NASDAQ$MPWR

Monolithic Power Systems Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2019.

Monolithic Power Systems reported revenue of $166.7 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2019, an 8.6% increase from $153.5 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2018. GAAP earnings per share were $0.70 per diluted share for the quarter ended December 31, 2019, compared to $0.61 per diluted share for the quarter ended December 31, 2018.

  • Revenue was $166.7 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2019, an 8.6% increase from the quarter ended December 31, 2018.
  • GAAP gross margin was 55.1% for the quarter ended December 31, 2019, compared with 55.1% for the quarter ended December 31, 2018.
  • GAAP operating income was $30.7 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2019, compared with $33.1 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2018.
  • GAAP net income was $32.4 million and GAAP earnings per share were $0.70 per diluted share for the quarter ended December 31, 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$167M

Previous: $153M+8.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.04

Previous: $0.99+5.1%
GAAP Gross Margin

55.1%

Previous: 55.1%+0.0%
Capital Expenditures

$8.68M

Previous: $4.47M+94.2%
Free Cash Flow

$52.3M

Previous: $43.1M+21.3%
Net Income

$32.4M

Previous: $27.6M+17.2%
Operating Income

$30.7M

Previous: $33.1M-7.2%
Gross Profit

$91.9M

Previous: $84.6M+8.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$173M

Previous: $173M+0.1%
Total Assets

$956M

Previous: $793M+20.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$18.7M

Previous: $14.8M+25.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Monolithic Power · Revenue · Quarterly

$167M

Q4 2019+8.6%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 16 of 16 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Monolithic Power · $240M total across 4 segments · Q4 2022

  • Automotive
    $110M
  • Industrial
    $78.2M
  • Consumer
    $29.7M
  • Communications
    $22.4M

Forward guidance

MPS’ financial targets for the first quarter ending March 31, 2020 include revenue in the range of $161 million to $167 million and GAAP gross margin between 55.1% and 55.7%.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue in the range of $161 million to $167 million.
  • GAAP gross margin between 55.1% and 55.7%.
  • Non-GAAP gross margin between 55.4% and 56.0%, which excludes an estimated impact of stock-based compensation expenses of 0.3%.
  • GAAP research and development and selling, general and administrative expenses between $58.4 million and $62.4 million.
  • Non-GAAP R&D and SG&A expenses between $41.0 million and $43.0 million, which excludes an estimate of stock-based compensation expenses in the range of $17.4 million to $19.4 million.

Headwinds

  • Total stock-based compensation expense of $18.0 million to $20.0 million.
  • Litigation expenses ranging between $1.5 million and $2.5 million.
  • Interest income of $1.5 million to $1.7 million.
  • Fully diluted shares outstanding between 46.2 million and 47.2 million.
  • The semiconductor industry is cyclical in nature, which could lead to adverse changes or developments.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+2.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

47 / 66 earnings

Positive

+16.6%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-18.6%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.5%+2.4%-3.1%
Q4 2025+6.4%+3.5%-11.5%
Q3 2025-7.7%-8.0%-14.7%
Q2 2025-3.4%-3.2%+2.1%
Q1 2025+5.6%+5.8%+10.0%
Q4 2024+9.0%+5.8%-9.7%
Q3 2024-18.6%-17.9%-39.2%
Q2 2024-7.8%-8.4%+8.3%
Q1 2024+6.5%+9.5%+9.9%
Q4 2023+16.4%+15.3%+15.7%
Q3 2023+8.8%+21.4%+36.1%
Q2 2023+0.9%-1.6%-5.6%
Q1 2023-11.8%-13.9%+6.7%
Q4 2022+9.2%+7.2%+2.4%
Q3 2022+4.0%+4.7%+10.8%
Q2 2022+8.8%+14.5%-2.5%
Q1 2022+16.6%+13.4%+14.3%
Q4 2021+0.4%+13.4%-6.4%
Q3 2021+0.1%+2.1%+1.9%
Q2 2021+4.4%+8.8%+18.0%
Q1 2021-3.6%-2.1%-4.1%
Q4 2020-1.8%+3.6%-9.0%
Q3 2020+5.2%+3.5%+8.0%
Q2 2020+3.9%+4.4%+4.0%
Q1 2020+5.0%-2.5%+5.8%
Q4 2019-0.4%+0.9%-9.1%
Q3 2019+3.6%+4.8%+9.0%
Q2 2019-0.8%-5.7%-0.2%
Q1 2019-6.1%-10.3%-24.6%
Q4 2018+2.8%+6.0%+5.6%
Q3 2018+8.1%+10.7%+19.4%
Q2 2018-1.0%-4.7%+7.1%
Q1 2018-1.0%+3.0%+11.3%
Q4 2017+0.1%-0.0%+13.5%
Q3 2017+6.0%+6.7%+10.0%
Q2 2017-0.3%-2.5%-7.1%
Q1 2017-1.8%-4.5%+1.9%
Q4 2016-1.7%-5.3%-0.7%
Q3 2016-1.9%-1.6%+5.2%
Q2 2016+2.4%+0.9%+4.1%
Q1 2016+3.3%
Q4 2015+3.0%
Q3 2015+5.0%
Q2 2015+3.0%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014-2.1%
Q3 2014+5.0%
Q2 2014+2.3%
Q1 2014+1.4%
Q4 2013+8.4%
Q3 2013+15.1%
Q2 2013+8.7%
Q1 2013+4.6%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2012+1.5%
Q3 2012-2.2%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012+4.5%
Q4 2009+2.6%
Q4 2011+2.6%
Q3 2010+3.7%
Q3 2011+3.7%
Q4 2010+1.1%
Q2 2010+1.1%
Q2 2011+1.1%
Q1 2010+1.2%

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