NASDAQ$PEP

PepsiCo · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PepsiCo's Q1 2021 results reflected resilience amidst challenges, with revenue growth driven by diversified portfolio and strong marketplace execution.

PepsiCo reported a 6.8% increase in net revenue and a 29% increase in EPS for the first quarter of 2021. The company successfully overcame challenges related to year-over-year comparisons and uneven recoveries across international markets. Following the first quarter results, the company has greater confidence in delivering on its financial guidance for the full year.

  • Net revenue grew by 6.8%, with a 0.5% negative impact from foreign exchange.
  • Organic revenue grew by 2.4%.
  • Reported EPS was $1.24, a 29% increase.
  • Core EPS was $1.21, with a 14% increase in core constant currency EPS.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$14.8B

Previous: $13.9B+6.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.21

Previous: $1.07+13.1%
Organic revenue growth

2.4%

Previous: 7.9%-69.6%
Free Cash Flow

$1.71B

Previous: $1.34B+28.1%
Net Income

$1.71B

Previous: $1.34B+28.1%
Operating Income

$2.31B

Previous: $1.92B+20.2%
Gross Profit

$8.15B

Previous: $7.75B+5.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.66B

Previous: $11.1B-48.9%
Total Assets

$91.2B

Previous: $85.1B+7.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$79M

Previous: $61M+29.5%

Revenue & EPS history

PepsiCo · Revenue · Quarterly

$14.8B

Q1 2021+6.8%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PepsiCo · $24.2B total across 6 segments · Q2 2026

  • PepsiCo Beverages North America
    $7.24B
  • PepsiCo Foods North America
    $6.37B
  • Europe, Middle East and Africa
    $4.98B
  • Latin America Foods
    $2.94B
  • International Beverages Franchise
    $1.52B
  • Asia Pacific Foods
    $1.12B

Forward guidance

For 2021, the company continues to expect a mid-single-digit increase in organic revenue and a high-single-digit increase in core constant currency EPS.

Tailwinds

  • A mid-single-digit increase in organic revenue.
  • A high-single-digit increase in core constant currency EPS.
  • A core annual effective tax rate of approximately 21 percent.
  • Total cash returns to shareholders of approximately $5.9 billion, comprised of dividends of approximately $5.8 billion and share repurchases of $106 million.
  • A 1-percentage-point foreign exchange translation tailwind to benefit reported net revenue and core EPS growth based on current market consensus rates.

Headwinds

  • Cannot predict certain elements which are included in reported GAAP results, including the impact of foreign exchange translation and commodity mark-to-market net impacts.
  • Unable to reconcile full year projected 2021 organic revenue growth to our full year projected 2021 reported net revenue growth because we are unable to predict the 2021 impact of foreign exchange.
  • Unable to predict the occurrence or impact of any acquisitions, divestitures or other structural changes.
  • Not able to reconcile our full year projected 2021 core effective tax rate to our full year projected 2021 reported effective tax rate.
  • Not able to reconcile our full year projected 2021 core constant currency EPS growth to our full year projected 2021 reported EPS because we are unable to predict the 2021 impact of foreign exchange or the mark-to-market net impact on commodity derivatives due to the unpredictability of future changes in foreign exchange rates and commodity prices.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

64%

46 / 72 earnings

Positive

+7.4%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-4.9%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.3%+0.8%-4.2%
Q4 2025+4.9%+9.9%+3.5%
Q3 2025+4.0%+9.1%+3.0%
Q2 2025+1.6%-1.6%+3.8%
Q1 2025-4.9%-5.6%-9.1%
Q4 2024-4.5%-3.8%+2.9%
Q3 2024+3.2%+4.5%-1.9%
Q2 2024+1.7%+0.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+0.5%-0.5%+1.6%
Q4 2023-1.9%-3.6%-6.2%
Q3 2023+0.8%-0.8%+3.0%
Q2 2023+2.8%+0.7%+0.5%
Q1 2023+1.6%+2.9%-0.9%
Q4 2022+2.9%+2.7%+0.5%
Q3 2022+7.4%+6.2%+9.5%
Q2 2022-0.2%+0.4%+2.7%
Q1 2022+0.6%-1.2%-2.1%
Q4 2021-2.0%-3.5%-10.6%
Q3 2021+3.2%+3.9%+9.4%
Q2 2021+3.4%+4.2%+3.7%
Q1 2021+1.4%+2.5%+3.2%
Q4 2020-2.8%-2.4%-3.4%
Q3 2020-0.4%-2.1%-3.8%
Q2 2020+0.8%+0.1%+2.5%
Q1 2020-0.8%-3.2%-1.6%
Q4 2019+0.6%-0.3%-12.8%
Q3 2019+4.7%+2.5%+2.2%
Q2 2019+1.4%+0.5%-2.3%
Q1 2019+3.8%+3.3%+6.6%
Q4 2018+3.0%+2.9%+2.7%
Q3 2018-2.9%-3.8%+0.7%
Q2 2018+4.4%+4.6%+5.5%
Q1 2018+0.6%-2.0%-0.8%
Q4 2017-2.5%-0.8%+0.1%
Q3 2017+1.2%+0.8%+1.0%
Q2 2017+0.4%+0.6%+1.8%
Q1 2017-1.3%-1.6%+3.3%
Q4 2016+1.1%+1.2%+4.2%
Q3 2016+1.3%-0.3%-0.3%
Q2 2016+2.2%+2.7%+2.6%
Q1 2016+0.5%
Q4 2015+0.9%
Q3 2015+2.8%
Q2 2015-0.1%
Q1 2015-2.2%
Q4 2014+2.3%
Q3 2014+0.8%
Q2 2014+3.1%
Q1 2014+1.3%
Q4 2013-4.2%
Q3 2013+2.5%
Q2 2013-0.8%
Q1 2013+5.0%
Q4 2012+3.0%
Q3 2012+0.7%
Q2 2012+3.5%
Q1 2012-0.9%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011+2.3%
Q2 2011-4.0%
Q1 2011+1.4%
Q4 2010-2.4%
Q3 2010-3.5%
Q2 2010+3.1%
Q1 2009+0.4%
Q1 2010-0.4%
Q4 2007-1.4%
Q2 2009-1.4%
Q4 2009-1.4%
Q4 2008-0.9%
Q3 2008-0.9%
Q3 2009-0.9%

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