NASDAQ$KDP

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Keurig Dr Pepper delivered strong net sales momentum, led by U.S. Refreshment Beverages.

Keurig Dr Pepper reported an 8.9% increase in net sales to $3.35 billion for Q1 2023, driven by favorable net price realization. The U.S. Refreshment Beverages and International segments showed strong performance, while U.S. Coffee had a slower start. The company reaffirms its guidance for full-year constant currency net sales growth of 5% and adjusted diluted EPS growth of 6% to 7%.

  • Net sales increased by 8.9% to $3.35 billion, with constant currency net sales also advancing 8.9%.
  • Favorable net price realization of 9.9% drove net sales growth, offset slightly by a 1.0% decrease in volume/mix.
  • U.S. Refreshment Beverages net sales increased by 12.7%, driven by innovation and effective in-market execution.
  • The company reaffirms its guidance for full-year constant currency net sales growth of 5% and adjusted diluted EPS growth of 6% to 7%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.35B

Previous: $3.08B+8.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.34

Previous: $0.33+3.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$62M

Previous: -$109M+43.1%
Free Cash Flow

$405M

Previous: $476M-14.9%
Net Income

$467M

Previous: $585M-20.2%
Operating Income

$584M

Previous: $966M-39.5%
Gross Profit

$1.74B

Previous: $1.65B+5.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$204M

Previous: $592M-65.5%
Total Assets

$51.7B

Previous: $51.2B+0.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$29M

Previous: -$15M+293.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Keurig Dr Pepper · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.35B

Q1 2023+8.9%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Keurig Dr Pepper · $415M total across 1 segment · Q1 2023

  • International
    $415M

Forward guidance

KDP continues to expect net sales growth of 5% and Adjusted diluted EPS growth of 6% to 7% in 2023 on a constant currency basis, with foreign currency translation expected to be an approximate one half of one percentage point headwind to both metrics.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

42 / 70 earnings

Positive

+7.5%

Q1 2026

Best reaction

-7.9%

Q1 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+7.5%+8.5%+9.6%
Q4 2025+2.5%+1.7%-11.8%
Q3 2025+7.3%+0.0%+1.9%
Q2 2025-0.5%+1.0%-21.8%
Q1 2025-2.1%-2.7%-6.5%
Q4 2024+2.4%-1.8%+0.4%
Q3 2024-5.8%-10.4%-11.0%
Q2 2024+3.0%+4.1%+9.0%
Q1 2024+4.3%+4.2%+5.7%
Q4 2023-4.5%-6.6%-5.7%
Q3 2023+2.6%+4.2%+12.1%
Q2 2023+4.2%+4.9%+2.3%
Q1 2023-7.9%-8.3%-11.5%
Q4 2022+0.0%-3.4%-2.5%
Q3 2022+2.0%-2.4%-1.3%
Q2 2022+4.4%+3.9%+4.1%
Q1 2022-1.2%-1.8%-7.1%
Q4 2021+0.6%+0.3%-1.3%
Q3 2021+5.5%+5.2%+2.3%
Q2 2021-0.3%-1.4%-0.6%
Q1 2021+1.8%+1.4%+5.0%
Q4 2020-3.0%-2.2%+12.0%
Q3 2020-3.0%+0.3%+10.9%
Q2 2020-2.1%-4.2%-3.8%
Q1 2020+3.1%-1.5%+5.6%
Q4 2019-3.0%-4.1%-15.1%
Q3 2019+3.7%+3.7%+4.0%
Q2 2019+5.4%+3.1%-2.7%
Q1 2019+1.0%+1.6%-2.6%
Q4 2018-3.5%-3.5%+3.8%
Q3 2018+4.6%+4.8%-3.3%
Q2 2018+0.0%-0.4%-4.1%
Q1 2018+0.8%+1.0%+1.3%
Q4 2017-0.4%-0.7%+1.4%
Q3 2017-3.6%-5.2%-3.5%
Q2 2017-1.4%-1.2%-2.0%
Q1 2017-6.3%-7.7%-5.0%
Q4 2016-0.7%+0.5%+3.1%
Q3 2016-0.4%-2.0%-0.7%
Q2 2016+0.7%+0.8%-4.0%
Q1 2016+3.3%
Q4 2015-2.2%
Q3 2015+5.9%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015+0.1%
Q4 2014-3.2%
Q3 2014+2.1%
Q2 2014+5.3%
Q1 2014+2.8%
Q4 2013+2.4%
Q3 2013+2.5%
Q2 2013-3.4%
Q1 2013+0.8%
Q4 2012-5.6%
Q3 2012-2.5%
Q2 2012+4.1%
Q1 2012+0.9%
Q4 2011-0.8%
Q3 2011-6.3%
Q2 2011-3.4%
Q1 2011+0.3%
Q4 2010-2.4%
Q3 2010+2.3%
Q3 2009+2.3%
Q4 2008+0.3%
Q2 2010+0.3%
Q1 2010+5.1%
Q4 2009+5.1%
Q1 2009+5.1%
Q2 2009+5.1%

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