NASDAQ$KDP

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Keurig Dr Pepper reported double-digit net sales and earnings growth, raised full-year net sales guidance, and reaffirmed EPS guidance.

Keurig Dr Pepper had an exceptional first quarter, with double-digit net sales and earnings growth driven by strong in-market execution. The company increased its outlook for 2021 net sales growth to 4% to 6% and reaffirmed its guidance for full-year Adjusted diluted EPS growth of 13% to 15%.

  • Net sales increased by 11.1% to $2.90 billion compared to the year-ago period.
  • GAAP diluted earnings per share more than doubled to $0.23.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS grew to $0.33, a double-digit increase versus year-ago.
  • Free cash flow was $458 million, enabling a reduction in total financial obligations by $125 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.9B

Previous: $2.61B+11.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.33

Previous: $0.29+13.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$95M

Previous: -$151M+37.1%
Free Cash Flow

$230M

Previous: $5M+4500.0%
Net Income

$325M

Previous: $156M+108.3%
Operating Income

$640M

Previous: $466M+37.3%
Gross Profit

$1.6B

Previous: $1.45B+10.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$335M

Previous: $197M+70.1%
Total Assets

$50.4B

Previous: $48.8B+3.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$25M

Previous: $19M+31.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Keurig Dr Pepper · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.9B

Q1 2021+11.1%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Keurig Dr Pepper · $523M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • International
    $523M

Forward guidance

The Company reaffirmed its guidance for Adjusted diluted EPS growth in the range of 13% to 15%, reflecting its increased guidance for constant currency net sales growth in the range of 4% to 6%, which is expected to offset growing inflationary pressures in the balance of the year. The Company continues to expect its management leverage ratio to be at or below 3.0x at year-end.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

42 / 70 earnings

Positive

+7.5%

Q1 2026

Best reaction

-7.9%

Q1 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+7.5%+8.5%+9.6%
Q4 2025+2.5%+1.7%-11.8%
Q3 2025+7.3%+0.0%+1.9%
Q2 2025-0.5%+1.0%-21.8%
Q1 2025-2.1%-2.7%-6.5%
Q4 2024+2.4%-1.8%+0.4%
Q3 2024-5.8%-10.4%-11.0%
Q2 2024+3.0%+4.1%+9.0%
Q1 2024+4.3%+4.2%+5.7%
Q4 2023-4.5%-6.6%-5.7%
Q3 2023+2.6%+4.2%+12.1%
Q2 2023+4.2%+4.9%+2.3%
Q1 2023-7.9%-8.3%-11.5%
Q4 2022+0.0%-3.4%-2.5%
Q3 2022+2.0%-2.4%-1.3%
Q2 2022+4.4%+3.9%+4.1%
Q1 2022-1.2%-1.8%-7.1%
Q4 2021+0.6%+0.3%-1.3%
Q3 2021+5.5%+5.2%+2.3%
Q2 2021-0.3%-1.4%-0.6%
Q1 2021+1.8%+1.4%+5.0%
Q4 2020-3.0%-2.2%+12.0%
Q3 2020-3.0%+0.3%+10.9%
Q2 2020-2.1%-4.2%-3.8%
Q1 2020+3.1%-1.5%+5.6%
Q4 2019-3.0%-4.1%-15.1%
Q3 2019+3.7%+3.7%+4.0%
Q2 2019+5.4%+3.1%-2.7%
Q1 2019+1.0%+1.6%-2.6%
Q4 2018-3.5%-3.5%+3.8%
Q3 2018+4.6%+4.8%-3.3%
Q2 2018+0.0%-0.4%-4.1%
Q1 2018+0.8%+1.0%+1.3%
Q4 2017-0.4%-0.7%+1.4%
Q3 2017-3.6%-5.2%-3.5%
Q2 2017-1.4%-1.2%-2.0%
Q1 2017-6.3%-7.7%-5.0%
Q4 2016-0.7%+0.5%+3.1%
Q3 2016-0.4%-2.0%-0.7%
Q2 2016+0.7%+0.8%-4.0%
Q1 2016+3.3%
Q4 2015-2.2%
Q3 2015+5.9%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015+0.1%
Q4 2014-3.2%
Q3 2014+2.1%
Q2 2014+5.3%
Q1 2014+2.8%
Q4 2013+2.4%
Q3 2013+2.5%
Q2 2013-3.4%
Q1 2013+0.8%
Q4 2012-5.6%
Q3 2012-2.5%
Q2 2012+4.1%
Q1 2012+0.9%
Q4 2011-0.8%
Q3 2011-6.3%
Q2 2011-3.4%
Q1 2011+0.3%
Q4 2010-2.4%
Q3 2010+2.3%
Q3 2009+2.3%
Q4 2008+0.3%
Q2 2010+0.3%
Q1 2010+5.1%
Q4 2009+5.1%
Q1 2009+5.1%
Q2 2009+5.1%

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