NYSE$ADC

Agree Realty Corp · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Agree Realty Corporation reported a net income of $43.4 million for Q4 2024, a 1.6% decline from the prior year. Adjusted Funds from Operations (AFFO) increased by 9.1% to $109.5 million, with AFFO per share rising 4.7% to $1.04. Core Funds from Operations (Core FFO) rose 7.9% to $107.6 million. The company invested $371 million in 127 retail net lease properties and commenced eight development projects. Liquidity remained strong at over $2.0 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$161M

Previous: $144M+11.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.04

Previous: $1.00+4.0%
Core FFO / Share

$1.02

No prior period
AFFO / Share

$1.04

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$0.00

Previous: $0.00
Net Income

$43.4M

Previous: $44.1M-1.6%
Operating Income

$75.3M

Previous: $71.1M+5.9%
Gross Profit

$74.9M

Previous: $79.8M-6.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Agree Realty · Revenue · Quarterly

$161M

Q4 2024+11.5%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Agree Realty expects AFFO per share in 2025 to range between $4.26 and $4.30, with general and administrative expenses at 5.6%-5.9% of adjusted revenue. Investment volume is projected between $1.1B and $1.3B.

Tailwinds

  • Strong liquidity of over $2.0 billion.
  • Upgraded credit rating to BBB+ from S&P.
  • Projected AFFO per share growth in 2025.
  • Expansion of revolving credit facility to $1.25 billion.
  • Significant investment pipeline for growth.

Headwinds

  • Net income declined year-over-year.
  • Higher interest expenses impacting earnings.
  • Exposure to inflation and economic conditions.
  • Real estate sector volatility could impact growth.
  • Potential challenges in lease renewals and occupancy rates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.0%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+6.3%

Q1 2010

Best reaction

-6.7%

Q2 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.8%-3.7%-4.3%
Q4 2025+0.3%+2.1%+3.5%
Q3 2025+0.2%-0.1%-0.6%
Q1 2025-2.4%-3.4%-5.2%
Q4 2024-1.7%-2.2%+5.9%
Q3 2024+2.3%+0.1%+2.9%
Q2 2024+2.3%+3.6%+9.2%
Q1 2024+2.6%+1.5%+3.7%
Q4 2023-3.4%-1.9%-5.0%
Q3 2023+0.3%+0.6%+6.4%
Q2 2023-2.7%-0.3%-4.6%
Q1 2023+2.5%+0.8%-2.3%
Q4 2022+1.3%+2.6%-6.4%
Q3 2022-3.2%-0.6%+2.2%
Q2 2022-3.0%-2.2%-4.3%
Q1 2022+4.3%+2.1%+6.5%
Q4 2021-1.6%+2.1%+1.6%
Q3 2021+0.6%-0.2%-6.5%
Q2 2021+0.6%+0.2%-1.8%
Q1 2021+0.9%+0.0%+2.8%
Q4 2020-1.8%+0.2%+3.4%
Q3 2020-0.5%+0.1%-1.5%
Q2 2020-2.8%-5.2%+0.6%
Q1 2020+0.7%-2.4%-1.8%
Q4 2019+3.8%-0.1%-31.3%
Q3 2019+1.7%+2.2%-0.9%
Q2 2019+5.3%+6.4%+14.0%
Q1 2019+0.3%+3.4%+3.1%
Q4 2018+1.8%+1.4%+5.3%
Q3 2018+0.1%+5.4%+8.2%
Q2 2018-1.5%-2.4%+5.1%
Q1 2018-0.4%+2.9%+7.3%
Q4 2017+5.9%+4.6%+3.2%
Q3 2017-0.7%-4.7%+0.7%
Q2 2017+1.1%+4.1%+5.0%
Q1 2017-1.4%-5.1%-10.3%
Q4 2016+3.7%+1.5%-1.6%
Q3 2016+1.2%-1.7%-7.9%
Q2 2016-1.2%+1.6%-4.2%
Q1 2016+3.1%
Q4 2015-3.6%
Q3 2015+2.2%
Q2 2015-0.1%
Q1 2015+0.7%
Q4 2014+0.1%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2014-1.3%
Q1 2014+0.2%
Q4 2013+0.1%
Q3 2013-0.8%
Q2 2013-0.8%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012-0.7%
Q2 2012+0.3%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q3 2011-0.2%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q4 2010-6.7%
Q2 2010-6.7%
Q1 2010+6.3%

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