NASDAQ$MPWR

Monolithic Power Systems Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2023 and an increase in quarterly cash dividend.

Monolithic Power Systems reported Q4 2023 revenue of $454.0 million, a 1.3% decrease year-over-year. GAAP net income was $96.9 million, or $1.98 per diluted share, while non-GAAP net income was $140.9 million, or $2.88 per diluted share. The company's Board of Directors approved an increase in the quarterly cash dividend from $1.00 per share to $1.25 per share.

  • Revenue was $454.0 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2023, a 1.3% decrease from the quarter ended December 31, 2022.
  • GAAP gross margin was 55.3% for the quarter ended December 31, 2023, compared with 58.2% for the quarter ended December 31, 2022.
  • GAAP operating income was $109.6 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2023, compared with $136.9 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2022.
  • GAAP net income was $96.9 million and $1.98 per diluted share for the quarter ended December 31, 2023, compared to $119.1 million and $2.45 per diluted share for the quarter ended December 31, 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$454M

Previous: $460M-1.3%
EPS (adj)

$2.88

Previous: $3.17-9.1%
GAAP Gross Margin

55.3%

Previous: 58.2%-5.0%
Capital Expenditures

$13.8M

Previous: $12.8M+7.5%
Net Income

$96.9M

Previous: $119M-18.6%
Operating Income

$110M

Previous: $137M-19.9%
Gross Profit

$251M

Previous: $268M-6.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$41.1M

Previous: $35.3M+16.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Monolithic Power · Revenue · Quarterly

$454M

Q4 2023-1.3%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Monolithic Power · $240M total across 4 segments · Q4 2022

  • Automotive
    $110M
  • Industrial
    $78.2M
  • Consumer
    $29.7M
  • Communications
    $22.4M

Forward guidance

For the first quarter ending March 31, 2024, MPS expects revenue in the range of $437.0 million to $457.0 million and GAAP gross margin between 55.1% and 55.7%.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue in the range of $437.0 million to $457.0 million.
  • GAAP gross margin between 55.1% and 55.7%.
  • Non-GAAP gross margin between 55.4% and 56.0%, which excludes an estimated 0.3% impact from stock-based compensation and related expenses.
  • Other income of $5.3 million to $5.7 million before foreign exchange gains or losses.
  • Fully diluted shares outstanding between 48.8 million and 49.2 million.

Headwinds

  • GAAP operating expenses between $147.2 million and $151.2 million.
  • Non-GAAP operating expenses between $101.8 million and $103.8 million, which excludes estimated stock-based compensation and related expenses, and amortization of recently purchased intangible assets.
  • Total stock-based compensation and related expenses of $46.2 million to $48.2 million.
  • Cautious about near-term business conditions.
  • Continued downturn in the global economy, including due to the Russia-Ukraine and Middle East conflicts, inflation, consumer sentiment and other factors.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+2.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

47 / 66 earnings

Positive

+16.6%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-18.6%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.5%+2.4%-3.1%
Q4 2025+6.4%+3.5%-11.5%
Q3 2025-7.7%-8.0%-14.7%
Q2 2025-3.4%-3.2%+2.1%
Q1 2025+5.6%+5.8%+10.0%
Q4 2024+9.0%+5.8%-9.7%
Q3 2024-18.6%-17.9%-39.2%
Q2 2024-7.8%-8.4%+8.3%
Q1 2024+6.5%+9.5%+9.9%
Q4 2023+16.4%+15.3%+15.7%
Q3 2023+8.8%+21.4%+36.1%
Q2 2023+0.9%-1.6%-5.6%
Q1 2023-11.8%-13.9%+6.7%
Q4 2022+9.2%+7.2%+2.4%
Q3 2022+4.0%+4.7%+10.8%
Q2 2022+8.8%+14.5%-2.5%
Q1 2022+16.6%+13.4%+14.3%
Q4 2021+0.4%+13.4%-6.4%
Q3 2021+0.1%+2.1%+1.9%
Q2 2021+4.4%+8.8%+18.0%
Q1 2021-3.6%-2.1%-4.1%
Q4 2020-1.8%+3.6%-9.0%
Q3 2020+5.2%+3.5%+8.0%
Q2 2020+3.9%+4.4%+4.0%
Q1 2020+5.0%-2.5%+5.8%
Q4 2019-0.4%+0.9%-9.1%
Q3 2019+3.6%+4.8%+9.0%
Q2 2019-0.8%-5.7%-0.2%
Q1 2019-6.1%-10.3%-24.6%
Q4 2018+2.8%+6.0%+5.6%
Q3 2018+8.1%+10.7%+19.4%
Q2 2018-1.0%-4.7%+7.1%
Q1 2018-1.0%+3.0%+11.3%
Q4 2017+0.1%-0.0%+13.5%
Q3 2017+6.0%+6.7%+10.0%
Q2 2017-0.3%-2.5%-7.1%
Q1 2017-1.8%-4.5%+1.9%
Q4 2016-1.7%-5.3%-0.7%
Q3 2016-1.9%-1.6%+5.2%
Q2 2016+2.4%+0.9%+4.1%
Q1 2016+3.3%
Q4 2015+3.0%
Q3 2015+5.0%
Q2 2015+3.0%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014-2.1%
Q3 2014+5.0%
Q2 2014+2.3%
Q1 2014+1.4%
Q4 2013+8.4%
Q3 2013+15.1%
Q2 2013+8.7%
Q1 2013+4.6%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2012+1.5%
Q3 2012-2.2%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012+4.5%
Q4 2009+2.6%
Q4 2011+2.6%
Q3 2010+3.7%
Q3 2011+3.7%
Q4 2010+1.1%
Q2 2010+1.1%
Q2 2011+1.1%
Q1 2010+1.2%

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