NASDAQ$WMG

Warner Music Group Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong Q4 performance with growth across all revenue lines and margin expansion in constant currency.

Warner Music Group Corp. reported a strong fourth quarter with revenue growth of 9% (16% in constant currency) and net income of $150 million, driven by digital revenue growth and strong performance in both Recorded Music and Music Publishing.

  • Total revenue grew by 9% or 16% in constant currency.
  • Digital revenue grew by 7% or 12% in constant currency.
  • Net income increased to $150 million compared to $30 million in the prior-year quarter.
  • Adjusted OIBDA increased 22% to $265 million versus $218 million in the prior-year quarter, or 33% in constant currency.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.5B

Previous: $1.38B+8.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.32

Previous: $0.12+166.7%
Free Cash Flow

$368M

Previous: $193M+90.7%
Net Income

$150M

Previous: $30M+400.0%
Operating Income

$163M

Previous: $100M+63.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$584M

Previous: $499M+17.0%
Total Assets

$7.83B

Previous: $7.21B+8.6%

Revenue & EPS history

WMG · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.5B

Q4 2022+8.8%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

WMG · $1.5B total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Recorded Music
    $1.24B+6.1%
  • Music Publishing
    $254M+23.9%

Forward guidance

The company is excited about upcoming releases from top artists and collaborations in music, film, TV, social media, fitness, and gaming.

Tailwinds

  • Amazing releases from the world’s hottest artists
  • Innovative tech collaborations
  • Strengthened position at the intersection of music, film, TV
  • Strengthened position at the intersection of social media, fitness, and gaming.
  • Long-term creative success

Headwinds

  • Challenging macro environment
  • Market-related slowdown in ad-supported revenue
  • Impact of exchange rates
  • Revenue mix due to the growth of lower-margin artist services and expanded-rights revenue
  • Shift in the timing of the financial transformation initiative.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-2.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

30%

7 / 23 earnings

Positive

+19.3%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-11.2%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2025———
Q2 2026+2.2%+10.7%-1.5%
Q1 2026+3.1%+5.6%-1.2%
Q4 2025-2.7%-7.0%-3.8%
Q2 2025-8.1%-8.7%-12.4%
Q1 2025-1.1%+5.0%+7.1%
Q4 2024-5.4%-3.8%-7.5%
Q3 2024+1.0%-2.1%-1.8%
Q2 2024-11.2%-9.8%-17.2%
Q1 2024-3.0%-0.1%-6.8%
Q4 2023-3.2%-1.1%+2.3%
Q3 2023+8.2%+7.6%+7.9%
Q2 2023-8.0%-11.2%-13.0%
Q1 2023-6.4%-7.2%-18.8%
Q4 2022+19.3%+20.8%+31.2%
Q3 2022-6.7%-5.4%-14.2%
Q2 2022-6.9%+6.6%+3.6%
Q1 2022-4.9%-5.5%-18.0%
Q4 2021-9.7%-10.4%-13.1%
Q3 2021-1.7%-4.1%+4.0%
Q2 2021-6.7%-4.3%-9.3%
Q1 2021+8.2%+8.1%+2.2%
Q4 2020+0.6%-2.5%+30.7%
Q3 2020-4.3%-4.8%-4.5%
Q2 2020———
Q1 2020———
Q4 2019———
Q3 2019———
Q2 2019———
Q1 2019———
Q4 2018———
Q3 2018———
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Q1 2018———
Q4 2017———
Q3 2017———
Q2 2017———
Q1 2017———
Q4 2016———
Q3 2016———
Q2 2016———
Q1 2016———
Q4 2015———
Q3 2015———
Q2 2015———
Q1 2015———
Q4 2014———
Q3 2014———
Q2 2014———
Q1 2014———
Q4 2013———
Q3 2013———
Q2 2013———
Q1 2013———
Q4 2012———
Q3 2012———
Q2 2012———
Q1 2012———
Q4 2011———
Q3 2010———
Q3 2011———
Q2 2011———
Q1 2010———
Q4 2010———
Q2 2010———

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