NASDAQ$ORLY

O'Reilly Automotive Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

O'Reilly Automotive reported a solid fourth quarter, marked by comparable store sales growth and an increase in diluted earnings per share.

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. announced record revenue and earnings for its fourth quarter and full-year ended December 31, 2023. Fourth quarter comparable store sales increased by 3.4%. Diluted earnings per share for the fourth quarter increased 11% to $9.26.

  • Fourth quarter comparable store sales growth of 3.4%, full-year increase of 7.9%.
  • Diluted earnings per share increased 11% to $9.26 for the fourth quarter.
  • Completed previously announced Leadership Succession Plan.
  • Opened 186 new stores during the year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.83B

Previous: $3.64B+5.1%
EPS (adj)

$9.26

Previous: $8.37+10.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$252M

Previous: $175M-244.6%
Free Cash Flow

$264M

Previous: $621M-57.4%
Net Income

$553M

Previous: $529M+4.5%
Operating Income

$719M

Previous: $682M+5.4%
Gross Profit

$1.97B

Previous: $1.85B+6.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.56M

Previous: $7.55M-26.3%

Revenue & EPS history

O'Reilly Auto · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.83B

Q4 2023+5.1%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company provided guidance for the full year 2024, including net new store openings between 190 and 200, comparable store sales growth between 3.0% and 5.0%, and total revenue between $16.8 billion and $17.1 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Net, new store openings: 190 to 200
  • Comparable store sales: 3.0% to 5.0%
  • Total revenue: $16.8 billion to $17.1 billion
  • Gross profit as a percentage of sales: 51.0% to 51.5%
  • Operating income as a percentage of sales: 19.7% to 20.2%

Headwinds

  • Effective income tax rate: 22.6%
  • Diluted earnings per share: $41.05 to $41.55
  • Net cash provided by operating activities: $2.7 billion to $3.1 billion
  • Capital expenditures: $900 million to $1.0 billion
  • Free cash flow: $1.8 billion to $2.1 billion

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

38 / 70 earnings

Positive

+14.6%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-12.7%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.5%+3.6%-5.3%
Q4 2025-4.0%-3.4%-2.2%
Q3 2025-2.9%-4.9%-0.8%
Q2 2025+0.0%-1.8%+3.0%
Q1 2025-2.1%+1.4%-0.4%
Q4 2024-1.3%-1.8%-2.2%
Q3 2024-0.5%-0.7%+1.8%
Q2 2024+4.2%+6.6%+6.4%
Q1 2024-3.5%-5.1%-9.6%
Q4 2023-3.0%-2.4%+3.1%
Q3 2023+5.7%+6.7%+13.2%
Q2 2023-4.6%-4.0%-3.5%
Q1 2023+2.0%+3.5%+2.8%
Q4 2022+2.0%+6.1%+2.4%
Q3 2022+4.8%+7.9%+10.3%
Q2 2022+4.7%+5.0%+3.5%
Q1 2022-12.7%-14.5%-9.4%
Q4 2021+3.3%+3.8%+6.0%
Q3 2021-5.1%-5.9%-3.4%
Q2 2021-3.3%-2.5%-4.0%
Q1 2021+2.7%+4.2%+0.5%
Q4 2020-4.4%-4.5%+6.5%
Q3 2020-3.1%-1.9%-1.6%
Q2 2020+6.8%+5.3%+2.9%
Q1 2020+4.5%+8.7%+13.0%
Q4 2019-2.3%-4.0%-9.7%
Q3 2019+9.2%+10.4%+9.5%
Q2 2019-4.2%-0.7%-3.8%
Q1 2019-4.0%-5.2%-7.3%
Q4 2018+2.0%+2.4%+1.6%
Q3 2018-4.6%-3.3%+3.0%
Q2 2018+3.3%+3.5%+12.4%
Q1 2018+14.6%+14.0%+19.4%
Q4 2017-1.1%-2.6%-1.7%
Q3 2017+5.2%+5.1%+6.4%
Q2 2017+7.7%+9.3%+8.3%
Q1 2017-2.6%-8.4%-5.9%
Q4 2016+5.1%+5.2%+4.2%
Q3 2016-9.7%-5.6%-1.3%
Q2 2016+2.4%+2.6%-1.2%
Q1 2016-2.7%
Q4 2015+5.6%
Q3 2015+6.1%
Q2 2015-1.2%
Q1 2015+5.2%
Q4 2014+7.7%
Q3 2014+5.4%
Q2 2014+4.0%
Q1 2014-0.2%
Q4 2013+9.1%
Q3 2013-6.5%
Q2 2013+3.5%
Q1 2013+4.7%
Q4 2012+0.0%
Q3 2012+3.5%
Q2 2012-2.1%
Q1 2012-0.4%
Q4 2011+0.9%
Q4 2008+0.9%
Q3 2011+0.1%
Q2 2011+2.8%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q4 2010-0.3%
Q3 2009-0.2%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q2 2009-1.3%
Q2 2010-1.3%
Q1 2010+3.1%
Q4 2009+3.1%
Q1 2009+3.1%

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