NASDAQ$NTRA

Natera Inc · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong momentum driven by record volume levels, leading to raised 2022 revenue guidance.

Natera reported a 39.6% increase in total revenues, reaching $198.2 million in Q2 2022 compared to $142.0 million in Q2 2021. The company processed approximately 499,900 tests, including 484,000 accessioned in its laboratory. They are expecting to reach a cash flow breakeven quarter by mid-2024.

  • Total revenues increased by 39.6% to $198.2 million compared to Q2 2021.
  • Product revenues increased by 39.3% to $194.6 million compared to Q2 2021.
  • Natera processed approximately 499,900 tests, including approximately 484,000 tests accessioned in its laboratory.
  • Medicare coverage received for Signatera in muscle-invasive bladder cancer.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$198M

Previous: $142M+39.6%
EPS (adj)

-$1.50

Previous: -$1.32-13.6%
Tests processed

499.9K

Previous: 375.7K+33.1%
Tests accessioned

484.0K

Previous: 361.5K+33.9%
Tests reported

461.3K

Previous: 355.7K+29.7%
Tests reported (lab)

446.4K

Previous: 342.5K+30.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$23.7M

Previous: -$18.9M-25.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$169M

Previous: -$135M-25.1%
Net Income

-$145M

Previous: -$116M-25.1%
Operating Income

-$143M

Previous: -$115M-24.1%
Gross Profit

-$970K

Previous: -$612K-58.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$91.3M

Previous: $62.8M+45.4%
Total Assets

$1.07B

Previous: $850M+25.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$41M

Previous: $35.1M+16.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Natera · Revenue · Quarterly

$198M

Q2 2022+39.6%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Natera · $33.9M total across 1 segment · Q1 2021

  • Licensing and other revenues
    $33.9M

Forward guidance

Natera anticipates 2022 total revenue of $805 million to $825 million; 2022 gross margin to be approximately 46% to 48% of revenues; selling, general and administrative costs to be approximately $560 million to $590 million; research and development costs to be $340 million to $360 million, and net cash consumption to be $370 million to $400 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

+4.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.0%

Avg return

30 days after

69%

31 / 45 earnings

Positive

+29.1%

Q2 2017

Best reaction

-21.2%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.0%-5.2%+0.0%
Q4 2025-3.8%-6.0%-15.5%
Q3 2025+0.7%+5.6%+23.2%
Q1 2025-6.9%-6.9%+0.7%
Q4 2024-0.7%-5.5%-8.1%
Q3 2024+20.2%+9.0%+24.2%
Q2 2024+14.2%+18.6%+12.5%
Q1 2024+10.1%+10.3%+16.2%
Q4 2023+13.6%+18.4%+20.1%
Q3 2023+4.0%+11.2%+33.2%
Q2 2023+16.1%+20.0%+42.3%
Q1 2023-3.6%-3.8%-8.1%
Q4 2022+14.1%+22.2%+14.1%
Q3 2022-13.2%-5.3%-9.2%
Q2 2022+5.1%+3.7%-2.7%
Q1 2022-2.0%-18.5%+0.5%
Q4 2021+10.2%+5.9%-34.7%
Q3 2021+3.6%+1.2%-22.7%
Q2 2021+2.4%-7.7%+8.1%
Q1 2021-2.9%-14.0%-7.1%
Q4 2020+2.9%+4.6%-17.0%
Q3 2020+9.3%+2.3%+16.5%
Q2 2020+11.8%+4.0%+31.2%
Q1 2020+19.8%+28.3%+11.6%
Q4 2019+6.4%+5.6%-27.3%
Q3 2019-3.7%+0.3%-1.3%
Q2 2019+19.3%+9.6%+19.8%
Q1 2019+19.8%+26.8%+34.3%
Q4 2018+19.6%+16.9%+22.9%
Q3 2018-21.2%-25.2%-20.4%
Q2 2018+0.2%+5.2%+8.4%
Q1 2018+1.4%-0.9%+3.6%
Q4 2017+0.3%+17.3%+10.1%
Q3 2017-12.8%-13.4%-11.9%
Q2 2017+29.1%+32.4%+64.0%
Q1 2017+13.8%+11.5%+7.1%
Q4 2016-14.8%-15.9%-10.8%
Q3 2016+12.0%+25.5%+26.8%
Q2 2016-5.8%-17.2%-21.3%
Q1 2016+15.4%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2015-13.8%
Q3 2014+2.7%
Q3 2015+7.0%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q1 2013

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