NASDAQ$KALU

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a decrease in net sales but an increase in conversion revenue, with aerospace/high strength applications achieving record net sales and conversion revenue.

Kaiser Aluminum reported fourth-quarter results with net sales of $722 million and conversion revenue of $361 million. Net income was $8 million, or $0.47 per diluted share, while adjusted net income was $10 million, or $0.60 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA was $52 million, with a margin of 14.3%. The company saw strong performance in its aerospace/high strength applications but faced challenges in other markets due to destocking activities.

  • Net sales decreased modestly to $722 million compared to the prior year period, reflecting a 6% decrease in shipments and a 1% decrease in average selling price per pound.
  • Conversion revenue increased by 2% to $361 million compared to the prior year period.
  • Aerospace/high strength applications achieved record net sales and conversion revenue, with a 42% increase driven by strengthening demand and a favorable product mix.
  • Packaging applications experienced a 12% decrease in net sales due to ongoing destocking, primarily for coated food products.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$722M

Previous: $776M-7.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.60

Previous: -$0.45+233.3%
Conversion Revenue

$361M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$52M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

14.3%

Previous: 8.4%+70.2%
Shipments (lbs)

284.0M

No prior period
Net Income

$8M

Previous: -$26M+130.8%
Operating Income

$22M

Previous: -$22M+200.0%
Gross Profit

$52.8M

Previous: $28.5M+85.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.3M

Previous: $3.2M+34.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Kaiser Aluminum · Revenue · Quarterly

$722M

Q4 2023-7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Kaiser Aluminum · $146M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Packaging
    $118M-19.7%
  • Automotive Extrusions
    $28M+7.7%

Forward guidance

Kaiser expects demand to improve across key markets throughout 2024. Conversion revenue for the full year 2024 is expected to improve 2% - 3% with adjusted EBITDA margins to improve 70 - 170 basis points over 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Strong momentum from 2023 in aerospace/high strength applications is expected to continue, supported by customer declarations for commercial jets and strong demand for defense, space, and business jets.
  • Shipments and conversion revenue in packaging applications are expected to improve as destocking ends in coated food products.
  • Anticipated steady demand improvements for both beverage and food products as the year progresses.
  • General engineering destocking is expected to continue to abate in the first half of 2024 with improving shipments in the second half of the year.
  • Automotive extrusions demand is expected to continue its modest recovery with steady shipments and conversion revenue.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

32 / 69 earnings

Positive

+19.4%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-19.7%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.1%+6.0%+7.6%
Q4 2025-9.0%-7.8%-23.2%
Q3 2025+19.4%+20.1%+17.8%
Q2 2025-0.3%-1.2%+1.3%
Q1 2025+5.9%+9.7%+18.6%
Q4 2024+4.9%-0.7%-7.1%
Q3 2024-5.9%+6.3%+14.1%
Q2 2024-19.7%-21.3%-23.6%
Q1 2024-1.3%+6.2%+6.8%
Q4 2023+7.4%+9.6%+23.4%
Q3 2023-10.0%-12.1%-7.2%
Q2 2023+5.2%-0.2%-8.4%
Q1 2023+12.1%+10.9%+10.6%
Q4 2022-7.4%-10.3%-17.3%
Q3 2022+10.2%+11.8%+28.8%
Q2 2022+2.9%+6.0%+8.7%
Q1 2022-1.7%-8.8%-5.5%
Q4 2021-7.2%-5.7%-5.8%
Q3 2021-9.1%-13.0%-10.3%
Q2 2021-2.4%+6.2%+6.7%
Q1 2021+0.5%+5.3%+8.1%
Q4 2020-1.3%+1.5%-5.0%
Q3 2020-0.1%-2.7%+16.7%
Q2 2020-4.4%-5.7%-9.9%
Q1 2020-3.4%-5.2%-11.9%
Q4 2019+3.2%+0.2%-46.7%
Q3 2019+2.2%+10.2%+8.8%
Q2 2019+0.2%+1.2%-9.6%
Q1 2019-6.0%-7.2%-13.6%
Q4 2018+2.6%+4.6%-3.5%
Q3 2018-9.6%-7.1%-9.5%
Q2 2018+3.6%+2.6%+0.2%
Q1 2018+0.4%-1.4%+8.7%
Q4 2017-2.0%-0.5%-5.6%
Q3 2017-3.3%-3.9%-8.0%
Q2 2017+3.2%+5.1%+1.8%
Q1 2017+5.9%+6.1%+2.2%
Q4 2016+0.3%-6.4%-1.3%
Q3 2016-12.5%-12.2%+0.7%
Q2 2016-5.8%-7.3%-5.7%
Q1 2016+0.8%
Q4 2015+0.1%
Q3 2015-0.1%
Q2 2015+4.8%
Q1 2015-0.4%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014-4.8%
Q2 2014+2.0%
Q1 2014-3.1%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013-7.3%
Q2 2013+0.5%
Q1 2013+7.0%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q3 2012+3.1%
Q2 2012+9.1%
Q1 2012+6.2%
Q4 2008-1.9%
Q4 2011-1.9%
Q3 2011+9.0%
Q2 2011-0.6%
Q1 2010-0.1%
Q1 2011-0.3%
Q4 2010-9.4%
Q3 2010-2.2%
Q3 2009-2.2%
Q2 2010+0.5%
Q2 2009+0.5%
Q4 2009+0.5%

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