NASDAQ$NTRA

Natera Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Delivered robust volume and revenue growth while demonstrating operational discipline with a significant reduction in cash burn.

Natera reported a 27.4% increase in total revenues, reaching $268.3 million, driven by a 32.7% increase in product revenues. The company processed approximately 626,000 tests, reflecting a 21.0% increase. They have revised their 2023 annual revenue guidance to $1.035 billion to $1.05 billion.

  • Total revenues were $268.3 million, a 27.4% increase compared to Q3 2022.
  • Product revenues increased by 32.7% to $265.2 million.
  • Approximately 626,000 tests were processed, a 21.0% increase from the previous year.
  • Net loss was $109.0 million, or ($0.95) per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$268M

Previous: $211M+27.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.95

Previous: -$1.25+24.0%
Tests processed

626.0K

Previous: 517.5K+21.0%
Tests accessioned

609.8K

Previous: 502.9K+21.3%
Tests reported

590.0K

Previous: 483.0K+22.2%
Tests reported (lab)

575.0K

Previous: 469.2K+22.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$29.7M

Previous: -$35.9M+17.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$139M

Previous: -$157M+11.9%
Net Income

-$109M

Previous: -$121M+10.2%
Operating Income

-$111M

Previous: -$119M+6.8%
Gross Profit

-$454K

Previous: -$615K+26.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$937M

Previous: $57M+1541.9%
Total Assets

$1.45B

Previous: $1.01B+43.3%
R&D Expense

$77.2M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$57.7M

Previous: $40.3M+43.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Natera · Revenue · Quarterly

$268M

Q3 2023+27.4%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Natera · $33.9M total across 1 segment · Q1 2021

  • Licensing and other revenues
    $33.9M

Forward guidance

Natera is revising its 2023 annual guidance. The Company now expects annual revenue to be in a range of $1.035 billion to $1.05 billion, up from its previous range of $1.015 billion to $1.035 billion; and gross margin to be in a range of approximately 43% to 44% of revenues, revised from its previous range of 41% to 44%. In addition, net cash consumption is now expected to be approximately $260 million to $280 million, down from its previous range of $300 million to $325 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+4.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.0%

Avg return

30 days after

69%

31 / 45 earnings

Positive

+29.1%

Q2 2017

Best reaction

-21.2%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.0%-5.2%+0.0%
Q4 2025-3.8%-6.0%-15.5%
Q3 2025+0.7%+5.6%+23.2%
Q1 2025-6.9%-6.9%+0.7%
Q4 2024-0.7%-5.5%-8.1%
Q3 2024+20.2%+9.0%+24.2%
Q2 2024+14.2%+18.6%+12.5%
Q1 2024+10.1%+10.3%+16.2%
Q4 2023+13.6%+18.4%+20.1%
Q3 2023+4.0%+11.2%+33.2%
Q2 2023+16.1%+20.0%+42.3%
Q1 2023-3.6%-3.8%-8.1%
Q4 2022+14.1%+22.2%+14.1%
Q3 2022-13.2%-5.3%-9.2%
Q2 2022+5.1%+3.7%-2.7%
Q1 2022-2.0%-18.5%+0.5%
Q4 2021+10.2%+5.9%-34.7%
Q3 2021+3.6%+1.2%-22.7%
Q2 2021+2.4%-7.7%+8.1%
Q1 2021-2.9%-14.0%-7.1%
Q4 2020+2.9%+4.6%-17.0%
Q3 2020+9.3%+2.3%+16.5%
Q2 2020+11.8%+4.0%+31.2%
Q1 2020+19.8%+28.3%+11.6%
Q4 2019+6.4%+5.6%-27.3%
Q3 2019-3.7%+0.3%-1.3%
Q2 2019+19.3%+9.6%+19.8%
Q1 2019+19.8%+26.8%+34.3%
Q4 2018+19.6%+16.9%+22.9%
Q3 2018-21.2%-25.2%-20.4%
Q2 2018+0.2%+5.2%+8.4%
Q1 2018+1.4%-0.9%+3.6%
Q4 2017+0.3%+17.3%+10.1%
Q3 2017-12.8%-13.4%-11.9%
Q2 2017+29.1%+32.4%+64.0%
Q1 2017+13.8%+11.5%+7.1%
Q4 2016-14.8%-15.9%-10.8%
Q3 2016+12.0%+25.5%+26.8%
Q2 2016-5.8%-17.2%-21.3%
Q1 2016+15.4%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2015-13.8%
Q3 2014+2.7%
Q3 2015+7.0%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q1 2013

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