NASDAQ$LKQ

LKQ Corp · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

LKQ's first quarter results reflected strength in profitability, segment margins, and free cash flow, exceeding expectations due to operational excellence and key initiatives.

LKQ Corporation reported a strong first quarter in 2021, with revenue up 5.7% year-over-year to $3.2 billion. Diluted EPS increased by 83.3% to $0.88, and adjusted diluted EPS rose by 64.9% to $0.94. The company saw significant improvements in segment EBITDA margins and free cash flow, leading to an increased 2021 outlook.

  • First quarter revenue increased by 5.7% year-over-year to $3.2 billion.
  • Diluted EPS increased by 83.3% to $0.88, and adjusted diluted EPS increased by 64.9% to $0.94.
  • North America Segment EBITDA margin reached 19.9%, the highest in the company's history.
  • Free cash flow increased by 220% year-over-year to $481 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.17B

Previous: $3B+5.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.94

Previous: $0.57+64.9%
Free Cash Flow

$266M

Previous: $145M+83.2%
Net Income

$266M

Previous: $145M+83.2%
Operating Income

$371M

Previous: $242M+53.6%
Gross Profit

$1.29B

Previous: $1.21B+6.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$590M

Previous: $333M+77.2%
Total Assets

$12.7B

Previous: $12.4B+2.5%

Revenue & EPS history

LKQ · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.17B

Q1 2021+5.7%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

LKQ · $1.91B total across 2 segments · Q1 2021

  • Europe
    $1.46B+7.2%
  • Specialty
    $458M+31.8%

Forward guidance

LKQ raised its 2021 outlook on profitability and free cash flow, anticipating full year parts and services revenue growth, diluted EPS between $2.68 and $2.88, adjusted diluted EPS between $3.00 and $3.20, and free cash flow between $850 million and $950 million.

Tailwinds

  • Q2 growth on a light comparable period, followed by gradual recovery in the second half of the year.
  • Diluted EPS attributable to LKQ stockholders in the range of $2.68 to $2.88.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS attributable to LKQ stockholders in the range of $3.00 to $3.20.
  • Free cash flow in the range of $850 million to $950 million.
  • Based on strong start to the year.

Headwinds

  • Two fewer selling days in North America, one each in Q1 and Q4.
  • Assumes current U.S. federal tax legislation remains unchanged.
  • Exchange rates for the Canadian dollar, euro, and pound sterling hold near recent levels.
  • The price of scrap and precious metals trend lower in the second half of the year.
  • Based on management’s current expectations regarding the recovery from the coronavirus outbreak.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

39 / 69 earnings

Positive

+12.9%

Q2 2013

Best reaction

-15.8%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.4%-7.8%-11.6%
Q4 2025-1.0%+0.9%-14.9%
Q3 2025+3.7%+1.2%-1.2%
Q2 2025-0.5%-1.4%+1.9%
Q1 2025-11.6%-10.6%-4.6%
Q4 2024+6.0%+5.4%+2.5%
Q3 2024-0.6%-1.1%+1.9%
Q2 2024-9.7%-8.2%-4.2%
Q1 2024-11.5%-10.8%-13.3%
Q4 2023+3.7%+5.2%+4.9%
Q3 2023-7.2%-6.4%-2.3%
Q2 2023-5.2%-3.5%-9.9%
Q1 2023+2.7%+1.8%-4.7%
Q4 2022+1.5%+1.0%-5.1%
Q3 2022+3.8%+0.1%+2.7%
Q2 2022+2.2%+2.0%+0.6%
Q1 2022+0.3%+2.7%+5.8%
Q4 2021-11.6%-13.5%-15.9%
Q3 2021+1.6%+4.3%+6.2%
Q2 2021+1.7%+4.4%+4.3%
Q1 2021+2.6%+5.8%+12.0%
Q4 2020+5.5%+4.8%+18.0%
Q3 2020+7.5%+15.5%+20.9%
Q2 2020-0.7%+1.5%+14.9%
Q1 2020-1.9%-1.3%+8.5%
Q4 2019-2.8%-7.9%-52.1%
Q3 2019+11.6%+13.4%+12.1%
Q2 2019+5.7%+2.5%-3.0%
Q1 2019-4.5%-4.3%-15.6%
Q4 2018+2.1%+1.9%+4.1%
Q3 2018+2.7%+3.9%+6.5%
Q2 2018+0.7%-0.5%-0.3%
Q1 2018-15.8%-19.5%-18.2%
Q4 2017-3.6%-5.4%-10.6%
Q3 2017+0.5%+3.1%+4.1%
Q2 2017+5.1%+4.3%+4.4%
Q1 2017+3.5%+4.2%+4.5%
Q4 2016-3.5%-4.4%-11.1%
Q3 2016-3.4%-3.9%+0.5%
Q2 2016+0.7%+1.1%+4.5%
Q1 2016-6.2%
Q4 2015+8.6%
Q3 2015+0.5%
Q2 2015+0.3%
Q1 2015+10.1%
Q4 2014-11.7%
Q3 2014+3.4%
Q2 2014+0.9%
Q1 2014+7.0%
Q4 2013-4.1%
Q3 2013-1.9%
Q2 2013+12.9%
Q1 2013+7.1%
Q4 2012-10.9%
Q3 2012+3.2%
Q2 2012+5.9%
Q1 2012+11.4%
Q4 2008-0.1%
Q4 2011-0.1%
Q3 2011-2.4%
Q2 2011-1.2%
Q1 2010+0.6%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010-0.2%
Q3 2009-1.1%
Q3 2010-1.1%
Q4 2009+3.4%
Q2 2009+3.4%
Q2 2010+3.4%

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