NASDAQ$WMG

Warner Music Group Corp · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported results for the fiscal first quarter ended December 31, 2024.

Warner Music Group's total revenue decreased by 5%, but net income increased by 25% to $241 million. The results were underpinned by the performance of new releases and catalog, as well as healthy global subscriber trends.

  • Warner Music Group and Spotify announced a new multi-year agreement covering both recorded music and music publishing.
  • Music Publishing delivered continued growth led by strength in performance and digital.
  • Operating Cash Flow grew by 13% with conversion of 91%.
  • The company is reaffirming full-year recorded music subscription streaming revenue and operating cash flow conversion guidance.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.67B

Previous: $1.75B-4.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.45

Previous: $0.30+50.0%
Adjusted OIBDA

$363M

No prior period
Adjusted OIBDA Margin

21.8%

No prior period
Recorded Music Adj. OIBDA

$323M

No prior period
Recorded Music Adj. OIBDA Margin

24.0%

No prior period
Music Publishing Adj. OIBDA

$83M

No prior period
Music Publishing Adj. OIBDA Margin

25.7%

No prior period
Recorded Music Digital Revenue

$873M

No prior period
Recorded Music Streaming Revenue

$854M

No prior period
Music Publishing Digital Revenue

$207M

No prior period
Music Publishing Streaming Revenue

$205M

No prior period
Total Digital Revenue

$1.08B

No prior period
Total Streaming Revenue

$1.06B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$36M

Previous: -$29M-24.1%
Net Income

$241M

Previous: $159M+51.6%
Operating Income

$214M

Previous: $354M-39.5%
Gross Profit

$686M

Previous: $868M-21.0%

Revenue & EPS history

WMG · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.67B

Q1 2025-4.7%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

WMG · $1.87B total across 2 segments · Q3 2025

  • Recorded Music
    $1.49B—
  • Music Publishing
    $377M—

Forward guidance

The company is confident in its outlook, especially as the industry continues to evolve monetization models, which will help fuel future growth.

Tailwinds

  • New deal with Spotify will help deliver new fan experiences.
  • New deal with Spotify will deliver a deeper music and video catalog.
  • New deal with Spotify will deliver further paid subscription tiers.
  • New deal with Spotify will deliver differentiated content bundles.
  • The new publishing agreement introduces a direct licensing model with Warner Chappell Music in several additional countries including the U.S.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

-2.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

30%

7 / 23 earnings

Positive

+19.3%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-11.2%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2025———
Q2 2026+2.2%+10.7%-1.5%
Q1 2026+3.1%+5.6%-1.2%
Q4 2025-2.7%-7.0%-3.8%
Q2 2025-8.1%-8.7%-12.4%
Q1 2025-1.1%+5.0%+7.1%
Q4 2024-5.4%-3.8%-7.5%
Q3 2024+1.0%-2.1%-1.8%
Q2 2024-11.2%-9.8%-17.2%
Q1 2024-3.0%-0.1%-6.8%
Q4 2023-3.2%-1.1%+2.3%
Q3 2023+8.2%+7.6%+7.9%
Q2 2023-8.0%-11.2%-13.0%
Q1 2023-6.4%-7.2%-18.8%
Q4 2022+19.3%+20.8%+31.2%
Q3 2022-6.7%-5.4%-14.2%
Q2 2022-6.9%+6.6%+3.6%
Q1 2022-4.9%-5.5%-18.0%
Q4 2021-9.7%-10.4%-13.1%
Q3 2021-1.7%-4.1%+4.0%
Q2 2021-6.7%-4.3%-9.3%
Q1 2021+8.2%+8.1%+2.2%
Q4 2020+0.6%-2.5%+30.7%
Q3 2020-4.3%-4.8%-4.5%
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Q2 2010———

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