NASDAQ$ORGN

Origin Materials Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Increased offtake agreements and capacity reservations, maintained adjusted EBITDA and capital expenditure outlook.

Origin Materials reported a net income of $8.3 million for Q3 2022, with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaling $362.2 million. The company maintains its construction timeline for Origin 1, expecting mechanical completion by the end of 2022. Customer demand remains strong, with contracted offtake agreements and capacity reservations increasing to $9.0 billion.

  • Origin Materials increased total signed offtake agreements and capacity reservations to $9.0 billion.
  • Origin 1 construction is on track for mechanical completion by year-end 2022.
  • The previously disclosed Origin 2 capital budget, construction timeline, and financing are unchanged.
  • The company maintains its 2022 adjusted EBITDA and capital expenditure outlook.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.3M

Previous: $0.00
EPS (adj)

$0.06

Previous: $0.20-70.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$57.8M

Previous: -$5.11M-1030.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$49.5M

Previous: $22.8M-317.4%
Net Income

$8.3M

Previous: $27.9M-70.2%
Operating Income

-$8.45M

Previous: -$7.13M-18.5%
Gross Profit

$1.3M

Previous: $0.00
Cash & Equivalents

$103M

Previous: $459M-77.6%
Total Assets

$492M

Previous: $514M-4.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.15M

Previous: $636K+80.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Origin Materials · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.3M

Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 3 of 9 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is maintaining Adjusted EBITDA and its previously updated capital spending estimate for fiscal year 2022

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA loss of up to $36 million
  • Capital spending is expected to be up to $175 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-5.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-5.8%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

10 / 24 earnings

Positive

+27.9%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-66.3%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+9.6%-6.1%
Q1 2026+0.0%+21.1%-13.0%
Q3 2025-3.7%-8.2%-17.6%
Q2 2025-33.5%-36.8%-32.7%
Q1 2025-32.7%-24.0%-34.9%
Q4 2024-4.2%-9.4%-34.6%
Q3 2024-11.4%-15.4%-6.5%
Q2 2024+27.9%+86.0%+80.2%
Q1 2024-21.6%-17.4%-17.7%
Q4 2023-6.1%-5.9%-11.9%
Q3 2023-19.0%+1.8%-29.6%
Q2 2023-66.3%-67.1%-65.3%
Q1 2023+7.6%+8.8%+8.8%
Q4 2022+3.8%+0.2%-17.3%
Q3 2022+6.8%+3.6%+4.3%
Q2 2022+12.4%+18.2%-0.3%
Q1 2022-14.2%-3.1%+5.3%
Q4 2021+5.7%+11.8%+40.0%
Q3 2021+3.8%-3.9%-15.9%
Q2 2021+3.3%-13.4%+19.7%
Q1 2021-0.3%+0.1%+1.2%
Q4 2020-0.3%+0.1%+1.2%
Q2 2020+3.8%+1.9%+0.3%
Q3 2020-0.4%+0.1%+2.7%

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