NASDAQ$LKQ
LKQ Corp · Q4 2020 earnings
Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
LKQ's Q4 2020 earnings reflected continued improvement in operational and balance sheet productivity and further debt reduction, despite softening revenue trends in many markets due to COVID-19 mobility restrictions.
LKQ Corporation reported strong Q4 2020 results, with the second-highest quarterly earnings and highest fourth-quarter earnings in the company's history. The company achieved its highest level of annual free cash flow at $1.3 billion and North America's highest annual segment EBITDA margin of 16.8%.
- Fourth quarter revenue was $3.0 billion, a decrease of 1.9% year-over-year.
- Fourth quarter parts and services organic revenue declined 5.2%.
- Fourth quarter diluted EPS was $0.59, up 28.3%, and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.69, up 27.8%.
- Free cash flow in the quarter totaled $246 million, bringing the total to $1.3 billion for the full year of 2020.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
LKQ · Revenue · Quarterly
$2.95B
Revenue by segment
LKQ · $1.78B total across 2 segments · Q4 2020
- Europe$1.43B+0.5%80.1%
- Specialty$354M+17.2%19.9%
Forward guidance
LKQ anticipates a gradual recovery in the second half of 2021 as vaccination efforts take hold. Improving revenue trends combined with an improving cost structure should drive increased profitability relative to 2020 and contribute to another strong year of cash generation.
Tailwinds
- Diluted EPS attributable to LKQ stockholders in the range of $2.40 to $2.60
- Adjusted diluted EPS attributable to LKQ stockholders in the range of $2.65 to $2.85
- Free cash flow at a minimum of $800 million
- Targeting free cash flow conversion of EBITDA at 55 - 60%
- Segment EBITDA margin targets for Europe provided at the September 10, 2020 investor day remain unchanged
Headwinds
- Outlook is based on recent conditions, including scrap and precious metals prices remaining at recent prices and exchange rates for the British pound, Euro and Canadian dollar holding near recent levels.
- Outlook is also based on management’s current expectations regarding the recovery from the coronavirus outbreak and the impact of the United Kingdom’s exit from the European Union.
- Changes in these conditions may impact our ability to achieve the estimates.
- Adjusted figures exclude (to the extent applicable) the impact of restructuring and acquisition related expenses.
- Adjusted figures exclude amortization expense related to acquired intangibles; excess tax benefits and deficiencies from stock-based payments; losses on debt extinguishment; impairment charges; and gains and losses related to acquisitions or divestitures (including changes in the fair value of contingent consideration liabilities).
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020
+0.3%
Avg return
Earnings day
-0.5%
Avg return
5 days after
-1.3%
Avg return
30 days after
57%
39 / 69 earnings
Positive
+12.9%
Q2 2013
Best reaction
-15.8%
Q1 2018
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -2.4% | -7.8% | -11.6% | |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0% | +0.9% | -14.9% | |
| Q3 2025 | +3.7% | +1.2% | -1.2% | |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5% | -1.4% | +1.9% | |
| Q1 2025 | -11.6% | -10.6% | -4.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | +6.0% | +5.4% | +2.5% | |
| Q3 2024 | -0.6% | -1.1% | +1.9% | |
| Q2 2024 | -9.7% | -8.2% | -4.2% | |
| Q1 2024 | -11.5% | -10.8% | -13.3% | |
| Q4 2023 | +3.7% | +5.2% | +4.9% | |
| Q3 2023 | -7.2% | -6.4% | -2.3% | |
| Q2 2023 | -5.2% | -3.5% | -9.9% | |
| Q1 2023 | +2.7% | +1.8% | -4.7% | |
| Q4 2022 | +1.5% | +1.0% | -5.1% | |
| Q3 2022 | +3.8% | +0.1% | +2.7% | |
| Q2 2022 | +2.2% | +2.0% | +0.6% | |
| Q1 2022 | +0.3% | +2.7% | +5.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | -11.6% | -13.5% | -15.9% | |
| Q3 2021 | +1.6% | +4.3% | +6.2% | |
| Q2 2021 | +1.7% | +4.4% | +4.3% | |
| Q1 2021 | +2.6% | +5.8% | +12.0% | |
| Q4 2020 | +5.5% | +4.8% | +18.0% | |
| Q3 2020 | +7.5% | +15.5% | +20.9% | |
| Q2 2020 | -0.7% | +1.5% | +14.9% | |
| Q1 2020 | -1.9% | -1.3% | +8.5% | |
| Q4 2019 | -2.8% | -7.9% | -52.1% | |
| Q3 2019 | +11.6% | +13.4% | +12.1% | |
| Q2 2019 | +5.7% | +2.5% | -3.0% | |
| Q1 2019 | -4.5% | -4.3% | -15.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | +2.1% | +1.9% | +4.1% | |
| Q3 2018 | +2.7% | +3.9% | +6.5% | |
| Q2 2018 | +0.7% | -0.5% | -0.3% | |
| Q1 2018 | -15.8% | -19.5% | -18.2% | |
| Q4 2017 | -3.6% | -5.4% | -10.6% | |
| Q3 2017 | +0.5% | +3.1% | +4.1% | |
| Q2 2017 | +5.1% | +4.3% | +4.4% | |
| Q1 2017 | +3.5% | +4.2% | +4.5% | |
| Q4 2016 | -3.5% | -4.4% | -11.1% | |
| Q3 2016 | -3.4% | -3.9% | +0.5% | |
| Q2 2016 | +0.7% | +1.1% | +4.5% | |
| Q1 2016 | -6.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +8.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +10.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -11.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +3.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +7.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -4.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +12.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +7.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -10.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +3.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +5.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +11.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +1.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -1.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -1.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +3.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +3.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +3.4% | — | — |
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