NASDAQ$PEP

PepsiCo · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PepsiCo's Q4 2023 results reflected a mix of challenges and strategic progress, with revenue impacted by foreign exchange but supported by organic growth initiatives.

PepsiCo reported Q4 2023 results with a slight decrease in net revenue but a 4.5% organic revenue growth. EPS increased significantly due to certain comparability items. The company is focusing on cost management and brand investment for 2024, expecting at least 4% organic revenue growth and at least 8% core constant currency EPS growth.

  • PepsiCo's net revenue decreased by 0.5% while organic revenue grew by 4.5%.
  • Reported EPS increased by 152% to $0.94, and core EPS was $1.78.
  • The company expects at least 4% organic revenue growth and at least 8% core constant currency EPS growth in 2024.
  • PepsiCo announced a 7% increase in its annualized dividend, marking the 52nd consecutive annual increase.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$27.9B

Previous: $28B-0.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.78

Previous: $1.67+6.6%
Organic revenue growth

4.5%

Previous: 14.6%-69.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.98B

No prior period
Net Income

$1.32B

Previous: $535M+147.5%
Operating Income

$1.68B

Previous: $815M+106.5%
Gross Profit

$14.9B

Previous: $14.7B+1.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$113M

Previous: $110M+2.7%

Revenue & EPS history

PepsiCo · Revenue · Quarterly

$27.9B

Q4 2023-0.5%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PepsiCo · $24.2B total across 6 segments · Q2 2026

  • PepsiCo Beverages North America
    $7.24B
  • PepsiCo Foods North America
    $6.37B
  • Europe, Middle East and Africa
    $4.98B
  • Latin America Foods
    $2.94B
  • International Beverages Franchise
    $1.52B
  • Asia Pacific Foods
    $1.12B

Forward guidance

PepsiCo anticipates at least 4% organic revenue growth and at least 8% core constant currency EPS growth in 2024. The company also expects a core annual effective tax rate of 20% and plans to return approximately $8.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

Tailwinds

  • At least 4 percent increase in organic revenue
  • At least 8 percent increase in core constant currency EPS
  • Core annual effective tax rate of 20 percent
  • Total cash returns to shareholders of approximately $8.2 billion
  • 7 percent increase in its annualized dividend

Headwinds

  • Approximate 1-percentage-point foreign exchange translation headwind to impact reported net revenue
  • Approximate 1-percentage-point foreign exchange translation headwind to impact core EPS growth
  • Changing marketplace conditions
  • Category growth rates are normalizing as consumer behaviors largely revert to pre-pandemic norms
  • Net revenue realization moderates as inflationary pressures are expected to abate

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

64%

46 / 72 earnings

Positive

+7.4%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-4.9%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.3%+0.8%-4.2%
Q4 2025+4.9%+9.9%+3.5%
Q3 2025+4.0%+9.1%+3.0%
Q2 2025+1.6%-1.6%+3.8%
Q1 2025-4.9%-5.6%-9.1%
Q4 2024-4.5%-3.8%+2.9%
Q3 2024+3.2%+4.5%-1.9%
Q2 2024+1.7%+0.7%+5.4%
Q1 2024+0.5%-0.5%+1.6%
Q4 2023-1.9%-3.6%-6.2%
Q3 2023+0.8%-0.8%+3.0%
Q2 2023+2.8%+0.7%+0.5%
Q1 2023+1.6%+2.9%-0.9%
Q4 2022+2.9%+2.7%+0.5%
Q3 2022+7.4%+6.2%+9.5%
Q2 2022-0.2%+0.4%+2.7%
Q1 2022+0.6%-1.2%-2.1%
Q4 2021-2.0%-3.5%-10.6%
Q3 2021+3.2%+3.9%+9.4%
Q2 2021+3.4%+4.2%+3.7%
Q1 2021+1.4%+2.5%+3.2%
Q4 2020-2.8%-2.4%-3.4%
Q3 2020-0.4%-2.1%-3.8%
Q2 2020+0.8%+0.1%+2.5%
Q1 2020-0.8%-3.2%-1.6%
Q4 2019+0.6%-0.3%-12.8%
Q3 2019+4.7%+2.5%+2.2%
Q2 2019+1.4%+0.5%-2.3%
Q1 2019+3.8%+3.3%+6.6%
Q4 2018+3.0%+2.9%+2.7%
Q3 2018-2.9%-3.8%+0.7%
Q2 2018+4.4%+4.6%+5.5%
Q1 2018+0.6%-2.0%-0.8%
Q4 2017-2.5%-0.8%+0.1%
Q3 2017+1.2%+0.8%+1.0%
Q2 2017+0.4%+0.6%+1.8%
Q1 2017-1.3%-1.6%+3.3%
Q4 2016+1.1%+1.2%+4.2%
Q3 2016+1.3%-0.3%-0.3%
Q2 2016+2.2%+2.7%+2.6%
Q1 2016+0.5%
Q4 2015+0.9%
Q3 2015+2.8%
Q2 2015-0.1%
Q1 2015-2.2%
Q4 2014+2.3%
Q3 2014+0.8%
Q2 2014+3.1%
Q1 2014+1.3%
Q4 2013-4.2%
Q3 2013+2.5%
Q2 2013-0.8%
Q1 2013+5.0%
Q4 2012+3.0%
Q3 2012+0.7%
Q2 2012+3.5%
Q1 2012-0.9%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011+2.3%
Q2 2011-4.0%
Q1 2011+1.4%
Q4 2010-2.4%
Q3 2010-3.5%
Q2 2010+3.1%
Q1 2009+0.4%
Q1 2010-0.4%
Q4 2007-1.4%
Q2 2009-1.4%
Q4 2009-1.4%
Q4 2008-0.9%
Q3 2008-0.9%
Q3 2009-0.9%

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