NASDAQ$ORGN

Origin Materials Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported operating and financial results for Q4 2023, announced a pathway to profitability led by caps & closures, stated that no additional equity capital is required, and introduced an asset light strategy to scale biomass conversion technology with strategic partners.

Origin Materials reported Q4 2023 results, highlighting a pathway to profitability independent of biomass conversion technology scale-up, led by their caps and closures business. They announced a reduced 2024 cash burn of $55 million to $65 million and expect significant gross profit generation beginning in 2025. The company is also pursuing an asset-light strategy for biomass conversion technology scale-up with strategic partners.

  • Origin has a pathway to profitability with no additional equity capital required, through businesses independent of its biomass-based manufacturing plant operations and timelines.
  • Expected cash burn for 2024 has reduced to between $55 million and $65 million, with meaningful gross profit generation anticipated to begin in 2025, primarily due to the strong commercialization progress of Origin’s caps and closures business.
  • Caps and closures business is advancing rapidly and is positioned to be first to market with a commercially scalable PET cap.
  • For Origin 2, the Company is pursuing an asset light strategy in support of technology scale up.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$13.1M

Previous: $0.00
EPS (adj)

-$0.07

Previous: $0.11-163.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$12.1M

Previous: $25.9M-146.7%
Net Income

-$10.4M

Previous: $16M-165.2%
Operating Income

-$16.2M

Previous: -$13M-24.7%
Gross Profit

$1.24M

No prior period
R&D Expense

$5.95M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$2.37M

Previous: $3.52M-32.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Origin Materials · Revenue · Quarterly

$13.1M

Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 3 of 9 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is providing the following guidance for 2024 revenue and net cash burn: •Revenue of $25 million to $35 million. •Net cash burn between $55 million and $65 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-5.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-6.6%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

10 / 24 earnings

Positive

+27.9%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-66.3%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%+21.1%
Q4 2025+9.6%-40.6%-32.2%
Q3 2025-3.7%-8.2%-17.6%
Q2 2025-33.5%-36.8%-32.7%
Q1 2025-32.7%-24.0%-34.9%
Q4 2024-4.2%-9.4%-34.6%
Q3 2024-11.4%-15.4%-6.5%
Q2 2024+27.9%+86.0%+80.2%
Q1 2024-21.6%-17.4%-17.7%
Q4 2023-6.1%-5.9%-11.9%
Q3 2023-19.0%+1.8%-29.6%
Q2 2023-66.3%-67.1%-65.3%
Q1 2023+7.6%+8.8%+8.8%
Q4 2022+3.8%+0.2%-17.3%
Q3 2022+6.8%+3.6%+4.3%
Q2 2022+12.4%+18.2%-0.3%
Q1 2022-14.2%-3.1%+5.3%
Q4 2021+5.7%+11.8%+40.0%
Q3 2021+3.8%-3.9%-15.9%
Q2 2021+3.3%-13.4%+19.7%
Q1 2021-0.3%+0.1%+1.2%
Q4 2020-0.3%+0.1%+1.2%
Q2 2020+3.8%+1.9%+0.3%
Q3 2020-0.4%+0.1%+2.7%

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