NASDAQ$NDLS

Noodles & Co · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021 financial results.

Noodles & Company reported a 7.1% increase in total revenue to $114.8 million for the fourth quarter of 2021, compared to $107.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The company's net loss was $4.7 million, or $0.10 loss per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $3.8 million, or $0.09 loss per diluted share in the fourth quarter of 2020.

  • Total revenue increased 7.1% to $114.8 million.
  • Comparable restaurant sales increased 11.2% system-wide.
  • Company average unit volumes were $1.31 million, a 14.1% increase.
  • Net loss was $4.7 million, or $0.10 loss per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$115M

Previous: $107M+7.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.05

Previous: -$0.04-25.0%
System-wide Comparable Sales

11.2%

Previous: -4.7%+338.3%
Restaurant Contribution Margin

12.4%

Previous: 13.6%-8.8%
Company-owned Comparable Sales

9.5%

No prior period
Franchise Comparable Sales

20.8%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$5.81M

Previous: $1.9M+206.6%
Free Cash Flow

$458K

Previous: -$1.09M+142.2%
Net Income

-$4.7M

Previous: -$3.8M-23.7%
Operating Income

-$4.35M

Previous: -$3.37M-28.9%
Gross Profit

$16M

Previous: $16.1M-0.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.3M

Previous: $7.8M-70.5%
Total Assets

$341M

Previous: $354M-3.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$674K

Previous: $593K+13.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Noodles & Co · Revenue · Quarterly

$115M

Q4 2021+7.1%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 6 of 14 quarters(43%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Noodles & Co · $113M total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • Restaurant Revenue
    $110M+2.1%
  • Franchising Royalties and Fees
    $2.6M+41.9%

Forward guidance

The Company is providing the following expectations for the fiscal year 2022: First quarter 2022 total revenue of $110 million to $113 million, inclusive of the impact of the Omicron variant and the recent refranchising of 15 company restaurants in California; First quarter 2022 comparable restaurant sales in the mid-single digits; Approximately 35 new restaurants system-wide in 2022, with roughly 70% of openings being company-owned; and Capital expenditures of $30 million to $34 million in 2022.

Tailwinds

  • System-wide unit growth of at least 10% annually beginning in 2023 on a targeted path to at least 1,500 units.
  • Average unit volumes of $1.50 million by 2024.
  • Restaurant contribution margin of 20% by 2024.
  • Strategic framework and underlying momentum.
  • Reiterating unit growth and restaurant contribution targets while increasing average unit volume expectations.

Headwinds

  • Near term pressures in the first quarter due to the Omicron variant.
  • Pressures during the first half of the year due to commodity inflation.
  • Staffing challenges.
  • Supply chain challenges.
  • Potential volatility through 2022 due to the current staffing and supply chain environment.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-2.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

18 / 50 earnings

Positive

+20.9%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-28.8%

Q4 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2027+1.2%+7.7%
Q3 2025+13.6%+15.2%+48.5%
Q1 2025-15.8%-13.9%-20.8%
Q4 2025+13.6%-3.2%-10.4%
Q3 2024-14.4%-23.7%-46.6%
Q2 2024-13.7%-0.6%-13.0%
Q1 2024+20.8%+19.1%+10.7%
Q4 2023-10.8%-20.3%-38.2%
Q3 2023+12.7%+19.1%+50.0%
Q2 2023-3.5%-3.9%-16.9%
Q1 2023-18.8%-20.1%-29.2%
Q3 2022-6.0%+5.7%-7.0%
Q2 2022+12.6%+18.1%+10.3%
Q1 2022+14.9%+20.2%+34.2%
Q4 2021-16.8%-20.9%-32.3%
Q3 2021-3.5%-2.8%-15.8%
Q2 2021+4.6%+2.6%+3.1%
Q1 2021+14.3%+13.8%+22.2%
Q4 2020-1.4%+16.4%+11.2%
Q3 2020-14.4%-20.4%+1.4%
Q2 2020+6.3%+14.9%+10.6%
Q1 2020-4.0%+4.7%+45.1%
Q4 2019-0.1%-4.0%-37.1%
Q3 2019+6.2%+16.7%+8.8%
Q2 2019-6.4%-11.4%-21.5%
Q1 2019+14.2%+9.2%-4.3%
Q4 2018-15.3%-11.3%-12.6%
Q3 2018-24.3%-23.0%-25.7%
Q2 2018-2.5%-0.8%-7.0%
Q1 2018+20.9%+32.4%+27.7%
Q4 2017+7.8%+18.0%+15.6%
Q3 2017+2.3%+9.3%+9.3%
Q2 2017-6.3%-5.0%+21.2%
Q1 2017-2.7%-14.5%-26.5%
Q4 2016+6.6%-5.3%+51.3%
Q3 2016-8.8%-14.3%-8.8%
Q2 2016-5.8%-7.9%-11.2%
Q1 2016-2.6%
Q4 2015-2.4%
Q3 2015-13.2%
Q2 2015-19.2%
Q1 2015-17.3%
Q4 2014-28.8%
Q3 2014+15.9%
Q2 2014-16.5%
Q1 2014-10.3%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q4 2013+5.4%
Q3 2013-11.7%
Q2 2013-8.3%
Q1 2013
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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