NASDAQ$ORGN

Origin Materials Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Origin 1 initiated start-up and FDCA mass production moved forward to Origin 2.

Origin Materials reported revenue of $6.9 million driven by joint development agreements and the supply chain activation program. The company is focusing on FDCA production at Origin 2 due to strong demand and higher margins. Origin 1 initiated start-up, and the company updated the Origin 2 outlook with a phased construction plan.

  • Origin 1, the world’s first commercial-scale plant to produce Origin’s intermediates, initiated start-up.
  • The product slate at Origin 2 is updated to focus on the production of FDCA due to greater demand.
  • Origin 2 construction will follow a phased approach to reduce project risk, with Phase 1 start-up projected for late 2026 to 2027 and Phase 2 start-up projected for 2028.
  • Origin Materials maintains its 2023 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA outlook.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.9M

Previous: -$500K+1479.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.05

Previous: $0.33-115.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$72.3M

Previous: -$25M-188.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$78.7M

Previous: $21.9M-459.8%
Net Income

-$6.46M

Previous: $46.9M-113.8%
Operating Income

-$14.3M

Previous: -$9.17M-55.7%
Gross Profit

$84K

Previous: -$500K+116.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$65.5M

Previous: $79.1M-17.1%
Total Assets

$477M

Previous: $499M-4.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.41M

Previous: $1.66M+45.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Origin Materials · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.9M

Q2 2023-1,479.6%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 3 of 9 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is maintaining the following guidance for revenue and Adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2023

Tailwinds

  • Revenue of $40 million to $60 million

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA loss of $50 million to $60 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-5.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-5.8%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

10 / 24 earnings

Positive

+27.9%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-66.3%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+9.6%-6.1%
Q1 2026+0.0%+21.1%-13.0%
Q3 2025-3.7%-8.2%-17.6%
Q2 2025-33.5%-36.8%-32.7%
Q1 2025-32.7%-24.0%-34.9%
Q4 2024-4.2%-9.4%-34.6%
Q3 2024-11.4%-15.4%-6.5%
Q2 2024+27.9%+86.0%+80.2%
Q1 2024-21.6%-17.4%-17.7%
Q4 2023-6.1%-5.9%-11.9%
Q3 2023-19.0%+1.8%-29.6%
Q2 2023-66.3%-67.1%-65.3%
Q1 2023+7.6%+8.8%+8.8%
Q4 2022+3.8%+0.2%-17.3%
Q3 2022+6.8%+3.6%+4.3%
Q2 2022+12.4%+18.2%-0.3%
Q1 2022-14.2%-3.1%+5.3%
Q4 2021+5.7%+11.8%+40.0%
Q3 2021+3.8%-3.9%-15.9%
Q2 2021+3.3%-13.4%+19.7%
Q1 2021-0.3%+0.1%+1.2%
Q4 2020-0.3%+0.1%+1.2%
Q2 2020+3.8%+1.9%+0.3%
Q3 2020-0.4%+0.1%+2.7%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro