NASDAQ$RARE

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ultragenyx reported a 42% increase in total revenue compared to the prior year, driven by growth in Crysvita and Dojolvi revenues, and provided updates on clinical milestones.

Ultragenyx reported a strong third quarter with a 42% increase in total revenue, reaching $139 million. Crysvita revenue grew by 31% to $98 million, and Dojolvi revenue increased by 29% to $21 million. The company reaffirmed its 2024 total revenue guidance of $530 million to $550 million and highlighted clinical advancements, including Breakthrough Therapy Designation for setrusumab.

  • Total revenue for Q3 2024 grew by 42% year-over-year to $139 million.
  • Crysvita revenue increased by 31% to $98 million, driven by growth in Latin America and Turkey.
  • Dojolvi revenue grew by 29% to $21 million.
  • Breakthrough Therapy Designation was granted for setrusumab (UX143) in osteogenesis imperfecta.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$139M

Previous: $98.1M+42.3%
EPS

-$1.40

Previous: -$2.23+37.2%
Total Operating Expenses

$271M

Previous: $243M+11.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$6.84M

Previous: -$42.7M+84.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$140M

Previous: -$202M+30.6%
Net Income

-$134M

Previous: -$160M+16.4%
Operating Income

-$132M

Previous: -$145M+9.0%
R&D Expense

$161M

Previous: $157M+2.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Ultragenyx · Revenue · Quarterly

$139M

Q3 2024+42.3%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ultragenyx · $98.1M total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Crysvita Revenue
    $74.9M+16.1%
  • Dojolvi Revenue
    $16.6M+24.7%
  • Mepsevii Revenue
    $5.63M-6.8%
  • Evkeeza Revenue
    $963K

Forward guidance

The company expects total revenue to be in the range of $530 million to $550 million, Crysvita revenue to be towards the upper end of the range of $375 million to $400 million, Dojolvi revenue to be in the range of $75 million to $80 million, and Net Cash Used in Operations of around $400 million for the full year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue to be in the range of $530 million to $550 million
  • Crysvita revenue to be towards the upper end of the range of $375 million to $400 million.
  • Crysvita revenue includes all regions where Ultragenyx will recognize revenue: product sales in Latin America and Turkey, royalties in Europe, which have been ongoing, and royalties in North America, which began in April 2023.
  • Dojolvi revenue to be in the range of $75 million to $80 million
  • Expect enrollment to be completed in the next few months for DTX301 AAV gene therapy for Ornithine Transcarbamylase (OTC) Deficiency

Headwinds

  • Net Cash Used in Operations of around $400 million
  • Net loss of $134 million, or $1.40 per share basic and diluted
  • Operating expenses were $271 million
  • Net cash used in operations was $67 million
  • The company expects to enroll an additional cohort in Stage 1 at a moderately increased dose and with an optimized immunomodulation regimen to enhance the efficiency and efficacy of the gene therapy

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

20 / 48 earnings

Positive

+14.7%

Q1 2015

Best reaction

-18.9%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.8%+5.2%-12.5%
Q4 2025-12.7%-13.0%-9.2%
Q3 2025-1.5%-1.6%+12.1%
Q1 2025-4.8%+2.9%+6.0%
Q4 2024-2.4%+1.8%-9.6%
Q3 2024-1.1%-1.4%-7.3%
Q2 2024+12.1%+10.6%+26.1%
Q1 2024-1.3%-3.1%-7.3%
Q4 2023+7.1%+4.8%+3.7%
Q3 2023+7.7%+5.7%+11.4%
Q2 2023-11.1%-16.9%-10.8%
Q1 2023+9.0%+8.6%+17.4%
Q4 2022+10.2%+2.9%-12.8%
Q3 2022-9.0%-16.4%-4.2%
Q2 2022+4.9%+0.9%-2.6%
Q1 2022-18.9%-24.5%-27.5%
Q4 2021-2.5%-1.6%-12.5%
Q3 2021+0.0%-3.1%-8.0%
Q2 2021+4.9%+10.9%+24.8%
Q1 2021-0.5%+7.5%-11.4%
Q4 2020-10.1%-13.7%-24.1%
Q3 2020+4.1%+10.1%+31.3%
Q2 2020+2.5%+10.4%+12.4%
Q1 2020-2.4%+4.1%+8.1%
Q4 2019-2.8%-2.8%-31.1%
Q3 2019-7.9%-4.6%+5.0%
Q2 2019-7.6%-3.6%-9.6%
Q1 2019-8.0%-5.7%-15.4%
Q4 2018+6.8%+5.6%+21.9%
Q3 2018+0.9%-3.0%-6.4%
Q2 2018-9.5%-2.5%+6.8%
Q1 2018+6.1%+17.7%+42.3%
Q4 2017-1.7%+1.6%+9.0%
Q3 2017+3.2%-5.2%+7.7%
Q2 2017-5.4%-10.6%-27.4%
Q1 2017+2.0%+2.5%-5.1%
Q4 2016+0.2%+0.2%+10.2%
Q2 2016-2.2%+0.2%+2.5%
Q1 2016+0.6%
Q4 2015-0.7%
Q3 2015-6.1%
Q2 2015-3.8%
Q1 2015+14.7%
Q4 2014-7.2%
Q3 2014-4.2%
Q2 2014+1.9%
Q1 2014-8.5%
Q4 2013-8.4%
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012

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