NASDAQ$ORGN

Origin Materials Inc · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Increased contracted offtake agreements and capacity reservations, origin 1 construction timeline on track with budget increase, and origin 2 unchanged.

Origin Materials reported strong customer demand and increased contracted offtake agreements and capacity reservations to $7.4 billion. The Origin 1 construction timeline is on track, but the capital budget increased by $15 to $20 million. The Origin 2 construction timeline, budget, and financing are unchanged. The company maintains its 2022 Adjusted EBITDA forecast loss of $36 million and updates its capital expenditure outlook to up to $175 million.

  • Total signed offtake agreements and capacity reservations increased to $7.4 billion, up from $5.6 billion in February 2022.
  • New partnerships were established with LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton and Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Group.
  • Origin 1 construction is on track for mechanical completion by the end of 2022, but the capital budget is expected to increase by $15 million to $20 million.
  • The previously disclosed Origin 2 capital budget and construction timeline are unchanged.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

-$500K

No prior period
EPS (adj)

$0.05

Previous: -$0.86+105.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$10.4M

Previous: $741K-1500.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$3.03M

Previous: -$4.1M+26.0%
Net Income

$7.35M

Previous: -$53.6M+113.7%
Operating Income

-$8.06M

Previous: -$912K-783.5%
Gross Profit

-$500K

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$57.9M

Previous: $359K+16036.5%
Total Assets

$506M

Previous: $725M-30.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$918K

Previous: $627K+46.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Origin Materials · Revenue · Quarterly

-$500K

Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 2 of 7 quarters(29%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is maintaining Adjusted EBITDA and updating capital spending for fiscal year 2022 resulting from an increase in the capital budget of Origin 1.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA loss of up to $36 million

Headwinds

  • Capital spending is now expected to be up to $175 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

-5.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.8%

Avg return

5 days after

-6.6%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

10 / 24 earnings

Positive

+27.9%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-66.3%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%+21.1%
Q4 2025+9.6%-40.6%-32.2%
Q3 2025-3.7%-8.2%-17.6%
Q2 2025-33.5%-36.8%-32.7%
Q1 2025-32.7%-24.0%-34.9%
Q4 2024-4.2%-9.4%-34.6%
Q3 2024-11.4%-15.4%-6.5%
Q2 2024+27.9%+86.0%+80.2%
Q1 2024-21.6%-17.4%-17.7%
Q4 2023-6.1%-5.9%-11.9%
Q3 2023-19.0%+1.8%-29.6%
Q2 2023-66.3%-67.1%-65.3%
Q1 2023+7.6%+8.8%+8.8%
Q4 2022+3.8%+0.2%-17.3%
Q3 2022+6.8%+3.6%+4.3%
Q2 2022+12.4%+18.2%-0.3%
Q1 2022-14.2%-3.1%+5.3%
Q4 2021+5.7%+11.8%+40.0%
Q3 2021+3.8%-3.9%-15.9%
Q2 2021+3.3%-13.4%+19.7%
Q1 2021-0.3%+0.1%+1.2%
Q4 2020-0.3%+0.1%+1.2%
Q2 2020+3.8%+1.9%+0.3%
Q3 2020-0.4%+0.1%+2.7%

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