NASDAQ$NTRA

Natera Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Natera reported an exceptional quarter with significant volume increase and strong revenue growth driven by new businesses.

Natera's Q3 2020 total revenues increased to $98.1 million compared to $77.9 million in Q3 2019, driven by a 39.5% increase in product revenues. The company processed 262,000 tests, including approximately 249,300 tests accessioned in its laboratory. Net loss was $58.3 million, or ($0.72) per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $23.1 million, or ($0.33) per diluted share, for the same period in 2019.

  • Total revenues reached $98.1 million, a significant increase from $77.9 million in the third quarter of 2019.
  • Product revenues increased by 39.5% compared to the third quarter of 2019.
  • Natera processed 262,000 tests in the third quarter of 2020, including approximately 249,300 tests accessioned in its laboratory.
  • The company is raising its 2020 revenue guidance.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$98.1M

Previous: $77.9M+26.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.72

Previous: -$0.33-118.2%
Tests processed

262.0K

Previous: 200.2K+30.9%
Tests accessioned

249.3K

Previous: 187.2K+33.2%
Tests reported

238.6K

Previous: 189.6K+25.8%
Tests reported (lab)

226.7K

Previous: 178.0K+27.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$12.1M

Previous: -$2.55M-372.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$70.4M

Previous: -$25.7M-174.0%
Net Income

-$58.3M

Previous: -$23.1M-152.1%
Operating Income

-$55.8M

Previous: -$21.1M-164.4%
Gross Profit

-$317K

Previous: $37.8M-100.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$209M

Previous: $51.6M+305.6%
Total Assets

$977M

Previous: $380M+156.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Natera · Revenue · Quarterly

$98.1M

Q3 2020+26%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Natera · $33.9M total across 1 segment · Q1 2021

  • Licensing and other revenues
    $33.9M

Forward guidance

Natera anticipates 2020 total revenue of $380 million to $390 million; 2020 cost of revenues to be approximately 51% to 54% of revenues; selling, general and administrative costs to be approximately $270 million to $280 million; research and development costs to be $90 million to $95 million, and net cash burn to be $140 million to $150 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+4.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.0%

Avg return

30 days after

69%

31 / 45 earnings

Positive

+29.1%

Q2 2017

Best reaction

-21.2%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.0%-5.2%+0.0%
Q4 2025-3.8%-6.0%-15.5%
Q3 2025+0.7%+5.6%+23.2%
Q1 2025-6.9%-6.9%+0.7%
Q4 2024-0.7%-5.5%-8.1%
Q3 2024+20.2%+9.0%+24.2%
Q2 2024+14.2%+18.6%+12.5%
Q1 2024+10.1%+10.3%+16.2%
Q4 2023+13.6%+18.4%+20.1%
Q3 2023+4.0%+11.2%+33.2%
Q2 2023+16.1%+20.0%+42.3%
Q1 2023-3.6%-3.8%-8.1%
Q4 2022+14.1%+22.2%+14.1%
Q3 2022-13.2%-5.3%-9.2%
Q2 2022+5.1%+3.7%-2.7%
Q1 2022-2.0%-18.5%+0.5%
Q4 2021+10.2%+5.9%-34.7%
Q3 2021+3.6%+1.2%-22.7%
Q2 2021+2.4%-7.7%+8.1%
Q1 2021-2.9%-14.0%-7.1%
Q4 2020+2.9%+4.6%-17.0%
Q3 2020+9.3%+2.3%+16.5%
Q2 2020+11.8%+4.0%+31.2%
Q1 2020+19.8%+28.3%+11.6%
Q4 2019+6.4%+5.6%-27.3%
Q3 2019-3.7%+0.3%-1.3%
Q2 2019+19.3%+9.6%+19.8%
Q1 2019+19.8%+26.8%+34.3%
Q4 2018+19.6%+16.9%+22.9%
Q3 2018-21.2%-25.2%-20.4%
Q2 2018+0.2%+5.2%+8.4%
Q1 2018+1.4%-0.9%+3.6%
Q4 2017+0.3%+17.3%+10.1%
Q3 2017-12.8%-13.4%-11.9%
Q2 2017+29.1%+32.4%+64.0%
Q1 2017+13.8%+11.5%+7.1%
Q4 2016-14.8%-15.9%-10.8%
Q3 2016+12.0%+25.5%+26.8%
Q2 2016-5.8%-17.2%-21.3%
Q1 2016+15.4%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2015-13.8%
Q3 2014+2.7%
Q3 2015+7.0%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q1 2013

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