NASDAQ$TSCO

Tractor Supply Co · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported solid results, but below expectations due to moderating consumer spending and seasonal underperformance.

Tractor Supply Company reported a 7.2% increase in net sales to $4.18 billion, with a comparable store sales increase of 2.5%. Diluted earnings per share grew by 8.5% to $3.83. The company is updating its fiscal 2023 financial guidance to reflect its performance from the first half of the year along with its expectations for the remainder of the year, including the positive impact of the updates to the real estate portfolio strategy.

  • Net sales increased by 7.2% to $4.18 billion, driven by the Orscheln Farm and Home acquisition, new store openings, and comparable store sales growth.
  • Comparable store sales increased by 2.5%, driven by a 1.8% increase in comparable average transaction count and a 0.6% increase in comparable average ticket.
  • Gross profit increased by 9.3% to $1.51 billion, and gross margin increased by 69 basis points to 36.2%.
  • The company announced a new long-term target of 3,000 stores in the U.S. and plans to increase annual new store openings to 90 per year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.18B

Previous: $3.9B+7.2%
EPS (adj)

$3.83

Previous: $3.53+8.5%
Comparable Store Sales

2.5%

Previous: 5.5%-54.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$350M

Previous: -$265M-31.8%
Free Cash Flow

$71.6M

Previous: $131M-45.4%
Net Income

$421M

Previous: $396M+6.2%
Operating Income

$559M

Previous: $525M+6.5%
Gross Profit

$1.51B

Previous: $1.39B+9.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$620M

Previous: $531M+16.8%
Total Assets

$9.03B

Previous: $7.87B+14.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$15.7M

Previous: $12.5M+25.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Tractor Supply · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.18B

Q2 2023+7.2%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 4 of 15 quarters(27%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is updating its fiscal 2023 financial guidance to reflect its performance from the first half of the year along with its expectations for the remainder of the year, including the positive impact of the updates to the real estate portfolio strategy.

Tailwinds

  • Net Sales: $14.8 billion - $14.9 billion
  • Comparable Store Sales: +1.3% - +2.5%
  • Operating Margin Rate: 10.2% - 10.3%
  • Net Income: $1.12 billion - $1.15 billion
  • Earnings per Diluted Share: $10.20 - $10.40

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

32 / 69 earnings

Positive

+17.7%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-8.5%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.6%-18.0%-30.0%
Q4 2025-8.0%-3.0%-6.0%
Q3 2025+2.7%+1.2%-3.5%
Q2 2025-0.4%+1.6%+0.8%
Q1 2025-3.4%-1.7%-2.0%
Q4 2024-5.0%-5.5%-3.2%
Q3 2024-6.6%-8.0%-3.6%
Q2 2024+0.0%-0.3%+2.5%
Q1 2024+6.1%+5.8%+9.2%
Q4 2023+3.7%+4.1%+12.4%
Q3 2023-5.2%-2.8%+0.1%
Q2 2023+4.4%+4.5%-0.5%
Q1 2023-2.0%-0.5%-13.0%
Q4 2022+5.5%+6.6%+7.8%
Q3 2022+0.5%+9.2%+12.0%
Q2 2022-6.0%-11.4%-1.9%
Q1 2022-6.5%-6.9%-18.6%
Q4 2021+3.7%+6.4%-3.1%
Q3 2021+2.9%+2.2%+14.0%
Q2 2021-2.8%-0.7%+2.1%
Q1 2021+5.1%+5.7%+1.8%
Q4 2020-7.8%-6.9%+3.4%
Q3 2020-6.2%-10.0%-13.0%
Q2 2020+0.4%-2.0%+5.0%
Q1 2020+6.9%+7.9%+17.2%
Q4 2019-2.2%-4.1%-6.9%
Q3 2019+1.4%+0.4%+2.2%
Q2 2019-2.3%-2.9%-13.9%
Q1 2019+1.1%-0.5%-2.8%
Q4 2018-3.0%-0.0%+6.0%
Q3 2018+7.9%+11.0%+6.1%
Q2 2018-2.4%-0.2%+13.3%
Q1 2018+10.0%+9.0%+17.9%
Q4 2017-8.5%-15.9%-17.7%
Q3 2017-1.6%+3.8%+10.3%
Q2 2017+7.5%+4.8%+11.3%
Q1 2017-4.3%-5.5%-15.5%
Q4 2016+0.1%-0.5%-1.7%
Q3 2016-0.4%-1.2%+11.7%
Q2 2016-3.5%-1.9%-7.8%
Q1 2016+5.2%
Q4 2015-0.8%
Q3 2015+5.3%
Q2 2015+2.0%
Q1 2015+0.5%
Q4 2014+3.4%
Q3 2014+15.5%
Q2 2014+5.7%
Q1 2014-1.2%
Q4 2013-4.6%
Q3 2013+7.9%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2012+10.3%
Q3 2012-2.4%
Q2 2012+17.7%
Q1 2012+0.6%
Q4 2011+1.0%
Q3 2011+0.3%
Q2 2011-7.5%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q1 2010-1.7%
Q4 2010-1.7%
Q4 2008-1.7%
Q3 2009+1.5%
Q3 2010+1.5%
Q2 2010-1.1%
Q4 2009-1.1%
Q2 2009-1.1%

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