NASDAQ$WMG

Warner Music Group Corp · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported results for the fiscal first quarter ended December 31, 2024.

Warner Music Group's total revenue decreased by 5%, but net income increased by 25% to $241 million. The results were underpinned by the performance of new releases and catalog, as well as healthy global subscriber trends.

  • Warner Music Group and Spotify announced a new multi-year agreement covering both recorded music and music publishing.
  • Music Publishing delivered continued growth led by strength in performance and digital.
  • Operating Cash Flow grew by 13% with conversion of 91%.
  • The company is reaffirming full-year recorded music subscription streaming revenue and operating cash flow conversion guidance.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.67B

Previous: $1.75B-4.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.45

Previous: $0.30+50.0%
Adjusted OIBDA

$363M

No prior period
Adjusted OIBDA Margin

21.8%

No prior period
Recorded Music Adj. OIBDA

$323M

No prior period
Recorded Music Adj. OIBDA Margin

24.0%

No prior period
Music Publishing Adj. OIBDA

$83M

No prior period
Music Publishing Adj. OIBDA Margin

25.7%

No prior period
Recorded Music Digital Revenue

$873M

No prior period
Recorded Music Streaming Revenue

$854M

No prior period
Music Publishing Digital Revenue

$207M

No prior period
Music Publishing Streaming Revenue

$205M

No prior period
Total Digital Revenue

$1.08B

No prior period
Total Streaming Revenue

$1.06B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$36M

Previous: -$29M-24.1%
Net Income

$241M

Previous: $159M+51.6%
Operating Income

$214M

Previous: $354M-39.5%
Gross Profit

$686M

Previous: $868M-21.0%

Revenue & EPS history

WMG · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.67B

Q1 2025-4.7%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

WMG · $1.59B total across 2 segments · Q4 2023

  • Recorded Music
    $1.29B+3.8%
  • Music Publishing
    $298M+17.3%

Forward guidance

The company is confident in its outlook, especially as the industry continues to evolve monetization models, which will help fuel future growth.

Tailwinds

  • New deal with Spotify will help deliver new fan experiences.
  • New deal with Spotify will deliver a deeper music and video catalog.
  • New deal with Spotify will deliver further paid subscription tiers.
  • New deal with Spotify will deliver differentiated content bundles.
  • The new publishing agreement introduces a direct licensing model with Warner Chappell Music in several additional countries including the U.S.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

-2.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

30%

7 / 23 earnings

Positive

+19.3%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-11.2%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+2.2%+10.7%-1.5%
Q1 2026+3.1%+5.6%-1.2%
Q4 2025-2.7%-7.0%-3.8%
Q2 2025-8.1%-8.7%-12.4%
Q1 2025-1.1%+5.0%+7.1%
Q4 2024-5.4%-3.8%-7.5%
Q3 2024+1.0%-2.1%-1.8%
Q2 2024-11.2%-9.8%-17.2%
Q1 2024-3.0%-0.1%-6.8%
Q4 2023-3.2%-1.1%+2.3%
Q3 2023+8.2%+7.6%+7.9%
Q2 2023-8.0%-11.2%-13.0%
Q1 2023-6.4%-7.2%-18.8%
Q4 2022+19.3%+20.8%+31.2%
Q3 2022-6.7%-5.4%-14.2%
Q2 2022-6.9%+6.6%+3.6%
Q1 2022-4.9%-5.5%-18.0%
Q4 2021-9.7%-10.4%-13.1%
Q3 2021-1.7%-4.1%+4.0%
Q2 2021-6.7%-4.3%-9.3%
Q1 2021+8.2%+8.1%+2.2%
Q4 2020+0.6%-2.5%+30.7%
Q3 2020-4.3%-4.8%-4.5%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020
Q4 2019
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017
Q3 2017
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Q1 2017
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2010
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2010
Q4 2010
Q2 2010

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