NASDAQ$NDLS

Noodles & Co · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Noodles & Company reported strong first quarter results with company-owned comparable restaurant sales growth and increased average unit volumes.

Noodles & Company announced positive financial results for Q1 2021, featuring a 10.5% increase in company-owned comparable restaurant sales and a 12.7% increase in average unit volumes compared to Q1 2020. Digital sales grew by 110%, accounting for 62% of total sales. The company reported a net loss of $2.0 million, an improvement from the $5.8 million net loss in Q1 2020.

  • Total revenue increased by 9.2% to $109.6 million compared to $100.3 million in Q1 2020.
  • System-wide comparable restaurant sales increased by 10.7%, with a 10.5% increase at company-owned restaurants and an 11.7% increase at franchise restaurants.
  • Digital sales grew 110% and accounted for 62% of sales.
  • Net loss decreased to $2.0 million, or $0.04 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $5.8 million, or $0.13 per diluted share, in Q1 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$110M

Previous: $100M+9.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.02

Previous: -$0.09+77.8%
System-wide Comparable Sales

10.7%

Previous: -7.2%+248.6%
Restaurant Contribution Margin

13.6%

No prior period
Company-owned Comparable Sales

10.5%

No prior period
Franchise Comparable Sales

11.7%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$2.73M

Previous: -$3.92M+30.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$4.71M

Previous: -$9.75M+51.7%
Net Income

-$1.98M

Previous: -$5.84M+66.1%
Operating Income

-$1.37M

Previous: -$4.85M+71.9%
Gross Profit

-$19.7M

Previous: -$16.3M-21.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.12M

Previous: $50.5M-93.8%
Total Assets

$343M

Previous: $414M-17.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$720K

Previous: $159K+352.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Noodles & Co · Revenue · Quarterly

$110M

Q1 2021+9.2%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Noodles & Co · $110M total across 2 segments · Q1 2021

  • Restaurant Revenue
    $108M+9.1%
  • Franchising Royalties and Fees
    $1.83M+12.3%

Forward guidance

Noodles & Company is not providing full financial guidance for fiscal year 2021 due to the uncertainty surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic, but expects to open 10 to 15 new restaurants system-wide and have capital expenditures of $20 million to $24 million.

Tailwinds

  • System-wide unit growth of at least 7% annually beginning in 2022, quickly reaching 10% annual growth on a path to at least 1,500 units.
  • Average unit volumes of $1.45 million by 2024.
  • Restaurant contribution margin of 20% by 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-2.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

18 / 50 earnings

Positive

+20.9%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-28.8%

Q4 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2027+1.2%+7.7%
Q3 2025+13.6%+15.2%+48.5%
Q1 2025-15.8%-13.9%-20.8%
Q4 2025+13.6%-3.2%-10.4%
Q3 2024-14.4%-23.7%-46.6%
Q2 2024-13.7%-0.6%-13.0%
Q1 2024+20.8%+19.1%+10.7%
Q4 2023-10.8%-20.3%-38.2%
Q3 2023+12.7%+19.1%+50.0%
Q2 2023-3.5%-3.9%-16.9%
Q1 2023-18.8%-20.1%-29.2%
Q3 2022-6.0%+5.7%-7.0%
Q2 2022+12.6%+18.1%+10.3%
Q1 2022+14.9%+20.2%+34.2%
Q4 2021-16.8%-20.9%-32.3%
Q3 2021-3.5%-2.8%-15.8%
Q2 2021+4.6%+2.6%+3.1%
Q1 2021+14.3%+13.8%+22.2%
Q4 2020-1.4%+16.4%+11.2%
Q3 2020-14.4%-20.4%+1.4%
Q2 2020+6.3%+14.9%+10.6%
Q1 2020-4.0%+4.7%+45.1%
Q4 2019-0.1%-4.0%-37.1%
Q3 2019+6.2%+16.7%+8.8%
Q2 2019-6.4%-11.4%-21.5%
Q1 2019+14.2%+9.2%-4.3%
Q4 2018-15.3%-11.3%-12.6%
Q3 2018-24.3%-23.0%-25.7%
Q2 2018-2.5%-0.8%-7.0%
Q1 2018+20.9%+32.4%+27.7%
Q4 2017+7.8%+18.0%+15.6%
Q3 2017+2.3%+9.3%+9.3%
Q2 2017-6.3%-5.0%+21.2%
Q1 2017-2.7%-14.5%-26.5%
Q4 2016+6.6%-5.3%+51.3%
Q3 2016-8.8%-14.3%-8.8%
Q2 2016-5.8%-7.9%-11.2%
Q1 2016-2.6%
Q4 2015-2.4%
Q3 2015-13.2%
Q2 2015-19.2%
Q1 2015-17.3%
Q4 2014-28.8%
Q3 2014+15.9%
Q2 2014-16.5%
Q1 2014-10.3%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q4 2013+5.4%
Q3 2013-11.7%
Q2 2013-8.3%
Q1 2013
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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