NASDAQ$LOCO

El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

El Pollo Loco's financial performance declined slightly due to decreased comparable restaurant sales, but restaurant contribution margin and adjusted EPS improved.

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. reported a decrease in total revenue to $121.5 million compared to $124.1 million in the same quarter last year. System-wide comparable restaurant sales decreased by 3.4%. However, the company saw improvements in restaurant contribution, which was $17.6 million or 16.9% of company-operated restaurant revenue, compared to $15.9 million or 15.0% last year. Net income remained flat at $7.1 million, while adjusted net income increased to $8.0 million, or $0.23 per diluted share.

  • Total revenue decreased to $121.5 million from $124.1 million year-over-year.
  • System-wide comparable restaurant sales decreased by 3.4%.
  • Restaurant contribution improved to $17.6 million, representing 16.9% of company-operated restaurant revenue.
  • Adjusted net income increased to $8.0 million, or $0.23 per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$121M

Previous: $124M-2.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.23

Previous: $0.21+9.5%
Restaurant contribution margin

16.9%

Previous: 15.0%+12.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$9.24M

Previous: -$8.83M-4.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$2.18M

Previous: -$1.69M-29.1%
Net Income

$7.06M

Previous: $7.14M-1.2%
Operating Income

$10.9M

Previous: $10.4M+4.4%
Gross Profit

-$59.4M

Previous: -$63.5M+6.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$10.2M

Previous: $34.3M-70.3%
Total Assets

$597M

Previous: $619M-3.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$842K

Previous: $970K-13.2%

Revenue & EPS history

El Pollo Loco · Revenue · Quarterly

$121M

Q2 2023-2.1%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

El Pollo Loco · $121M total across 3 segments · Q2 2023

  • Company-operated restaurants
    $104M+55266389.4%
  • Franchise revenue
    $10.1M+0.5%
  • Franchise advertising fee revenue
    $7.47M-1.6%

Forward guidance

El Pollo Loco provided the following expectations for 2023:

Tailwinds

  • Opening of two new company-owned restaurants.
  • Opening of three to four new franchised restaurants.
  • Capital spend of $22.0 - $25.0 million.
  • G&A expense between $42.0 and $44.0 million, inclusive of one-time costs of approximately $1.4 million primarily related to the reorganization and recent share distribution.
  • Adjusted income tax rate of 26.5 – 27.5%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

25 / 52 earnings

Positive

+27.8%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-18.4%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.7%-2.7%+2.3%
Q4 2025+16.8%+27.8%+27.6%
Q3 2025+13.6%+17.4%+20.4%
Q1 2025-3.8%-5.8%+11.3%
Q4 2024-0.1%-1.1%-12.5%
Q3 2024-4.7%-3.9%+1.4%
Q2 2024-0.8%-2.2%+14.9%
Q1 2024+18.6%+21.0%+26.5%
Q4 2023-3.3%-4.2%+1.4%
Q3 2023+2.7%-1.6%+0.6%
Q2 2023+2.4%+5.9%-5.5%
Q1 2023-6.5%-8.0%-5.8%
Q4 2022-10.3%-6.8%-26.0%
Q3 2022+11.1%+11.3%+8.7%
Q2 2022-7.4%-7.3%-11.5%
Q1 2022+0.9%-2.8%-2.2%
Q4 2021-11.3%-14.7%-12.1%
Q3 2021+4.0%+2.1%-14.9%
Q2 2021+1.8%-1.0%-1.5%
Q1 2021+4.6%+3.4%+0.0%
Q4 2020-2.6%-4.2%-15.4%
Q3 2020-18.4%-15.1%-8.6%
Q2 2020+16.0%+1.2%+7.3%
Q1 2020+10.3%+0.7%+12.1%
Q4 2019-12.4%-21.2%-41.5%
Q3 2019+27.8%+29.6%+37.3%
Q2 2019+12.8%+11.8%+3.8%
Q1 2019-10.1%-12.5%-20.1%
Q4 2018-16.2%-13.8%-15.2%
Q3 2018+23.3%+31.7%+22.1%
Q2 2018+0.0%-0.4%+4.4%
Q1 2018+6.6%+6.1%+8.7%
Q4 2017+7.3%+10.9%-0.5%
Q3 2017-13.7%-15.0%-8.8%
Q2 2017-8.7%-9.1%-13.2%
Q1 2017+12.1%+12.5%+10.9%
Q4 2016-6.4%-7.6%+4.2%
Q3 2016-9.6%-10.8%+4.6%
Q2 2016+2.7%+3.2%+4.3%
Q1 2016-16.9%
Q4 2015-6.8%
Q3 2015-15.6%
Q2 2015-18.4%
Q1 2014-16.5%
Q1 2015-12.5%
Q4 2012-0.7%
Q4 2014+15.5%
Q3 2013-1.9%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q2 2014+5.4%
Q1 2013

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro