NASDAQ$WMG

Warner Music Group Corp · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

WMG's financial performance remained solid, marked by growth in total revenue, digital revenue, and net income, despite facing challenges from foreign currency exchange rates and market-related slowdowns.

Warner Music Group (WMG) reported a 7% increase in total revenue (12% in constant currency) for the third quarter ended June 30, 2022. Digital revenue grew by 2% (6% in constant currency). Net income increased to $125 million, compared to $61 million in the prior-year quarter. The company's performance was driven by streaming growth and recovery of artist services, despite facing headwinds from the advertising market and unfavorable foreign currency exchange rates.

  • Total revenue grew by 7% (12% in constant currency), driven by solid underlying streaming growth and recovery of artist services.
  • Net income increased significantly to $125 million, compared to $61 million in the prior-year quarter.
  • Music Publishing revenue continued its momentum with double-digit growth.
  • Cash provided by operating activities increased by 79% to $163 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.43B

Previous: $1.34B+6.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.28

Previous: $0.16+75.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$97M

Previous: -$58M-67.2%
Free Cash Flow

$27M

Previous: $3M+800.0%
Net Income

$124M

Previous: $61M+103.3%
Operating Income

$146M

Previous: $162M-9.9%
Gross Profit

$666M

Previous: $659M+1.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$345M

Previous: $442M-21.9%
Total Assets

$7.7B

Previous: $7.04B+9.4%

Revenue & EPS history

WMG · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.43B

Q3 2022+6.9%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

WMG · $1.43B total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Recorded Music
    $1.19B+3.2%
  • Music Publishing
    $245M+29.6%

Forward guidance

Warner Music Group anticipates a strong end to the fiscal year, driven by new releases and the globalization and diversification of the business.

Tailwinds

  • New wave of amazing releases expected to drive strong end to fiscal year
  • Scale to best capitalize on trends in artist development
  • Agility and resources to propel globalization
  • Diversification of business will continue
  • Significant runway ahead in core streaming business

Headwinds

  • Slowdown in the advertising market
  • One-time items affecting year-over-year comparisons
  • Unfavorable impact of exchange rates
  • Lower-margin artist services and expanded-rights revenue affecting revenue mix
  • Higher amortization expenses due to recent acquisitions and capital spending

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-2.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

30%

7 / 23 earnings

Positive

+19.3%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-11.2%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2025———
Q2 2026+2.2%+10.7%-1.5%
Q1 2026+3.1%+5.6%-1.2%
Q4 2025-2.7%-7.0%-3.8%
Q2 2025-8.1%-8.7%-12.4%
Q1 2025-1.1%+5.0%+7.1%
Q4 2024-5.4%-3.8%-7.5%
Q3 2024+1.0%-2.1%-1.8%
Q2 2024-11.2%-9.8%-17.2%
Q1 2024-3.0%-0.1%-6.8%
Q4 2023-3.2%-1.1%+2.3%
Q3 2023+8.2%+7.6%+7.9%
Q2 2023-8.0%-11.2%-13.0%
Q1 2023-6.4%-7.2%-18.8%
Q4 2022+19.3%+20.8%+31.2%
Q3 2022-6.7%-5.4%-14.2%
Q2 2022-6.9%+6.6%+3.6%
Q1 2022-4.9%-5.5%-18.0%
Q4 2021-9.7%-10.4%-13.1%
Q3 2021-1.7%-4.1%+4.0%
Q2 2021-6.7%-4.3%-9.3%
Q1 2021+8.2%+8.1%+2.2%
Q4 2020+0.6%-2.5%+30.7%
Q3 2020-4.3%-4.8%-4.5%
Q2 2020———
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Q4 2019———
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Q4 2015———
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Q1 2015———
Q4 2014———
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Q4 2013———
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Q4 2012———
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Q4 2011———
Q3 2010———
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Q2 2011———
Q1 2010———
Q4 2010———
Q2 2010———

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