NASDAQ$ORGN

Origin Materials Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Achieved a milestone with the successful Factory Acceptance Test of the first CapFormer System, and reaffirmed the expectation of run-rate EBITDA positive in the first half of 2026.

Origin Materials reported $8.2 million in revenue for Q3 2024, driven by the supply chain activation program. The company highlighted the successful Factory Acceptance Test of its first CapFormer System and reaffirmed its expectation of achieving run-rate EBITDA positive in the first half of 2026. They are targeting eight or more CapFormer Systems online by the end of 2025.

  • Completed Factory Acceptance Test for the 1st PET Cap Manufacturing System, remaining on track for production timing.
  • The test was attended by multiple prospective customers, representing over 100 billion in annual caps consumption.
  • Targeting eight or more CapFormer Systems online by the end of 2025, which is expected to be sufficient to enable positive EBITDA.
  • Reaffirmed the expectation of run-rate EBITDA positive in the first half of 2026, with no additional equity capital required.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$8.2M

Previous: $7.14M+14.9%
EPS

-$0.26

Previous: $0.22-218.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$5.12M

Previous: -$90.1M+94.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$41.9M

Previous: -$59.2M+29.2%
Net Income

-$36.8M

Previous: $30.9M-218.9%
Operating Income

-$32.4M

Previous: -$12.1M-166.8%
Gross Profit

$8.2M

Previous: $800K+925.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$56.4M

Previous: $66.1M-14.7%
Total Assets

$400M

Previous: $471M-15.2%
R&D Expense

$5.13M

Previous: $4.93M+4.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.46M

Previous: $2.38M+3.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Origin Materials · Revenue · Quarterly

$8.2M

Q3 2024+14.9%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 3 of 9 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Origin Materials is maintaining its full year 2024 revenue guidance of $25 million to $35 million and net cash burn guidance of $55 million to $65 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-5.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-5.8%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

10 / 24 earnings

Positive

+27.9%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-66.3%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+9.6%-6.1%
Q1 2026+0.0%+21.1%-13.0%
Q3 2025-3.7%-8.2%-17.6%
Q2 2025-33.5%-36.8%-32.7%
Q1 2025-32.7%-24.0%-34.9%
Q4 2024-4.2%-9.4%-34.6%
Q3 2024-11.4%-15.4%-6.5%
Q2 2024+27.9%+86.0%+80.2%
Q1 2024-21.6%-17.4%-17.7%
Q4 2023-6.1%-5.9%-11.9%
Q3 2023-19.0%+1.8%-29.6%
Q2 2023-66.3%-67.1%-65.3%
Q1 2023+7.6%+8.8%+8.8%
Q4 2022+3.8%+0.2%-17.3%
Q3 2022+6.8%+3.6%+4.3%
Q2 2022+12.4%+18.2%-0.3%
Q1 2022-14.2%-3.1%+5.3%
Q4 2021+5.7%+11.8%+40.0%
Q3 2021+3.8%-3.9%-15.9%
Q2 2021+3.3%-13.4%+19.7%
Q1 2021-0.3%+0.1%+1.2%
Q4 2020-0.3%+0.1%+1.2%
Q2 2020+3.8%+1.9%+0.3%
Q3 2020-0.4%+0.1%+2.7%

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