q2 2015-0.1%
Q1 2015+0.7%
Q4 2014+0.1%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2014-1.3%
Q1 2014+0.2%
Q4 2013+0.1%
Q3 2013-0.8%
Q2 2013-0.8%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012-0.7%
Q2 2012+0.3%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q3 2011-0.2%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q4 2010-6.7%
Q2 2010-6.7%
Q1 2010+6.3%

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