NASDAQ$NTRA

Natera Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong volume and revenue despite COVID-19 impact, achieving major milestones across oncology and transplant businesses.

Natera reported total revenues of $86.5 million for the second quarter of 2020, compared to $74.4 million for the second quarter of 2019. The increase was primarily driven by sales of Panorama and Horizon tests. The company processed 234,100 tests in the second quarter of 2020, including approximately 221,600 tests accessioned in its laboratory.

  • Total revenues were $86.5 million in the second quarter of 2020, compared to $74.4 million for the second quarter of 2019.
  • Natera processed 234,100 tests in the second quarter of 2020, including approximately 221,600 tests accessioned in its laboratory.
  • Loss from operations for the second quarter of 2020 was $51.6 million compared to $28.6 million for the same period of the prior year.
  • Net loss for the second quarter of 2020 was $59.6 million, or ($0.75) per diluted share, compared to net loss of $32.4 million, or ($0.48) per diluted share, for the same period in 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$86.5M

Previous: $74.4M+16.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.75

Previous: -$0.48-56.3%
Tests processed

234.1K

Previous: 194.2K+20.5%
Tests accessioned

221.6K

Previous: 181.6K+22.0%
Tests reported

220.0K

Previous: 187.6K+17.3%
Tests reported (lab)

208.4K

Previous: 174.8K+19.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$10.1M

Previous: -$1.6M-533.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$69.8M

Previous: -$34M-105.1%
Net Income

-$59.6M

Previous: -$32.4M-84.0%
Operating Income

-$51.7M

Previous: -$28.6M-80.4%
Gross Profit

$43.7M

Previous: $33M+32.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$77.3M

Previous: $29.9M+158.4%
Total Assets

$723M

Previous: $383M+88.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Natera · Revenue · Quarterly

$86.5M

Q2 2020+16.3%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Natera · $33.9M total across 1 segment · Q1 2021

  • Licensing and other revenues
    $33.9M

Forward guidance

Natera anticipates 2020 total revenue of $345 million to $365 million; 2020 cost of revenues to be approximately 51% to 55% of revenues; selling, general and administrative costs to be approximately $260 million to $280 million; research and development costs to be $85 million to $95 million, and net cash burn to be $125 million to $155 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+4.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.0%

Avg return

30 days after

69%

31 / 45 earnings

Positive

+29.1%

Q2 2017

Best reaction

-21.2%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.0%-5.2%+0.0%
Q4 2025-3.8%-6.0%-15.5%
Q3 2025+0.7%+5.6%+23.2%
Q1 2025-6.9%-6.9%+0.7%
Q4 2024-0.7%-5.5%-8.1%
Q3 2024+20.2%+9.0%+24.2%
Q2 2024+14.2%+18.6%+12.5%
Q1 2024+10.1%+10.3%+16.2%
Q4 2023+13.6%+18.4%+20.1%
Q3 2023+4.0%+11.2%+33.2%
Q2 2023+16.1%+20.0%+42.3%
Q1 2023-3.6%-3.8%-8.1%
Q4 2022+14.1%+22.2%+14.1%
Q3 2022-13.2%-5.3%-9.2%
Q2 2022+5.1%+3.7%-2.7%
Q1 2022-2.0%-18.5%+0.5%
Q4 2021+10.2%+5.9%-34.7%
Q3 2021+3.6%+1.2%-22.7%
Q2 2021+2.4%-7.7%+8.1%
Q1 2021-2.9%-14.0%-7.1%
Q4 2020+2.9%+4.6%-17.0%
Q3 2020+9.3%+2.3%+16.5%
Q2 2020+11.8%+4.0%+31.2%
Q1 2020+19.8%+28.3%+11.6%
Q4 2019+6.4%+5.6%-27.3%
Q3 2019-3.7%+0.3%-1.3%
Q2 2019+19.3%+9.6%+19.8%
Q1 2019+19.8%+26.8%+34.3%
Q4 2018+19.6%+16.9%+22.9%
Q3 2018-21.2%-25.2%-20.4%
Q2 2018+0.2%+5.2%+8.4%
Q1 2018+1.4%-0.9%+3.6%
Q4 2017+0.3%+17.3%+10.1%
Q3 2017-12.8%-13.4%-11.9%
Q2 2017+29.1%+32.4%+64.0%
Q1 2017+13.8%+11.5%+7.1%
Q4 2016-14.8%-15.9%-10.8%
Q3 2016+12.0%+25.5%+26.8%
Q2 2016-5.8%-17.2%-21.3%
Q1 2016+15.4%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2015-13.8%
Q3 2014+2.7%
Q3 2015+7.0%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q1 2013

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