NASDAQ$LKQ

LKQ Corp · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

LKQ's fourth quarter performance in 2023 showed strong revenue growth, driven by parts and services, while navigating macroeconomic challenges and commodity price fluctuations.

LKQ Corporation reported a 16.6% increase in revenue for Q4 2023, reaching $3.5 billion. Diluted EPS was $0.69, and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.84. The company highlighted solid organic revenue growth, improved Segment EBITDA, and strong cash flow generation despite challenging macroeconomic conditions.

  • Revenue increased by 16.6% to $3.5 billion compared to Q4 2022.
  • Parts and services organic revenue increased by 2.8% (3.4% on a per day basis).
  • Diluted EPS was reported at $0.69, with adjusted diluted EPS at $0.84.
  • Net income for the quarter was $184 million, compared to $193 million in the same period of 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.5B

Previous: $3B+16.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.84

Previous: $0.78+7.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$125M

No prior period
Net Income

$178M

Previous: $193M-7.8%
Operating Income

$277M

Previous: $293M-5.5%
Gross Profit

$1.4B

Previous: $1.22B+14.4%

Revenue & EPS history

LKQ · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.5B

Q4 2023+16.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

LKQ · $2.04B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Europe
    $1.58B+14.9%
  • Specialty
    $456M+0.9%

Forward guidance

LKQ provided its outlook for the full year 2024, anticipating organic revenue growth for parts and services between 3.5% and 5.5%, diluted EPS between $3.43 and $3.73, and adjusted diluted EPS between $3.90 and $4.20.

Tailwinds

  • Emphasis on profitable revenue growth.
  • Focus on free cash flow generation.
  • Expected organic revenue growth from each operating segment.
  • Margin enhancement initiatives to boost profitability.
  • Anticipated return to double-digit Europe Segment EBITDA margins.

Headwinds

  • Guidance based on current conditions and recent trends.
  • Assumes a global effective tax rate of 26.8%.
  • Relies on stable prices of scrap and precious metals near December averages.
  • Assumes no further deterioration due to the Ukraine/Russia conflict.
  • Subject to changes in foreign currency exchange rates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

39 / 69 earnings

Positive

+12.9%

Q2 2013

Best reaction

-15.8%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.4%-7.8%-11.6%
Q4 2025-1.0%+0.9%-14.9%
Q3 2025+3.7%+1.2%-1.2%
Q2 2025-0.5%-1.4%+1.9%
Q1 2025-11.6%-10.6%-4.6%
Q4 2024+6.0%+5.4%+2.5%
Q3 2024-0.6%-1.1%+1.9%
Q2 2024-9.7%-8.2%-4.2%
Q1 2024-11.5%-10.8%-13.3%
Q4 2023+3.7%+5.2%+4.9%
Q3 2023-7.2%-6.4%-2.3%
Q2 2023-5.2%-3.5%-9.9%
Q1 2023+2.7%+1.8%-4.7%
Q4 2022+1.5%+1.0%-5.1%
Q3 2022+3.8%+0.1%+2.7%
Q2 2022+2.2%+2.0%+0.6%
Q1 2022+0.3%+2.7%+5.8%
Q4 2021-11.6%-13.5%-15.9%
Q3 2021+1.6%+4.3%+6.2%
Q2 2021+1.7%+4.4%+4.3%
Q1 2021+2.6%+5.8%+12.0%
Q4 2020+5.5%+4.8%+18.0%
Q3 2020+7.5%+15.5%+20.9%
Q2 2020-0.7%+1.5%+14.9%
Q1 2020-1.9%-1.3%+8.5%
Q4 2019-2.8%-7.9%-52.1%
Q3 2019+11.6%+13.4%+12.1%
Q2 2019+5.7%+2.5%-3.0%
Q1 2019-4.5%-4.3%-15.6%
Q4 2018+2.1%+1.9%+4.1%
Q3 2018+2.7%+3.9%+6.5%
Q2 2018+0.7%-0.5%-0.3%
Q1 2018-15.8%-19.5%-18.2%
Q4 2017-3.6%-5.4%-10.6%
Q3 2017+0.5%+3.1%+4.1%
Q2 2017+5.1%+4.3%+4.4%
Q1 2017+3.5%+4.2%+4.5%
Q4 2016-3.5%-4.4%-11.1%
Q3 2016-3.4%-3.9%+0.5%
Q2 2016+0.7%+1.1%+4.5%
Q1 2016-6.2%
Q4 2015+8.6%
Q3 2015+0.5%
Q2 2015+0.3%
Q1 2015+10.1%
Q4 2014-11.7%
Q3 2014+3.4%
Q2 2014+0.9%
Q1 2014+7.0%
Q4 2013-4.1%
Q3 2013-1.9%
Q2 2013+12.9%
Q1 2013+7.1%
Q4 2012-10.9%
Q3 2012+3.2%
Q2 2012+5.9%
Q1 2012+11.4%
Q4 2008-0.1%
Q4 2011-0.1%
Q3 2011-2.4%
Q2 2011-1.2%
Q1 2010+0.6%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010-0.2%
Q3 2009-1.1%
Q3 2010-1.1%
Q4 2009+3.4%
Q2 2009+3.4%
Q2 2010+3.4%

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