NASDAQ$ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings Inc · Q3 2022 earnings
Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Reported improved profitability underpinned by record ancillary revenue per passenger and an improvement in unit costs.
Frontier Airlines reported a quarterly profit for Q3 2022, its second consecutive quarterly profit. Total operating revenue was $906 million, 35 percent higher than the corresponding quarter in 2019. Ancillary revenue per passenger during the quarter was a record $78, 38 percent higher than the corresponding quarter in 2019.
- Achieved total operating revenues of $906 million, 35 percent higher than the corresponding quarter in 2019 and 44 percent higher than the corresponding quarter in 2021
- Generated a record $78 of ancillary revenue per passenger during the third quarter of 2022, 38 percent higher than the corresponding quarter in 2019, 23 percent higher than the corresponding quarter in 2021 and four percent higher than the prior quarter
- Realized a 6.4 percent pre-tax margin, or a 5.2 percent adjusted pre-tax margin (on a non-GAAP basis excluding special items), nearly double the adjusted pre-tax margin in the prior quarter
- Ended the quarter in a strong liquidity position with $674 million of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents, or $251 million net of total debt
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Frontier · Revenue · Quarterly
$906M
Revenue by segment
Frontier · $906M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022
- Passenger$883M+44.8%97.5%
- Other$23M+15.0%2.5%
Forward guidance
The Company expects strong travel demand and continued RASM strength, with capacity anticipated to grow 15 to 17 percent versus the corresponding quarter in 2019. Adjusted pre-tax margin is anticipated to be between 3 and 7 percent (on a non-GAAP basis excluding special items).
Tailwinds
- Strong travel demand
- Continued RASM strength
- Capacity anticipated to grow 15 to 17 percent versus the corresponding quarter in 2019
- Fuel costs are expected to be between $3.70 to $3.75 per gallon
- Adjusted total operating expenses (excluding fuel) are anticipated to be between $565 and $585 million
Headwinds
- Guidance excludes special items because such amounts cannot be determined at this time.
- Guidance is subject to significant risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially
- The Company's guidance is based on its expectation that demand will continue to recover to more normalized levels
- The actual capacity adjustments made by the Company may be different than what is currently expected, and those differences may be material
- The amount estimated excludes fuel expense and special items, the latter of which are not estimable at this time
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022
+2.4%
Avg return
Earnings day
+2.8%
Avg return
5 days after
+0.4%
Avg return
30 days after
56%
14 / 25 earnings
Positive
+33.8%
Q4 2023
Best reaction
-18.4%
Q1 2023
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +10.5% | +15.1% | +35.7% | |
| Q4 2025 | -7.9% | -10.2% | -43.5% | |
| Q3 2025 | +0.3% | -1.6% | +34.3% | |
| Q1 2025 | +7.6% | +12.2% | +29.3% | |
| Q4 2024 | +15.5% | +14.3% | -17.9% | |
| Q3 2024 | -14.0% | -17.9% | -21.7% | |
| Q2 2024 | +0.6% | -1.0% | +21.0% | |
| Q1 2024 | -1.4% | +2.7% | -6.3% | |
| Q4 2023 | +33.8% | +47.0% | +45.8% | |
| Q3 2023 | -1.0% | -11.7% | +5.2% | |
| Q2 2023 | -9.7% | -13.0% | -32.5% | |
| Q1 2023 | -18.4% | -13.6% | -2.5% | |
| Q4 2022 | -15.0% | -16.5% | -21.8% | |
| Q3 2022 | +19.7% | +32.2% | +35.7% | |
| Q2 2022 | +28.2% | +32.1% | +21.8% | |
| Q1 2022 | +1.5% | +0.8% | +0.0% | |
| Q4 2019 | +3.3% | +2.1% | -10.3% | |
| Q4 2021 | +7.3% | +10.2% | -12.8% | |
| Q3 2021 | -3.5% | -2.9% | -18.2% | |
| Q3 2020 | -3.5% | -2.9% | -18.2% | |
| Q2 2021 | +0.0% | -2.6% | +3.4% | |
| Q2 2020 | +0.0% | -2.6% | +3.4% | |
| Q1 2021 | +1.9% | -0.6% | -6.7% | |
| Q4 2020 | +1.9% | -0.6% | -6.7% | |
| Q1 2020 | +1.9% | -0.6% | -6.7% | |
| Q1 2017 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2016 | — | — | — |
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