NASDAQ$PAYX

Paychex Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Paychex reported strong Q4 2023 results, marked by double-digit earnings growth and exceeding $5 billion in full-year revenue.

Paychex reported a strong fourth quarter and fiscal year, achieving over $5 billion in total revenue. Total revenue grew by 7% for the quarter and 9% for the fiscal year, driven by growth in management solutions and PEO and insurance solutions. Diluted earnings per share increased by 18% for the quarter and 12% for the fiscal year. The company's outlook for fiscal year 2024 anticipates continued growth in revenue and adjusted diluted earnings per share.

  • Total revenue increased by 7% to $1.23 billion.
  • Diluted earnings per share increased by 18% to $0.97.
  • Management Solutions revenue increased by 7% to $905.2 million.
  • PEO and Insurance Solutions revenue increased by 5% to $299.5 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.23B

Previous: $1.14B+7.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.97

Previous: $0.81+19.8%
Operating Margin

36.9%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$46M

Previous: $33.3M+38.1%
Free Cash Flow

$363M

Previous: $304M+19.5%
Net Income

$350M

Previous: $296M+18.2%
Operating Income

$453M

Previous: $394M+15.1%
Gross Profit

$860M

Previous: $784M+9.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.22B

Previous: $370M+230.3%
Total Assets

$10.5B

Previous: $9.64B+9.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$16.6M

Previous: $13.6M+22.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Paychex · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.23B

Q4 2023+7.5%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Paychex · $1.23B total across 3 segments · Q4 2023

  • Management Solutions
    $905M+7.1%
  • PEO and Insurance Solutions
    $300M+5.3%
  • Interest on Client Funds
    $24.9M

Forward guidance

Paychex anticipates continued growth in revenue and adjusted diluted earnings per share for the fiscal year ending May 31, 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Management Solutions revenue is anticipated to grow in the range of 5% to 6%.
  • PEO and Insurance Solutions revenue is anticipated to grow in the range of 6% to 9%.
  • Interest on funds held for clients is expected to be in the range of $135 million to $145 million.
  • Total revenue is anticipated to grow in the range of 6% to 7%.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share is anticipated to grow in the range of 9% to 10%.

Headwinds

  • Changes in the macroeconomic environment could alter our guidance.
  • Our ability to keep pace with changes in technology or provide timely enhancements to our solutions and support.
  • The possibility of cyberattacks, security vulnerabilities or Internet disruptions, including data security and privacy leaks, and data loss and business interruptions.
  • Volatility in the political and economic environment, including rising inflation.
  • The possible effects of negative publicity on our reputation and the value of our brand.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

26 / 72 earnings

Positive

+10.2%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-6.3%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-0.5%+2.7%
Q2 2026-1.7%+0.3%-2.7%
Q1 2026-1.3%-3.0%-8.8%
Q4 2025-2.5%-0.6%-4.7%
Q3 2025+4.2%+7.0%-0.6%
Q2 2025+2.7%+4.1%+7.7%
Q1 2025+4.9%+3.3%+3.8%
Q4 2024-5.8%-6.4%+0.6%
Q3 2024-1.1%+0.6%-2.6%
Q2 2024-6.3%-6.0%-4.5%
Q1 2024+3.9%+0.9%-2.8%
Q4 2023+1.0%+0.7%+14.3%
Q3 2023+4.2%+2.2%+0.8%
Q2 2023+1.1%+0.3%+2.8%
Q1 2023+0.1%+1.4%+5.7%
Q4 2022-5.0%-2.9%+7.0%
Q3 2022+3.0%+5.1%-4.4%
Q2 2022+6.2%+7.3%-6.1%
Q1 2022+6.8%+8.3%+14.3%
Q4 2021+2.5%+2.9%+7.6%
Q3 2021-5.5%-4.0%+1.2%
Q2 2021-2.0%-2.4%-10.1%
Q1 2021-1.1%+1.2%+6.3%
Q4 2020-4.2%-5.8%-6.7%
Q3 2020+10.2%+8.2%+14.3%
Q2 2020-0.2%-0.4%+3.6%
Q1 2020+0.8%+1.3%+2.4%
Q4 2019-3.2%-1.5%+2.1%
Q3 2019-1.3%+1.0%+4.6%
Q2 2019+1.0%-4.2%+8.7%
Q1 2019-0.7%-1.1%-11.8%
Q4 2018-1.5%-1.4%+2.8%
Q3 2018-3.1%-0.2%-2.8%
Q2 2018-1.3%-0.5%+0.4%
Q1 2018+4.7%+6.4%+7.9%
Q4 2017-3.3%-3.6%-1.5%
Q3 2017-2.4%-3.5%-2.1%
Q2 2017-0.7%-0.3%-0.7%
Q1 2017-5.2%-4.7%-8.7%
Q4 2016+5.9%+7.0%+5.6%
Q3 2016-0.9%
Q2 2016+2.6%
Q1 2016+4.6%
Q4 2015+1.6%
Q3 2015-4.5%
Q2 2015-1.5%
Q1 2015+3.0%
Q4 2014-1.0%
Q3 2014+0.1%
Q2 2014+4.7%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q4 2013-2.7%
Q3 2013+0.6%
Q2 2013-2.3%
Q1 2013-3.3%
Q4 2012-2.5%
Q3 2012-2.3%
Q2 2012-0.5%
Q1 2012+1.3%
Q4 2011-3.6%
Q3 2011-3.0%
Q2 2011-1.1%
Q1 2011+2.0%
Q4 2008-1.8%
Q4 2010-1.8%
Q3 2009-5.2%
Q3 2010-5.2%
Q2 2010-3.0%
Q1 2009-5.1%
Q1 2010-5.1%
Q4 2009-5.1%
Q2 2009-5.1%

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