NYSE$ADC

Agree Realty Corp · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Agree Realty reported strong Q1 2024 results with increased net income, core FFO, and AFFO, while introducing 2024 AFFO per share guidance.

Agree Realty Corporation announced its Q1 2024 results, featuring an 8.2% increase in net income to $43.0 million and a 15.9% increase in AFFO to $103.3 million. The company introduced full-year acquisition guidance of approximately $600 million and anticipates 2024 AFFO per share between $4.10 and $4.13.

  • Net income increased by 8.2% to $43.0 million compared to Q1 2023.
  • AFFO increased by 15.9% to $103.3 million compared to Q1 2023.
  • The company's portfolio consisted of 2,161 properties located in 49 states, with 99.6% leased.
  • Total acquisition volume for the first quarter was approximately $123.5 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$149M

Previous: $127M+18.0%
EPS

$0.43

Previous: $0.98-56.1%
Core FFO / Share

$1.01

No prior period
AFFO / Share

$1.03

No prior period
Monthly Dividend

$0.25

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$128M

Previous: -$304M+57.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$83.4M

Previous: -$262M+68.2%
Net Income

$44.9M

Previous: $41.6M+7.8%
Operating Income

$70.5M

Previous: $60.5M+16.5%
Gross Profit

$149M

Previous: $127M+18.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.43M

Previous: $1.83M+32.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Agree Realty · Revenue · Quarterly

$149M

Q1 2024+18%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company’s 2024 guidance is subject to risks and uncertainties. The company anticipates acquisition volume for the full year 2024 to be approximately $600 million and can achieve 2024 AFFO per share between $4.10 and $4.13.

Tailwinds

  • Full-year acquisition guidance of approximately $600 million of high-quality retail net lease properties
  • Total liquidity of over $920 million
  • More than $385 million of hedged capital
  • No material debt maturities until 2028
  • Best-in-class portfolio and fortress balance sheet

Headwinds

  • Potential adverse effect of ongoing worldwide economic uncertainties
  • Increased inflation and interest rates on the financial condition
  • Weakening of real estate markets
  • Decreases in the availability of credit
  • Adverse changes in the retail industry

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.0%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+6.3%

Q1 2010

Best reaction

-6.7%

Q2 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.8%-3.7%-4.3%
Q4 2025+0.3%+2.1%+3.5%
Q3 2025+0.2%-0.1%-0.6%
Q1 2025-2.4%-3.4%-5.2%
Q4 2024-1.7%-2.2%+5.9%
Q3 2024+2.3%+0.1%+2.9%
Q2 2024+2.3%+3.6%+9.2%
Q1 2024+2.6%+1.5%+3.7%
Q4 2023-3.4%-1.9%-5.0%
Q3 2023+0.3%+0.6%+6.4%
Q2 2023-2.7%-0.3%-4.6%
Q1 2023+2.5%+0.8%-2.3%
Q4 2022+1.3%+2.6%-6.4%
Q3 2022-3.2%-0.6%+2.2%
Q2 2022-3.0%-2.2%-4.3%
Q1 2022+4.3%+2.1%+6.5%
Q4 2021-1.6%+2.1%+1.6%
Q3 2021+0.6%-0.2%-6.5%
Q2 2021+0.6%+0.2%-1.8%
Q1 2021+0.9%+0.0%+2.8%
Q4 2020-1.8%+0.2%+3.4%
Q3 2020-0.5%+0.1%-1.5%
Q2 2020-2.8%-5.2%+0.6%
Q1 2020+0.7%-2.4%-1.8%
Q4 2019+3.8%-0.1%-31.3%
Q3 2019+1.7%+2.2%-0.9%
Q2 2019+5.3%+6.4%+14.0%
Q1 2019+0.3%+3.4%+3.1%
Q4 2018+1.8%+1.4%+5.3%
Q3 2018+0.1%+5.4%+8.2%
Q2 2018-1.5%-2.4%+5.1%
Q1 2018-0.4%+2.9%+7.3%
Q4 2017+5.9%+4.6%+3.2%
Q3 2017-0.7%-4.7%+0.7%
Q2 2017+1.1%+4.1%+5.0%
Q1 2017-1.4%-5.1%-10.3%
Q4 2016+3.7%+1.5%-1.6%
Q3 2016+1.2%-1.7%-7.9%
Q2 2016-1.2%+1.6%-4.2%
Q1 2016+3.1%
Q4 2015-3.6%
Q3 2015+2.2%
Q2 2015-0.1%
Q1 2015+0.7%
Q4 2014+0.1%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2014-1.3%
Q1 2014+0.2%
Q4 2013+0.1%
Q3 2013-0.8%
Q2 2013-0.8%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012-0.7%
Q2 2012+0.3%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q3 2011-0.2%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q4 2010-6.7%
Q2 2010-6.7%
Q1 2010+6.3%

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