NASDAQ$PEP

PepsiCo · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

PepsiCo reported fourth quarter and full-year 2024 results and provided 2025 financial outlook.

PepsiCo's businesses remained resilient in 2024, despite category performance challenges in North America and business disruptions in certain international markets. Enhanced productivity initiatives enabled investments, gross and operating margin improvements, and EPS growth. The company anticipates delivering low-single-digit organic revenue growth and mid-single-digit core constant currency EPS growth in 2025 and announced a 5% dividend increase.

  • Businesses remained resilient in 2024 despite challenges in North America and international market disruptions.
  • Enhanced productivity initiatives drove gross margin, operating margin, and EPS improvements.
  • Expects low-single-digit organic revenue growth and mid-single-digit core constant currency EPS growth in 2025.
  • Announced a 5% increase in annualized dividend per share, representing the 53rd consecutive annual increase.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$27.8B

Previous: $27.9B-0.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.96

Previous: $1.78+10.1%
Organic revenue growth

2.1%

Previous: 4.5%-53.3%
Net pricing growth

3.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$2.47B

Previous: -$2.98B+17.2%
Net Income

$1.53B

Previous: $1.32B+15.9%
Operating Income

$2.25B

Previous: $1.68B+33.7%
Gross Profit

$14.6B

Previous: $14.9B-1.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$102M

Previous: $113M-9.7%

Revenue & EPS history

PepsiCo · Revenue · Quarterly

$27.8B

Q4 2024-0.2%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PepsiCo · $24.2B total across 6 segments · Q2 2026

  • PepsiCo Beverages North America
    $7.24B
  • PepsiCo Foods North America
    $6.37B
  • Europe, Middle East and Africa
    $4.98B
  • Latin America Foods
    $2.94B
  • International Beverages Franchise
    $1.52B
  • Asia Pacific Foods
    $1.12B

Forward guidance

For 2025, the company expects a low-single-digit increase in organic revenue and a mid-single-digit increase in core constant currency EPS. The company expects a core annual effective tax rate of approximately 20 percent and total cash returns to shareholders of approximately $8.6 billion, comprised of dividends of $7.6 billion and share repurchases of $1.0 billion. The company also expects a foreign exchange translation headwind of approximately 3-percentage-points to negatively impact reported net revenue and core EPS growth.

Tailwinds

  • Expects a low-single-digit increase in organic revenue.
  • Expects a mid-single-digit increase in core constant currency EPS.
  • Anticipates a core annual effective tax rate of approximately 20 percent.
  • Plans total cash returns to shareholders of approximately $8.6 billion.
  • Dividends of $7.6 billion and share repurchases of $1.0 billion.

Headwinds

  • Foreign exchange translation headwind of approximately 3-percentage-points to negatively impact reported net revenue.
  • Foreign exchange translation headwind of approximately 3-percentage-points to negatively impact core EPS growth.
  • Cannot predict the 2025 impact of foreign exchange due to the unpredictability of future changes in foreign exchange rates.
  • Unable to predict the occurrence or impact of any acquisitions, divestitures or other structural changes.
  • Not able to reconcile full year projected 2025 core effective tax rate to full year projected 2025 reported effective tax rate.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

64%

46 / 72 earnings

Positive

+7.4%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-4.9%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.3%+0.8%-4.2%
Q4 2025+4.9%+9.9%+3.5%
Q3 2025+4.0%+9.1%+3.0%
Q2 2025+1.6%-1.6%+3.8%
Q1 2025-4.9%-5.6%-9.1%
Q4 2024-4.5%-3.8%+2.9%
Q3 2024+3.2%+4.5%-1.9%
Q2 2024+1.7%+0.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+0.5%-0.5%+1.6%
Q4 2023-1.9%-3.6%-6.2%
Q3 2023+0.8%-0.8%+3.0%
Q2 2023+2.8%+0.7%+0.5%
Q1 2023+1.6%+2.9%-0.9%
Q4 2022+2.9%+2.7%+0.5%
Q3 2022+7.4%+6.2%+9.5%
Q2 2022-0.2%+0.4%+2.7%
Q1 2022+0.6%-1.2%-2.1%
Q4 2021-2.0%-3.5%-10.6%
Q3 2021+3.2%+3.9%+9.4%
Q2 2021+3.4%+4.2%+3.7%
Q1 2021+1.4%+2.5%+3.2%
Q4 2020-2.8%-2.4%-3.4%
Q3 2020-0.4%-2.1%-3.8%
Q2 2020+0.8%+0.1%+2.5%
Q1 2020-0.8%-3.2%-1.6%
Q4 2019+0.6%-0.3%-12.8%
Q3 2019+4.7%+2.5%+2.2%
Q2 2019+1.4%+0.5%-2.3%
Q1 2019+3.8%+3.3%+6.6%
Q4 2018+3.0%+2.9%+2.7%
Q3 2018-2.9%-3.8%+0.7%
Q2 2018+4.4%+4.6%+5.5%
Q1 2018+0.6%-2.0%-0.8%
Q4 2017-2.5%-0.8%+0.1%
Q3 2017+1.2%+0.8%+1.0%
Q2 2017+0.4%+0.6%+1.8%
Q1 2017-1.3%-1.6%+3.3%
Q4 2016+1.1%+1.2%+4.2%
Q3 2016+1.3%-0.3%-0.3%
Q2 2016+2.2%+2.7%+2.6%
Q1 2016+0.5%
Q4 2015+0.9%
Q3 2015+2.8%
Q2 2015-0.1%
Q1 2015-2.2%
Q4 2014+2.3%
Q3 2014+0.8%
Q2 2014+3.1%
Q1 2014+1.3%
Q4 2013-4.2%
Q3 2013+2.5%
Q2 2013-0.8%
Q1 2013+5.0%
Q4 2012+3.0%
Q3 2012+0.7%
Q2 2012+3.5%
Q1 2012-0.9%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011+2.3%
Q2 2011-4.0%
Q1 2011+1.4%
Q4 2010-2.4%
Q3 2010-3.5%
Q2 2010+3.1%
Q1 2009+0.4%
Q1 2010-0.4%
Q4 2007-1.4%
Q2 2009-1.4%
Q4 2009-1.4%
Q4 2008-0.9%
Q3 2008-0.9%
Q3 2009-0.9%

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