NASDAQ$KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc · Q4 2020 earnings
Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Keurig Dr Pepper reported a strong finish to 2020, delivering full year results at the top of its guidance range, including accelerated growth in net sales.
Keurig Dr Pepper reported a strong fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2020, with net sales growth of 6.4% in Q4. The company's performance was driven by market share gains and increased household adoption of the Keurig system. KDP expects to deliver another year of strong net sales growth in 2021.
- Delivered strong net sales growth, driven by market share gains across the portfolio.
- Successfully responded to the COVID-19 pandemic, keeping employees safe and delivering for customers.
- Grew market share in more than 90% of the Company’s cold beverage retail base.
- Generated exceptionally strong free cash flow, enabling debt reduction.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Keurig Dr Pepper · Revenue · Quarterly
$3.12B
Revenue by segment
Keurig Dr Pepper · $523M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023
- International$523M—100.0%
Forward guidance
KDP expects to deliver another year of strong net sales growth in 2021, positioning the Company to exceed its three-year merger target of 2-3% average annual growth. Adjusted diluted EPS is again expected to grow by double-digits, enabling KDP to meet its three-year merger target of 15-17% average annual growth.
Tailwinds
- Constant currency net sales growth is expected in the range of 3-4% in 2021, driven by investments in innovation and marketing.
- Benefits of recent partnerships and ongoing strong in-market execution.
- Adjusted diluted EPS growth is expected in the range of 13% to 15%.
- Benefits of the strong top-line performance and continued merger synergies and productivity.
- Reduced interest expense and improvement in the Company’s effective tax rate.
Headwinds
- Merger synergies of approximately $200 million.
- Adjusted interest expense in the range of $505 million to $515 million.
- Adjusted effective tax rate in the range of 23.5% to 24.0%.
- Diluted weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 1,430 million.
- Management leverage ratio at or below 3.0x at year end 2021.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020
+0.6%
Avg return
Earnings day
-0.4%
Avg return
5 days after
-0.8%
Avg return
30 days after
60%
42 / 70 earnings
Positive
+7.5%
Q1 2026
Best reaction
-7.9%
Q1 2023
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +7.5% | +8.5% | +9.6% | |
| Q4 2025 | +2.5% | +1.7% | -11.8% | |
| Q3 2025 | +7.3% | +0.0% | +1.9% | |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5% | +1.0% | -21.8% | |
| Q1 2025 | -2.1% | -2.7% | -6.5% | |
| Q4 2024 | +2.4% | -1.8% | +0.4% | |
| Q3 2024 | -5.8% | -10.4% | -11.0% | |
| Q2 2024 | +3.0% | +4.1% | +9.0% | |
| Q1 2024 | +4.3% | +4.2% | +5.7% | |
| Q4 2023 | -4.5% | -6.6% | -5.7% | |
| Q3 2023 | +2.6% | +4.2% | +12.1% | |
| Q2 2023 | +4.2% | +4.9% | +2.3% | |
| Q1 2023 | -7.9% | -8.3% | -11.5% | |
| Q4 2022 | +0.0% | -3.4% | -2.5% | |
| Q3 2022 | +2.0% | -2.4% | -1.3% | |
| Q2 2022 | +4.4% | +3.9% | +4.1% | |
| Q1 2022 | -1.2% | -1.8% | -7.1% | |
| Q4 2021 | +0.6% | +0.3% | -1.3% | |
| Q3 2021 | +5.5% | +5.2% | +2.3% | |
| Q2 2021 | -0.3% | -1.4% | -0.6% | |
| Q1 2021 | +1.8% | +1.4% | +5.0% | |
| Q4 2020 | -3.0% | -2.2% | +12.0% | |
| Q3 2020 | -3.0% | +0.3% | +10.9% | |
| Q2 2020 | -2.1% | -4.2% | -3.8% | |
| Q1 2020 | +3.1% | -1.5% | +5.6% | |
| Q4 2019 | -3.0% | -4.1% | -15.1% | |
| Q3 2019 | +3.7% | +3.7% | +4.0% | |
| Q2 2019 | +5.4% | +3.1% | -2.7% | |
| Q1 2019 | +1.0% | +1.6% | -2.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | -3.5% | -3.5% | +3.8% | |
| Q3 2018 | +4.6% | +4.8% | -3.3% | |
| Q2 2018 | +0.0% | -0.4% | -4.1% | |
| Q1 2018 | +0.8% | +1.0% | +1.3% | |
| Q4 2017 | -0.4% | -0.7% | +1.4% | |
| Q3 2017 | -3.6% | -5.2% | -3.5% | |
| Q2 2017 | -1.4% | -1.2% | -2.0% | |
| Q1 2017 | -6.3% | -7.7% | -5.0% | |
| Q4 2016 | -0.7% | +0.5% | +3.1% | |
| Q3 2016 | -0.4% | -2.0% | -0.7% | |
| Q2 2016 | +0.7% | +0.8% | -4.0% | |
| Q1 2016 | +3.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -2.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +5.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -3.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +2.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +5.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +2.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +2.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +2.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -3.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -5.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +4.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -0.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -6.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -3.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +2.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | +2.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +5.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +5.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | +5.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +5.1% | — | — |
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