NASDAQ$KDP

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Keurig Dr Pepper reported revenue growth and improved adjusted earnings in Q4 2024.

Keurig Dr Pepper posted Q4 2024 revenue of $4.07 billion, representing a 5.2% year-over-year increase. Adjusted EPS grew 5.5% to $0.58, while GAAP EPS was impacted by goodwill and intangible impairments, resulting in a loss of $0.11 per share. U.S. Refreshment Beverages led growth with a 10.3% revenue increase, driven by strong volume/mix and price realization. The company also delivered significant free cash flow growth of 380.4% to $687 million.

  • Total revenue increased by 5.2% year-over-year to $4.07 billion.
  • U.S. Refreshment Beverages revenue grew 10.3%, led by carbonated soft drinks and Electrolit.
  • Adjusted EPS rose 5.5% to $0.58, while GAAP EPS declined due to impairments.
  • Free cash flow surged 380.4% to $687 million, driven by strong cash generation.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.07B

Previous: $3.87B+5.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.58

Previous: $0.55+5.5%
Adjusted Operating Income

$1.13B

No prior period
Adjusted Net Income

$790M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$175M

Previous: -$155M-12.9%
Net Income

-$144M

Previous: $693M-120.8%
Operating Income

$63M

Previous: $926M-93.2%
Gross Profit

$2.28B

Previous: $2.18B+4.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Keurig Dr Pepper · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.07B

Q4 2024+5.2%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Keurig Dr Pepper · $523M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • International
    $523M

Forward guidance

Keurig Dr Pepper expects mid-single-digit net sales growth and high-single-digit adjusted EPS growth for 2025.

Tailwinds

  • Expected net sales growth in the mid-single-digit range.
  • Adjusted EPS projected to grow in the high-single-digit range.
  • Continued strong momentum in U.S. Refreshment Beverages.
  • Anticipated benefits from the recent GHOST acquisition.
  • Free cash flow expected to remain strong, supporting capital investments.

Headwinds

  • Foreign currency translation expected to be a 1-2% headwind on revenue.
  • Higher SG&A expenses due to increased marketing investments.
  • Potential pressure on U.S. Coffee segment from category headwinds.
  • Inflationary pressures could impact margins despite productivity savings.
  • Retail inventory management challenges may temporarily affect sales.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

42 / 70 earnings

Positive

+7.5%

Q1 2026

Best reaction

-7.9%

Q1 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+7.5%+8.5%+9.6%
Q4 2025+2.5%+1.7%-11.8%
Q3 2025+7.3%+0.0%+1.9%
Q2 2025-0.5%+1.0%-21.8%
Q1 2025-2.1%-2.7%-6.5%
Q4 2024+2.4%-1.8%+0.4%
Q3 2024-5.8%-10.4%-11.0%
Q2 2024+3.0%+4.1%+9.0%
Q1 2024+4.3%+4.2%+5.7%
Q4 2023-4.5%-6.6%-5.7%
Q3 2023+2.6%+4.2%+12.1%
Q2 2023+4.2%+4.9%+2.3%
Q1 2023-7.9%-8.3%-11.5%
Q4 2022+0.0%-3.4%-2.5%
Q3 2022+2.0%-2.4%-1.3%
Q2 2022+4.4%+3.9%+4.1%
Q1 2022-1.2%-1.8%-7.1%
Q4 2021+0.6%+0.3%-1.3%
Q3 2021+5.5%+5.2%+2.3%
Q2 2021-0.3%-1.4%-0.6%
Q1 2021+1.8%+1.4%+5.0%
Q4 2020-3.0%-2.2%+12.0%
Q3 2020-3.0%+0.3%+10.9%
Q2 2020-2.1%-4.2%-3.8%
Q1 2020+3.1%-1.5%+5.6%
Q4 2019-3.0%-4.1%-15.1%
Q3 2019+3.7%+3.7%+4.0%
Q2 2019+5.4%+3.1%-2.7%
Q1 2019+1.0%+1.6%-2.6%
Q4 2018-3.5%-3.5%+3.8%
Q3 2018+4.6%+4.8%-3.3%
Q2 2018+0.0%-0.4%-4.1%
Q1 2018+0.8%+1.0%+1.3%
Q4 2017-0.4%-0.7%+1.4%
Q3 2017-3.6%-5.2%-3.5%
Q2 2017-1.4%-1.2%-2.0%
Q1 2017-6.3%-7.7%-5.0%
Q4 2016-0.7%+0.5%+3.1%
Q3 2016-0.4%-2.0%-0.7%
Q2 2016+0.7%+0.8%-4.0%
Q1 2016+3.3%
Q4 2015-2.2%
Q3 2015+5.9%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015+0.1%
Q4 2014-3.2%
Q3 2014+2.1%
Q2 2014+5.3%
Q1 2014+2.8%
Q4 2013+2.4%
Q3 2013+2.5%
Q2 2013-3.4%
Q1 2013+0.8%
Q4 2012-5.6%
Q3 2012-2.5%
Q2 2012+4.1%
Q1 2012+0.9%
Q4 2011-0.8%
Q3 2011-6.3%
Q2 2011-3.4%
Q1 2011+0.3%
Q4 2010-2.4%
Q3 2010+2.3%
Q3 2009+2.3%
Q4 2008+0.3%
Q2 2010+0.3%
Q1 2010+5.1%
Q4 2009+5.1%
Q1 2009+5.1%
Q2 2009+5.1%

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