NASDAQ$PAYX

Paychex Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Paychex reported strong double-digit service revenue and diluted earnings per share growth.

Paychex reported strong Q4 results, with an 11% increase in total revenue to $1.14 billion and a 12% increase in diluted earnings per share to $0.82. The company's Management Solutions and PEO and Insurance Solutions segments both saw double-digit revenue growth. Paychex also continues to invest in its people, products and technology.

  • Total service revenue increased by 11% to $1.13 billion.
  • Management Solutions revenue increased by 12% to $845.3 million.
  • PEO and Insurance Solutions revenue increased by 10% to $284.3 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share increased by 12% to $0.82.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.14B

Previous: $1.03B+11.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.81

Previous: $0.72+12.5%
Capital Expenditures

$33.3M

Previous: $27.7M+20.2%
Free Cash Flow

$304M

Previous: $362M-16.0%
Net Income

$296M

Previous: $263M+12.7%
Operating Income

$394M

Previous: $354M+11.4%
Gross Profit

$784M

Previous: $713M+9.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$370M

Previous: $995M-62.8%
Total Assets

$9.64B

Previous: $9.23B+4.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$13.6M

Previous: $14.4M-5.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Paychex · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.14B

Q4 2022+11.2%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Paychex · $1.13B total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Management Solutions
    $845M+11.8%
  • PEO and Insurance Solutions
    $284M+10.1%

Forward guidance

Paychex anticipates continued growth in fiscal year 2023, with management solutions revenue expected to grow 5% to 7% and PEO and Insurance Solutions revenue expected to grow 8% to 10%.

Tailwinds

  • Management Solutions revenue is anticipated to grow in the range of 5% to 7%.
  • PEO and Insurance Solutions revenue is anticipated to grow in the range of 8% to 10%.
  • Total revenue is anticipated to grow in the range of 7% to 8%.
  • Adjusted operating margin is anticipated to be in the range of 40% to 41%.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share is anticipated to grow in the range of 9% to 10%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

26 / 72 earnings

Positive

+10.2%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-6.3%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-0.5%+2.7%
Q2 2026-1.7%+0.3%-2.7%
Q1 2026-1.3%-3.0%-8.8%
Q4 2025-2.5%-0.6%-4.7%
Q3 2025+4.2%+7.0%-0.6%
Q2 2025+2.7%+4.1%+7.7%
Q1 2025+4.9%+3.3%+3.8%
Q4 2024-5.8%-6.4%+0.6%
Q3 2024-1.1%+0.6%-2.6%
Q2 2024-6.3%-6.0%-4.5%
Q1 2024+3.9%+0.9%-2.8%
Q4 2023+1.0%+0.7%+14.3%
Q3 2023+4.2%+2.2%+0.8%
Q2 2023+1.1%+0.3%+2.8%
Q1 2023+0.1%+1.4%+5.7%
Q4 2022-5.0%-2.9%+7.0%
Q3 2022+3.0%+5.1%-4.4%
Q2 2022+6.2%+7.3%-6.1%
Q1 2022+6.8%+8.3%+14.3%
Q4 2021+2.5%+2.9%+7.6%
Q3 2021-5.5%-4.0%+1.2%
Q2 2021-2.0%-2.4%-10.1%
Q1 2021-1.1%+1.2%+6.3%
Q4 2020-4.2%-5.8%-6.7%
Q3 2020+10.2%+8.2%+14.3%
Q2 2020-0.2%-0.4%+3.6%
Q1 2020+0.8%+1.3%+2.4%
Q4 2019-3.2%-1.5%+2.1%
Q3 2019-1.3%+1.0%+4.6%
Q2 2019+1.0%-4.2%+8.7%
Q1 2019-0.7%-1.1%-11.8%
Q4 2018-1.5%-1.4%+2.8%
Q3 2018-3.1%-0.2%-2.8%
Q2 2018-1.3%-0.5%+0.4%
Q1 2018+4.7%+6.4%+7.9%
Q4 2017-3.3%-3.6%-1.5%
Q3 2017-2.4%-3.5%-2.1%
Q2 2017-0.7%-0.3%-0.7%
Q1 2017-5.2%-4.7%-8.7%
Q4 2016+5.9%+7.0%+5.6%
Q3 2016-0.9%
Q2 2016+2.6%
Q1 2016+4.6%
Q4 2015+1.6%
Q3 2015-4.5%
Q2 2015-1.5%
Q1 2015+3.0%
Q4 2014-1.0%
Q3 2014+0.1%
Q2 2014+4.7%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q4 2013-2.7%
Q3 2013+0.6%
Q2 2013-2.3%
Q1 2013-3.3%
Q4 2012-2.5%
Q3 2012-2.3%
Q2 2012-0.5%
Q1 2012+1.3%
Q4 2011-3.6%
Q3 2011-3.0%
Q2 2011-1.1%
Q1 2011+2.0%
Q4 2008-1.8%
Q4 2010-1.8%
Q3 2009-5.2%
Q3 2010-5.2%
Q2 2010-3.0%
Q1 2009-5.1%
Q1 2010-5.1%
Q4 2009-5.1%
Q2 2009-5.1%

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